Expecting an Outstanding October

 

 

September was another cracking month for Premium Tip Members , coming in with a profit of 36.77pts , ROI 26%.

This was the 6th winning month in the last 7. Premium multi players also did welll with a £93 profit ROI 18%.

In the latter half of the month Members enjoyed practically a winner every day , some of these at the long odds of

10/1, 10/1, 12/1 & 20/1 !!

 

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 I have decided to keep stats for Premium tip multis, so you can then see the massive returns possible. 

£20 is a fair stake to risk on the multi. I would recommend the following

A £1 yank ( £11 pound) , or if the tips are long odds, an ew yank 

Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

 I have recently switched to Bet365 as my principal bookmaker, and it's been a smart move with so many extra place

races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

He's got well enough Pep to land the 2.40

 

Selected Newbury- good ground on this flat and galloping track

2.50 Short priced fav in awake at midnight, but this may be an insufficient test of  stamina. Admiral’s secret was bang in contention last time in a better race until taking a late fall. He certainly knows how to win , and gets the nod.

1/4pt Win Admiral’s secret @ 4/1

 

3.25 This has the look of a match between a couple of useful young horses In Emitom and Tidal Flow but the latter had his limitations exposed last time when well beaten in a Grade 2 event at Warwick. He’s in calmer waters today and tis track will help but I still prefer the chance of his main rival. Emiron Is a perfect 4 from 4 and has achieved this at a variety of trips , tracks ad ground. He could be way better than his rating of 134, and if taking this in style, has to be considered a serious racehorse.

1/2pt Win emitom @ 6/4

 

3.55 PREMIUM RACE

 

Newbury placepot

1,7

3

2,5

1

1,10

5,9

16 bets

 

 Selected Lingfield- all weather- polytrack

 

2.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.30 Only 4 go but all have a good chance at the weights , so easy to swerve

No bet

3.05 highland Acclaim and Watchable are Going to bomb out  ensuring a true pace. Highland Acclaim is in good form, has the best of the draw and goes well over C&D, but is now on a testing mark, while Watchable has been given a chance by the handicapper , but drawn a bit wide and on a long losing run. Nick Vedder only ran Ok on polytrack last time so preference is for the back to form Suzis Connosseur. Who’s last win came over C&D when he sluiced in , but it did come off a 9 pound lower mark than today, but has been holding his form well off this mark of late in  tougher races, so could surprise. The reliable Something Lucky comes here in his usual good form,, but at this longer trip , in 15 tries, the best he’s done is one place !

1/2pt Win Suzis Connoisseur @ 6/1

 

3.35 Zorawar continues to run well but has a lot to at the weights in this claimer. The drop in trip wont help Attain and he should have done much better last time. Brexitmeansbrexit has a solid chance at the weights, ran well last time, and gets the nod.

1/4pt Win Brexitmeansbrexit @ 4/1

 

4.10 PREMIUM RACE

 

Lingfield placepot

3,8

2,3

2,3

2

1,4

1

16 bets

 

Selected Doncaster- good ground on this flat and galloping track

 

2.10 Up to his last race, the 13yo First Of Never had never won in 38 tries, so was rightly unconsidered , especially being out of the weights by 6 pounds, but he beat 16 others In quite a decent race. He’s on a similar mark today and has identical conditions.  This is not a deep race and the fav is the novice Legal History , who wont be carrying my money off a tough enough mark for what he has achieved. The only other with claims is Navajo War Dance, but I’m with lightning striking twice.

1/4pt Win First of Never @ 5/1

 

2.40 Since joining Dan Skelton’s yard, Peppay La Pugh has hardly put a hoof wrong and continues to run well over fences at this trip and on good ground. This is a weak event and well worth risking over the smaller obstacles as the fav , Coole well has a bit to prove with a penalty and also on quicker ground.

3/4pt Win Peppay Le pugh @2/1

 

Placepot

7

4

1,4

1,2

1,2

1,3

16 bets

 

Selected Dundalk- all weather- polytrack

5.15 yuften is rated a lofty 93 but has been kept to this low grade for his last two runs, which  has proved a smart move , as he’s sluiced in both times, actually running in excess of his mark, but connections are not tempted to aim him in stronger events and has a massive advantage at the weights tonight. He doesn’t have a sturdy profile , and has had few races in the last year and tonight’s drops in trip and has a bad draw , so all in all, an odds on fav I’d like to take on. I’m happy to play Silk cravat , who has two wins on his CV over C&d and recent runs have been pretty Ok. He has the best of the draw and a good jockey, so capable of springing a shock.

½ pt ew Silk cravat @ 10/1

 

5.45 Not a strong maiden and the bookies dangle a carrot offering 4/6 about the Aidan O’Brien USS Michigan  whose only run last year was a most tidy debut effort . On the negative side, that was 8 months ago and is new to the surface and has the worst of the draw.

No Bet

 

6.45 I can fly kept some exalted company last year and actually landed a Grade 2 . Her only serious rival is the useful Surrounding, but does have a stone to find, but does run very well here.

No Bet

 

7.15 that is the Spirit is tempting back in a handicap on a good mark , and no complaints with the draw, but preference is for the in form Sevenleft , and the drop in trip a positive.

1/4pt ew sevenleft @ 6/1 ¼ pt win That is the Spirit- why not , a small rev fc

 

7.45 A valuable listed Race and Aidan O’Brien saddles a pair of proven useful types in Van Beethoven and Western Australia , and the latter has a big advantage in this event at the weights, but I recall last season that the O’brien horses were slow to come to hand , so worth a try on the track hat-trick seeker Playa Del Puente, whose latest win was pretty good.

1/4pt Win Playa Del Puente @ 3/1

 

8.15 Drakensburg sluiced in here last time , but has a massive stone penalty and goes up in trip . the in form  Mcguigan also goes well here but is another tested by the handicapper and the extra yardage. Alcander is rarely far away over this c&d and looks a solid ew bet .

½ pt ew Alcander @ 6/1

 

Dundalk placepot

4

5

1,12

1,2

4,5

7,8

16 bets

 

Selected Newcastle- all weather- tapeta- the track is stiff and galloping

6.00 This will take little winning and the bookies have this right putting highwayman and Jal Hanuman at the top of the market, but the latter has the stronger claims.

1/2pt Win Jai Hanuman @ 15/8

 

6.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

Newcastle placepot

3,8

9

3,6

1

2,3

1,8

16 bets

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