Expecting an Outstanding October

 

 

September was another cracking month for Premium Tip Members , coming in with a profit of 36.77pts , ROI 26%.

This was the 6th winning month in the last 7. Premium multi players also did welll with a £93 profit ROI 18%.

In the latter half of the month Members enjoyed practically a winner every day , some of these at the long odds of

10/1, 10/1, 12/1 & 20/1 !!

 

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 I have decided to keep stats for Premium tip multis, so you can then see the massive returns possible. 

£20 is a fair stake to risk on the multi. I would recommend the following

A £1 yank ( £11 pound) , or if the tips are long odds, an ew yank 

Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

 I have recently switched to Bet365 as my principal bookmaker, and it's been a smart move with so many extra place

races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

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competitions for Tipsters. I had previously won both the prestigious Betref and Rating the Races, which have many

hundreds of entrants 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

My Word, this could be his day in the 4.35

Today’s Multi

3 £1 doubles & £2 treble

 Never A Word 4.35 @ 3/1

Queen of Kalahari 7.45 @ 7/4

Loose Chippings 8.15 @ 13/8

 

No advice from Thurles

Ayr abandoned – waterlogged

 

Selected Worcester – Good to soft on this flat and galloping track

2.10 If You Say Run was the bet of these over hurdles and you’d expect her to take this at a shade of odds on, which looks right, but too short for me.

No Bet

 

2.45 A very winnable contest and the down in class and trip Ballymalin is just about worth a bet despite being on a losing run.

¼ pt win Ballymalin @ 3/1

 

3.50 A short priced fav in Storm Arising but under a penalty and going up in trip would do well to win . The ex-Irish Mossy Fen is interesting onhis first run for Nigel TD after changing hands for £60,000, but happy to watch.

No Bet

 

4.25 PREMIUM RACE

 

Worcester placepot

2

2

7,11

1,6

6,7

7,8

16 bets

 

Selected Exeter- good ground on this undulating, galloping and stiff track

2.20 Sizing Tara comes here on a hat-trick and has  to be respected despite the 8 pound hit and a switch to a completely different type of track. The fav is Higgs , who became hard to win with bu could be a different proposition now trained by the good Doctor Richard Newland.  Working Class is going really well and was only just beaten last time by one who ran well next time under a penalty. Fast ground suits and the drop on trip shouldn’t be a problem on this stiff track. It’s a race for conditional jockeys and another positive is that his regular rider is in the saddle. Big concern is that good stable has never had a winner here !

¼ pt ew Working Class @ 7/1

 

2.55 Despite this trip being on the short side , and the ground being quick enough ,it will be a shock if the ex-Irish Hang in There , an expensive purchase, can’t win this well.

No Bet

 

3.30 There’s not much early pace in this which gives the front running and prolific Teaser a great race make up. After landing a hat-trick he was narrowly beaten off this mark and ran well at this trip last time in a race full of early pace. He’s new to this kind of track but the local stable has plenty of success here.

¼ pt win Teaser @ 4/1

 

4.00 Somethingaboutangela went close on her first start for Richard Newland on unsuitable ground and has to be a contender in this winnable event but I’m with the likeable Hot Ryan, who drops in trip , but this stiff track will compensate this willing front runner.

¼ pt ew Hot Ryan @ 15/2

 

4.35 This is weak and it offers a terrific opportunity for long standing maiden Never A word to finally break his duck after 28 tries !! He front runs and should be fine over this C&D and his stable has a very good record here.

½ pt win Never A Word @ 3/1

 

5.05 Another weak contest and another who’s finding getting his nose in front , in Searching, looking the best option and every chance this could be his day.

¼ pt win Searching @ 9/4

 

Exeter placepot

3,6

2

8,9

2,3

6

1,8

16 bets

 

 

 

Selected Kempton – all weather – polytrack

6.00 Premier Power was fancied to make a winning debut but only just missed out and had the others way back. He’s bred to be effective on polytrack and will be very hard to beat, but is 4/7 .

No Bet

 

7.00 A good quality Class 2 event and the fav is hat-trick seeking Kasbaan, whose two wins came over C&d, the latest was particularly impressive , and has a further 8 pound penalty tonight. It would be a good performance to win again, but this unexposed type is hard to dismiss. Seniority is still a bit high in the weights and has been unlucky in the draw bit has claims in this but I prefer a play on last year’s winner, the very likeable and useful Pactolus , who is 5 pounds higher for last year’s win , but wont be far away .

¼ pt ew Patroclus @ 14/1

 

7.30 Busby was a good 2nd in higher grade over C&D last time and rarely runs a flat one here. He’s very well drawn and is certainly the one to beat, but the bookies agree and is not a great price, so just a modest play.

½ pt win Busby @ 6/4

 

8.00 The in form Chicago Doll is the fav but has a tough task with the penalty and the switch from tapeta. Honfleur is with a top stable and hasn’t had much racing. She’s on a workable mark and a very able 7 pound claimer rides. The first time blinkers is a positive for the stable and as she’s proven on the surface, looks a very nice ew play.

½ pt ew Honfleur @ 8/1

 

8.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

Kempton placepot

8

1,7

3

2,8

2,4

2,5

16 bets

 

Selected Southwell – all weather – fibresand

5.10 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.45 Looks a match between the capable pair of Point of Order and Daily Times but both are proving hard to win with and neither has ever tried this surface. NO Bet.

 

6.15 Since returning from a break, Break The Rules has been in terrific form here, winning  twice and losing little in defeat  over this trip last time . With able 7  pound claimer Jonathan Fisher back in the saddle, good chance of landing this winnable affair.

½ pt win Break The Silence @ 11/4

 

7.15 Not a strong event and the consistent Esprit De Corps continues to frustrate with a number of solid placed efforts, but wins hard to come by, but as he’s proven over C&d, this could be his day.

¼ pt win Esprit De Corps @ 10/3

 

7.45 A change of tactics has brought a change of fortune for hat-trick seeking Queen Of Kalahari has impressed over C&d the last twice both times racing with the pace . The 5 pound hit could have been worse and the hat -trick looks likely.

½ pt win Queen of Kalahari @ 7/4

 

8.15 Loose Chippings is a most reliable sort who runs this C&d really well and was only just touched off last time off this mark. Well drawn to take an ideal handy pitch , a deserved win can come his way in a winnable finale.

¾ pt win Loose Chippings @ 13/8

 

Southwell placepot

2,3

3

5,10

1,4

1

4,9

 

16 bets 

 

 

 

 

 

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