September to be Sensational

 

 Ir is unlikely that there will be a service on Tuesday September 10th as I am attending a funeral. 

 

August was another winning month for Premium Tip Members, the 6th in the last 7 ,  with a very tidy profit

of 20.6pts, ROI 16% and Members playing the Multis also enjoyed a healthy profit of £93 , ROI 16%

 

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 I have decided to keep stats for Premium tip multis, so you can then see the massive returns possible. 

£20 is a fair stake to risk on the multi. I would recommend the following

A £1 yank ( £11 pound) , or if the tips are long odds, an ew yank 

Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

 I have recently switched to Bet365 as my principal bookmaker, and it's been a smart move with so many extra place

races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

No big hit today

Newbury- heavy ground on this flat and galloping track

1.20 This looks at the mercy of the useful Calipto but at 2/5I'm not playing 

1.50 PREMIUN RACE

2.25 Acracing Class 1 named in honour od the wonderful Denman. Al ferof is the highest rated and should be good enough to dispose of a small yet talented field . The heavy ground is a concern but he's coped with very soft ground in the past.

1.25 pts win Al ferof @ 13/8

3.00 Another cracking contest but the ground may well be too soft for the classy Dodging Bullets while Mudule may well find the trip too short . This is Desert Cry's ground and despite being disadvantaged at the weights he can't be ruled out. Raya Starwas a cracking good hurdler and his chasing form is pretty ok . He receives the alownaces, goes well o the track and the ground shouldn't stop him. A huge price for his chance.

1pt win Raya Star @ 7/1

3.35 PREMIUM RACE

4.10 Afascinating race with all 3 contenders having chances. Mendip Express is going for a 10 timer !! and you wouldn't back against  him put he's got a bit on is plate conceding weight to the classt SmadPlace 

1/2 pt win Smad Place @ 15/8

Lingfield - all weather - polytrack

1.30 A very weak handicapper and Waving is the most likely winner but he's 4/6 and only really has Lisahane Bog to beat. NO bet

2.00 Taquka made Pond House pull out the stops at Kempton over further and that race was tactical and you have to considerthat today is at Lingfield over a furlong shorter. He may well get away with , as he should on the ratings, but Sharmardyh is a worthy rival. NO Bet (again)

2.35 Gregori is going toset the pace and could have an easy time of it and despite being high in the weights may not be caught/ Picansort continues to run well but is not great value at 7/4 and I'm going for Sir Pedro who is well handicapped and jamie Spencer can produce him at the right time.

1/2 pt win Sir Pedro @ 6/1

3.10 Bioth oonday Sun and Inidan Jack are up in the weights and in trip and that spells trouble. Chapterand Verse ran really well here last time and wont be faraway today, he had Kram Albaari way behind that day and that one's stable is still in a rut. Lowther broke my heartlast time when losing lenghs at the start and still ran a grea race. HoweverI'm pasing him over today as he takes ome knowing and Kieran Fox doesn't get many rides nowadays, but he still could do it. I'm going for shavnsky , who will need a good pace to chase but ran a strong race in a hot contest last time. Modernism has more to do at the weights and back at this track.

1/2 pt ew Shavansky @ 5/1

3.45 A cracking contest and huge improver Perfect Pasture is going for a 7 timer !! and you wouldn't want to back against him as he 's got the plot draw in 1 and looks to have every chance of leading , which is the way he liks to run. He has of course been set a mammaoth task by the handicapper thoug. I backed Novle Deed last time and it wasn't adam Kirby's greatest moment. He got pushed to the bac and the horse ran a stomer against some very decent rivals to get as close as he did. This race is sure to be run at a generous pace and he looks sure to be in the mix.Abslutely So doesn't appeal as he's up in the weights and badly drawn.Rivellio and Diamond Charlie are others with chances but the penalised Alben Star hasn't shome at this track before

1/2 pt ew Noble Deed @ 12/1

4.20 PREMIUM RACE

4.50 Sloane Avenue is very well bred and could be anything while Mbhali has solid all weather form. No bet

Warwick - heavy ground on this tight and quick track

1.35 very few of these appeal as they don;t go well on the soft ground. Dormouse is worth a bet. He has great course stats and the heavy ground is no problem. He wasn't at his best when last seen but the small stable is going pretty well. Bohemian rhapsody is a decent ype but the ground may be too soft and Keel Haul may a require a slightly longertrip 

1/4 pt ew Dormouse @ 12/1

2.05 Glens Melody gnly just got the better of Mischievious Miilly and Hidden identitiy here last time and at this slightly longer trip it's very hard to work out if the placings will be altered. L'UNique wont be a pushover but hasn't been t is best this season and can only be watched. No Bet

2.40 Balder Success was a top hurdlerand though he's hit the ground over fences he really only needs a clear round to beat some decent rivals. He's not at his  best on heavy ground , but neitherare the others.

3/4 pt win BalderSuccess @ 6/4

3.15 Majala is a very decent type , especially on heavy ground and is well handicapped. He front runs and will se a scorching pace. The only problem is the trip and he could well tie up between the last two. Mr Moonshine is now high in the weights but will give it  a go but the race looks like it will be run to suit Persian Snow and he has a lot in his favour. Rouge Et Blanc is another which can't be ruled out.

1/2 pt win Persia Snow @ 7/2

3.5o PREMIUM RACE

4.25 I'm not keen at all on the chaces of Midnight Prayer at this trip or on the ground and Alpha Victor came good last time and this track could suit him more than Count Guido Ceiro.

3/4 pt win Alpha Victor @ 9/2

4.55 Some nice types in this small field and they are all unexposed so I'm watching withi nterest . No bet

Naas - heavy ground on this tough and galloping track

1.15 Le Vant Dantan didn't impress oj his lng awaited hurdling debut while the ground wasn't as soft as the report stated when PowderHound arn a good race last time. A big field but few with a chance and Sea Beat ran a solid race here on similar ground and is a very decent each way call.

1/2 pt ew Sea Beat @ 6/1

1.45 Avondhu Lady os great but this trip is too short for this gallant mare. The trip is also a bit short for the fancied pair of Tarla and Byerley Babe , but the latter has an effective turn of foot and can outpace his rival after the last.

1pt win Byerley Babe @ 7/4

2.20 Champagne james is odds on but wasn;t great last time out and Cappacurry Zak ran a slid race here last time and could cause a bit of a shock.

1/2 pt ew Cappacurry Zak @ 16/1

2.5 Both Luke's benefit and Page Turner want to leadand this could well bring the stamina of the well weightes Forty Foot Tom into play.

1/2 pt ew Forty Foot Tom @ 14/1

3.30 Joint favs here and of the two Mosvow Mannow looks more probable than once useful Abbey Lane, but it's quantity overquality and Ludo Et Emergo is a very solid each way shot 

1/2 pt ew Ludo Et Emergo @ 10/1

4.05 A very tough handicap where most of the fancied runners are better gping right handed on easier tracks. Diesel Ten was quite decemt on tjhe flat and has run at best just Ok races in his novice hudles but he is very well weighted on his flat form and could well cause an almighty shock.

1/2 pt ew Diesel Ten @ 25/1

Wolverhampton - all weather -polytrack

5.50 An amateur riders handicap and a race to leave alone. Both Attain and Cyflymderare capable but both ran stinkers last while Cantor wasn't great either. NO bet

6.20 This looks good for John Pots especaily with top jockey Serena Brotheton aboard. Not a big bet though

1/2 pt win John Potts @ 7/4

6.50 The longer trip will hep MrLando after a decent run here a few days ago. Canon Law dictated a slow pace last time and this will be tougher tonight. One Scoop or Two returns from a little break, he has a good record fresh and both the stable and the jockey are in fine form.

3/4pt win One Scoop or Two @ 7/2

7.20 PREMIUM RACE

7.50 This looks good for Aint No Surpise but I couldn't play him at 8/11 in a seller. No bet

8.20 A race full of interesting newcomers, including bumper horse Montje and a few like Coillte Cailin and Marble Statueet with decent all weather form

No Bet ( sorry, but you may well thank me )

8.50 Anothet weak contest and Maupiti Express has shown enough to get off the mark especially as Nick The Odds and Valomina are more at hime at Southwell and Cascadia is running poorly

1/2 pt win Maupiti Express @ 3/1

9.20 Only 2 count in the finale and the pace of Gioia Di Vite gives him the nod over Mica Mica .

1/2 pt win Gioa de Vita @ 6/4

 

 

 

 

 

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