Hoping for Jubilation in July

 

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I am having hospital treatment on Thursday 9th of July and have been advised I could be there for most of 

the day so a service for that day is most unlikely . Memberships and trials will be extended by one day .

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prior to Thursday's treatment. 

 

June was a very difficult month with a stack of long priced unlikely winners and many horses with very solid chances

running way below their chance. As the month went on, the winners started coming and i found a number of double

figure odds winners . We came out with a loss but the laying service managed a small profit . Racing is more settled

and I expect a far better level of success in July .

 

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A £1 yank ( £11 pound) , or if the tips are long odds, an ew yank 

Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

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races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Her Duty is to land the 2.10

 

Selected Chepstow – heavy ground on this undulating, galloping and stiff track

12.50 A competitive small field opener but there was plenty to like about the lightly raced Born To Please when winning in the Uttoxeter mud , beating Princess Mononoke by 4 lengths, but has a hefty 8 pound penalty to overcome. She was at her best on deep ground on the flat and a win at Salisbury suggests this track should be fine.

¼ pt win Born To Please @ 13/2

 

1.20 Quite a few of these have showed ability in few tries but the nod goes to Jac Brown, likely to be better suited to this more galloping track.

¼ pt win Jac Brown @ 6/1

 

2.25 Hard to fancy many in this big field stayers chase . The fav is Here’s Bingo , who’s run well in his last two races , but would just rather watch up in trip and first time over fences. The Manuscript is hard to predict but his recent 2nd over C&D in the mud , makes him a player in this. Sign Of war has been giving the impression this longer trip will suit and the stable does  well with its chasers .

¼ pt ew Sign of war @ 10/1

 

3.30 the drop in trip wont help Dorking Cock while the in form Duc Kauto has a bit to prove on deep ground. The Gipper has a terrific record here , but is on a long losing run and hard to predict nowadays. Twasn’t The plan is rarely far away , 9 places in 11 races, but no wins. He ran well here recently over a longer trip in the mud and looks a very lively longshot in a winnable heat .

¼ pt ew Twasn’t The plan @ 16/1

 

4.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

Chepstow placepot

7

6

2,6

9,10

1,7

1,4

16 bets

 

Selected Ayr- heavy ground on this flat and galloping track

 

1.05 A competitive small field novice event but the ultra consistent Aurora Thunder runs this C&D very well in deep ground and could be too tough in the finish for rivals hard to win with .

¼ pt win Aurora Thunder @ 10/3

 

2.10 Irish raider Sporty Yankee is a massive stone higher for a good 2nd last time , and also drops in trip , so hard to be supportive of him . Cheers Id was well backed last time and only gave best late on in the Sedgefield mud, but the longer trip not sure to suit. Duty Girl is a long standing maiden and this ex-Irish  stepped up on old form with a good 4th in the Southwell mud , giving the impression this longer trip would suit. The small stable has a good record here as does the jockey .

½ pt ew Duty Girl @ 8/1

 

2.40 This looks very much a match between recent winner Ettila De sivola and the capable yet hard to win with Martila. I’m with the former for another all the way win.

½ pt win Ettila De sivola @ 5/4

 

3.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

 

Ayr Placepot

2,5

4,6

5

1

1,4

5,7

16 bets

 

Selected Wolver – all weather- tapeta

4.15 Agent of Fortunes bubble burst last time going for the 4 timer and runs off the same mark tonight , and is unproven on this surface . Is also ridden by a young jockey with a poor success rate in this race for apprentices. There will be no hanging about in this with the well drawn pair of Disruptor and Rockesbury both known for getting on with it sharply , but Disruptor is ridden by a very inexperienced jockey and nothing harder than riding at the right pace from the front . The strong pace will suit the well drawn late playing Sarasota , unlucky over C&d last time and this could finally be her day.

¼ pt ew Sarasota @ 13/2

 

4.45 This is another apprentice race and a lot less deep. The down in grade Bernie’s boy has a C&D win on his CV and the young jockey is well capable.

¼ pt win bernie’s Boy @ 11/4

 

5.15 Will To win has a penalty and a 7 months absence to overcome as he hasn’t been seen since winning well in the Summer at Lingfield, so faces a different surface tonight . He also has the worst of the draw. This is an excellent opportunity for Shine on Brendan to upgrade two good 2nds , one of which came over C&d.

¾ pt win Shine On Brendan @ 2/1

 

5.45 Eesha says is going well but has to prove effectiveness away from Southwell while Fareeq is also going well , is effective on the surface , but has the worst of the draw. Guardia Svizzera has bits of form to make him of interest as an ew play.

¼ pt ew Guardia Svizzera @ 7/1

 

6.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

6.45 Quite a tricky low grade handicap as many of these could improve for this longer trip . Halfacrown is consistent and has good enough form over C&D to be a threat from a nice draw. comes late off the pace and this could be a strongly run event .

¼ pt ew Halfacrown @ 7/1

 

7.15 The fav is Global giant, who has had some stiff tasks of late in Group company and has to be well respected having his first run for the mighty John Gosden . Preference is for the globe-trotting Pivoine, hardly disgraced of late in group company in Canada and Kuwait in massively valuable events. He comes out the best in at the weights and the stable has plenty of winners here.

½ pt win Pivoine @ 13/8

 

Wolver placepot

2,5

1

7

3,5

7,11

5,9

16 bets

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