Expecting an Outstanding October

 

 

September was another cracking month for Premium Tip Members , coming in with a profit of 36.77pts , ROI 26%.

This was the 6th winning month in the last 7. Premium multi players also did welll with a £93 profit ROI 18%.

In the latter half of the month Members enjoyed practically a winner every day , some of these at the long odds of

10/1, 10/1, 12/1 & 20/1 !!

 

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 I have decided to keep stats for Premium tip multis, so you can then see the massive returns possible. 

£20 is a fair stake to risk on the multi. I would recommend the following

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Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

 I have recently switched to Bet365 as my principal bookmaker, and it's been a smart move with so many extra place

races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Rocky to deliver a Knockout in the 5.00

Today’s Fortunes For A fiver

The Ayr ew yankee

20p ew yank & 30p ew acca

Queen’s Sargent 2.00 @ 15/2

Zoravan 2.30 @ 9/2

Pavers Pride 4.30 @ 9/1

Remember Rocky 5.00 @ 12/1

 

The Cross the Card  Terrific Trixie

3 £1 doubles £1 ew treble

Anna bunina 3.10 @ 11/4

Gale Force Maya 3.40 @ 3/1

Protected Guest 3.20 @ 5/1

 

 

Selected Ayr- good ground on this flat and galloping track

 

2.00 Quite a few last time winners here but I can’t see Sparklelot lasting off this mark and on a more galloping track while both Maggies angel and Parys Mountain are well out of their comfort zone off their new marks. Queens Sargeant was another last time winner, but it looked unlikely at one stage , but he sprouted wings to win well. I had been following him but did disappoint at times. He’s run well here before and his new mark is not beyond him. Nice draw and also plenty of early pace to accommodate his strong finish.

½ pt ew Queen’s Sargent @ 15/2

 

2.30 Hard to get excited about most of these and the in form and well drawn Zoravan should be right in the mix again. He’s been hitting the frame frequently of late, mostly at Carlisle, but is also effective over this C&D . He’s a late player and hard to see him not getting involved .

½ pt ew Zoravan @ 9/2

 

3.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.30 A valuable Class 1 and the short priced fav is the in form What’s the story , a very useful handicapper stepping up in class and trip. His last run at this trip was a good 3rd off a mark of 100 , which gives him a stiff task today. The classy Forest Ranger has to concede weight all round, but dropping down from Group class, could be up to it.

¼ pt win Forest Ranger @ 11/2

 

4.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.30  I love these big sprints on straight tracks and first task is to identify the early pace and all of Liamba, Orange Blossom , Landing Light , Militia and Mr Greenlight are drawn low to middle wth The detainee looking isolated drawn in 20. It will be hard for one of these to slip the field, but Militia has dropped to a very dangerous mark, but continues to disappoint. Economic Crisis is running really well and is well drawn to deliver a telling late challenge but slight preference for Paver’s Pride, who has been 2nd in both his runs here, including this race last year. He’s on a stiff enough mark but his latest comeback spin  was encouraging and his profile suggests that this is his main target. Draw looks Ok.

½ pt ew Pavers Pride @ 9/1

 

5.00 The lightly raced Iron mike sluiced in last time when making all at Musselburgh first time at middle distances but the 7 pound hit and the wide draw makes the double difficult. Remember Rocky is a regular here and has done well in his last two runs stepped up to this trip both times at Catterick and from an excellent , a return to this track makes him a very lively longshot.

½ pt ew Remember Rocky @ 12/1

 

Ayr Placepot

1,9

4

10

10,14

1,2

6,13

16 bets

 

Selected Yarmouth – good to firm on this flat and galloping track

3.20 Protected Guest has win 4 of is 6 starts this season and comes here on the back of another big run At Ascot when stepped up in trip . He is up in trip again and in the weights, but does look a most progressive type. Eyenhallow  doesn’t look the type to appreciate this longer trip and more of a danger is the in form Past Master.

½ pt win Protected Guest @ 5/1

 

3.50 An open event but the back to form Lightning Dance looks to have got his mojo back and a nice bet at the odds.

½ pt win  Lightening Dance @ 7/1

 

4.50 The prolific Yimou goes for the 4 timer and will endeavour to make all but Ice Lord will also have the same idea and under a hefty penalty , this could be Yimou’s Waterloo, but the outcome is cloudy.

No Bet

 

Yarmouth placepot

2,5

8

2,3

1

1,3

4,6

16 bets

 

Selected Ponty- good to firm on this undulating, stiff and galloping track

 

2.40 Hammer Gun came back to form with a good 2nd In the Legends Race at Donny, but that is his best track and he has a rare try on a stiff track today, so would much rather look elsewhere In this winnable event.Data Protection comes here in excellent form with good runs at Epsom, but does have form on stiff tracks , so could be hard to beat. Miss Sheriden runs this C&d well but has a tricky draw and comes here on the back of a tame one.

¼ pt win Data Protection @ 3/1

 

3.10 This wont take much winning and the hat-trick seeking Anna Buninna is only 2 pounds higher for a determined win last time and is proven on stiff tracks.

½ pt win Anna Bunina @ 11/4

 

3.40 Another massively progressive filly in Gale Force Maya who comes here on the back of a hat-trick at Carlisle , but is also effective here. Her latest win was impressive and can overcome the wide draw and 5 pound hit.

½ pt win Gala Force Maya @ 3/1

 

4.10 Hard task for course winner Rubenesque returning from a break off a tough mark and would prefer an even longer trip. Forewarning won well over C&d a few starts back with Stormin Norman not far behind and enjoying a nice weight pull but Forewarning has gone on to run a blinder at York in a hot handicap and should reward fav players.

½ pt win Forewarning @ 6/5

 

5.10 I was very much with Penny Pot Lane last time but he combination of the soft ground and poor draw led to a below par run. She runs this C&D well and a nice ew play in an open finale.

1/4pt ew Penny pot Lane @ 6/1

 

Ponty placepot

5,6

1,3

4

3

2,3

3,5

16 bets

 

Selected Chelmsford City – all weather- polytrack

4.55 A tricky small field nursery but the bookies make He’s A Laddie a short priced fav and I’d rather be with Dazzling Des after a decent 2nd over C&d last time.

¼ pt win Dazzling Des @ 4/1

 

5.30 Tavus goes for the hat-trick but goes up In the ratings and grade as well as switching from the turf. El Borracho was a surprise winner in a small field handicap over C&D last time , in a better contest and could make light of the very fair 3 pound hit as he’s unexposed over this C&D.

½ pt win El Borracho @ 13/2

 

6.00 Despite the big field very few can be fancied and the ultra consistent Prince Rock can finally upgrade a number of good placed efforts over C&D . Nicely drawn and not much to beat.

½ pt win Prince Rock @ 2/1

 

6.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

8.00 Another big field where it’s hard to fancy many. Fame N Fortune has done well in both runs on this surface and could well make light of the 3 pound hit. The clear danger is the consistent yet luckless Chakiri who’s well drawn and effective over C&d.

½ pt win Fame N fortune @ 3/1   ¼ pt rev fc Fame N Fortune- Chakrii

Chelmsford City placepot

1,3

1

4

4,7

5,7

1,9

16 bets

 

Selected Southwell- all weather – fibresand

5.15 Track regular Break The silence sprung a surprise over C&d last time with mister Freeze and Fly True filling the places, but with a pull in the weights and also from a better draw, the consistent tip looks a very nice ew bet.

½ pt ew Fly True @ 6/1

 

5.45 This has a winnable look to it and quite easy to read with the poorly handicapped Crazy spin sure to try and make all and despite being effective on the surface a bit to do returning from a break. Atalanta Queen also goes well here but her latest effort here was poor. Best Tamayuz has a good record here and has been dropped in the weights and grade on this return to duties after almost 18 months on the sidelines, but often first time back is the time to catch long time absentees , so worth a dabble at fair odds.

¼ pt ew Best Tamayuz @ 12/1

 

6.45 The inform Crosse Fire has to be considered and has a terrific record here Both Miningold and HoneyGG have good records here, but would rather watch returning from breaks. Requited bounced back to form last time with an all the way win on polytrack, but is effective on this surface, but could struggle with other front runners in the field. One of these is Warriors Valley , who has a very good record here and has dropped to his last winning mark.  There was plenty of encouragement from his latest effort over C&D considering he’s regaining fitness after a break. Could well make all.

½ pt ew Warrior’s Valley @ 9/1

 

7.45 PREMIUM RACE

 

8.15  Not an appealing finale and despite returning from an 8 months break, Sincerely resdev has good form over C&d and worth a dabble at nice odds in a winnable event .

¼ pt win Sincerely Resdev @ 9/1

 

Southwell placepot

1

2,9

2,5

2,7

3

5,8

 

16 bets 

 

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