Hoping for Jubilation in July

 

IMPORTANT NOTICE 

I am having hospital treatment on Thursday 9th of July and have been advised I could be there for most of 

the day so a service for that day is most unlikely . Memberships and trials will be extended by one day .

The service for Monday 6th of July is likely to be published later than usual as I have to be tested for Covid 19 

prior to Thursday's treatment. 

 

June was a very difficult month with a stack of long priced unlikely winners and many horses with very solid chances

running way below their chance. As the month went on, the winners started coming and i found a number of double

figure odds winners . We came out with a loss but the laying service managed a small profit . Racing is more settled

and I expect a far better level of success in July .

 

You remain with a tipster at the very top of the game and in  December I won The Rating The Races

Tipping competition coming out on top of some 250 other entrants. 

I was also runner up in the Elite Section of a different online tipster comp 

 

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 I have decided to keep stats for Premium tip multis, so you can then see the massive returns possible. 

£20 is a fair stake to risk on the multi. I would recommend the following

A £1 yank ( £11 pound) , or if the tips are long odds, an ew yank 

Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

 I have recently switched to Bet365 as my principal bookmaker, and it's been a smart move with so many extra place

races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Stay calm, Flegmatic to nail this late on

Today’s Multi

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Muhaafiz 1.15 @ 5/1

Shaketry 3.25 @ 2/1

Flegmatik 4.15 @ 3/1

Selected Leopardstown – very soft ground on this flat and galloping track

1.15 Despite the big field few come into this with race winning form and I like the look of recent Naas winner Muhaafiz, who was front rank that day and pulled away for an easy win and backed that up with another good effort over the same C&D under a penalty and only giving best late on with the heavy ground taking its toll. He is very likely to be front rank again and this more benign track should suit this ex flat horse .

½ pt win Muhaafiz @ 5/1

 

2.20 Big ask for the in form Highest Benefit , 3 wins in his last 4 , but the 9 pound hit will take some overcoming . Cherif De L’isle has done well hitting the frame in all of his 4 runs this season and takes a welcome drop in grade , but the longer trip a bit of a worry. Ice Cool expectedly did much better last time stepped up to a more appropriate trip , only just being denied on the Fairyhouse mud and is still well treated on old form . Nice ew play .

¼ pt ew Ice Cool @ 10/1

 

3.25 Shaketry deserves a win in the strength of some really good efforts of late. He has a clear chance at the weights, ground fine and should be Ok over a slightly longer trip .

½ pt win Shaketry @ 2/1

 

4.00 The veteran Witness of Fashion continues to hold his form well and off a workable mark , shouldn’t be far away . Fine over the track and ground .

¼ pt ew Witness of Fashion @ 9/1

 

4.30 The famous colours of the Cheveley Park stud will be worn by newcomer Felino De bersy , who is related to a number of good French bumpers and with Jamie Codd in the saddle, has to be worth a play at the odds.

¼ pt win Felino De Bersy @ 6/1

 

Leopardstown placepot

12

2,7

1,14

3,6

10

3,10

16 bets

 

Selected Wetherby- heavy ground on this flat and galloping track

 

2.00 Accordingtogino has the best form but emptied out alarmingly on heavy ground last time, so may not be the cert he appears.

 

2,35 A very weak handicap and looks destined for the back to form The Crazed Moon , but I can pass at a shade of odds on .

No bet

 

3.40 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.15 The drop in trip wont help either of Khage or Secrete stream while the luckless or careless Zizaneur switches to hurdles after blowing winning opportunities over fences with late falls, but hurdles form of late not good. Main Fact has held his form really well since returning from a break and goes for the 4 timer , but would do well to achieve it with the 12 pound penalty. Flegmatik is only lightly raced and runs for a top stable. He was a good 2nd over C&D on soft ground prior to taking his chance in a red hot Newbury handicap, where he was far from disgraced . Could be his day. Baraculu doesn’t know how to run a big race , but this looks tougher while this speedy C&d could catch out the strong staying Gennady.

1/2 pt win flegmatik @ 3/1

 

4.45 Spirit of Hale bounced back to his best last time with a wide margin win in the Sedgefield mud but the 11 pound penalty and the drop in trip , makes the double look unlikely .Ector comes here on  the back of a decent effort at Uttoxeter in the mud when he disputed the lead with Rollerball Rocco , and stayed on just the better. A similar story looks likely today and this could be the tip’s big day  .

¼ pt win ector @ 3/1

 

Wetherby Placepot

1,2

1

2,4

1,3

4

9,10

16 Bets

 

Selected Wolver- all weather – tapeta

4.45 Creative Talent won this last year and comes into this in good enough form to nail the double, but bit worried about the pace of the race. Last year’s winner is a real hold up type, as is the majority of the field, so something could pinch this from the front . The likely pacesetter is Pike Corner Cross who is hard to win with but effective over C&d and a nice longshot to ger the run of the race. Café Sydney is a stablemate of Creative Talent and the similarities don’t stop there as he’s also in form  effective over C&d and a hold up type , but a more prominent ride wouldn’t surprise .

¼ pt ew Pike Corner Cross @ 12/1

 

5/15 Cheeky rascal is 0 from 30 on the flat but has been placed in half of his races and has livened up of late since being dropped into Class 6 and was a good 2nd over C&D last time out when given a prominent ride. Could finally be his day .

¼ pt win Cheeky Rascal @ 2/1

 

5.45 PREMIUM RACE

 

6.15 Sky defender impressed going up to this trip for the first time at Kempton , but does have a 5 pound penalty and is new to the surface, so could be vulnerable. it’s hard fancying Kodiak Harbour up in trip and returning from a break, but the other three all have a clear chance.

No Bet

 

6.45 Happy to give this claimer the swerve

No Bet

 

7.15 Not a deep maiden and we have an odds on fav in Dear Power, successful on her debut at Chelmsford City, running to a good level but then subsequently flopped on quick turf in listed company. She returns from a 6 months break carrying a penalty and from a bad draw. Not for me at odds on .

 

No bet

7.45 A right minefield of a finale but I’m with van Dijk , who ran well here last time and the drop in trip could help.

¼ pt win Van Dijk @ 5/1

 

Wolver placepot

4,7

3

3,4

3,4

2

2,4

16 bets

 

 

 

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