Expecting a Delicious December after 8 successive winning months

 

 

October was a satisfactory month with small profits for Premium Tip singles, multis and lays 

November was yet another winning month for Premium Tip Members with 10pts and was the

8th winning month in succession  ! 

The lay service had an excellent month with a profit of 20pts ROI 22%

 

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£20 is a fair stake to risk on the multi. I would recommend the following

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Extra £1 win doubles

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races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Black Buble could blow these away at long odds in the 2.40

Selected Kempton- good ground on this flat and quite quick track

12.20 Not a deep opener and the unbeaten Tea Clipper is a shade of odds on to carry his penalty , and could well do it. Only danger is Nicky Henderson’s Chasmax, 3rd In an Ok bumper last year and bred to do well over hurdles. Happy to watch

No Bet

 

12.55 Celtic Joy won really well here last time out on similar ground but the 5 pound  hit could be a stopper as could the longer trip. Ballymountain Boy ran well for a long way in that race and with the longer trip in his favour and also dropping in the ratings, could get revenge. Hard to fancy many in this.

¼ pt win Ballymountain Boy @ 5/1

 

1.30 This looks an interesting novice hurdle with both Ofalltheginjoints and Versatility carrying penalties and both look capable of still running big races. The former is ex Irish and won at he first time of asking for top trainer Colin Tizzard in what looked a deep race and todays’ longer trip will suit, but bit worried about this speed track. Versatlity won well at this trip at Warwick, so should be fine at this speed test while Grey Getaway comes here with a decent level of form and must be dangerous receiving weight. There are a couple of dark horses in Boss Man Fred and Hacksaw Ridge , who both have their first runs for top stables and cost connections plenty . Liked the wat the tip finished his race last time.

¼ pt win Ofalltheginjoints @ 2/1

 

2.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.40 Organdi has a massive penalty to overcome while the consistent The Vollan also feels the wrath if the assessor for only coming 2nd. It wasn’t the deepest of races when Irish Prophecy got the better of Capitane and the form will be put to the test today, but Capitane is a weak finisher and the longer trip likely to catch him out. Theclockisticking switches back to hurdles on a very good mark but could find this C&D too sharp a test. Black Buble did really well last season winning 3 times and his last winning mark just 2 pounds below today. C&D likely to be in his favour as is the ground. He ran well for a long way on his comeback spin and a lively longshot today.

¼ pt ew Black Buble @ 20/1

 

3.50 PREMIUM RACE

 

Kempton placepot

1

5

1,5

1,3

4,11

1,4

16 bets

 

Selected Carlisle- soft ground on this undulating, galloping and stiff track

12.45 Not a deep contest and worth a play on Baraculu who showed ability last season and has his first start for the progressive stable of Tristan Davidson.

¼ pt win Baraculu @ 9/4

 

1.20 This looks very much a match with the useful and reliable Windsor Avenue 1 from 1 over fences after an impressive debut in the Sedgefield mud and the form looks chunks better now with the remote 2nd horse having won a handicap next time. His main rival is the useful Ballymoy , rated 151 over hurdles while Windsor Avenue is only 138, and he also receives weight. He won 3 of his first 4 last year , but did end the season tamely. His comeback spin was very decent but could struggle on the deep ground over this demanding C&D while Windsor Avenue is an out and out stayer with a win here on his CV. At the odds, happy to watch.

 

1.55 Methodofthemadness won well over C&D last time , making all, but is on a testing mark in this handicap. Both amberose and Lady Samback run well here but the softer ground is the problem. Lily’s Gem  won a bumper here in the mud and while subsequent efforts give her claims in this, looks plenty short at 6/4. Georgian Firebird is hard to win with but does have some decent efforts over C&D in the mud, but also has two ways on running.

No Bet

 

2.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.05 The Sue Smith stable continues to struggle badly so the capable C&d winner Never Up has to be overlooked while Henry’s Joy flopped on his comeback spin and soft ground no help. Pookie Pekan has some good form here but is now on a testing mark and a chance is taken with the well treated C&D winner Knockomona , and the deeper the ground the better.

¼ pt win Knockomona @ 12/1

 

Carlisle placepot

1

1

2,6

4,5

1,5

1,6

16 bets

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