Expecting a Sensational September

 

 Registration problems seem to be a thing of the past , but if you are experiencing problems

please email me .

August began very well including another perfect day of 3 winners from 3 tips, resulting in further 

joy for multi players , but the 2nd half of the month was most disappointing and  we came out of 

the month with a pretty hefty loss . I was happy with the selections prior to then racing, but many 

underperformed , which can happen in horse racing . However , players of the Premium Tip multis

very much came out on the right side with a profit of just under £200, ROI 47%

The laying service came out of August with a small profit.

 

 

 I have decided to keep stats for Premium tip multis, so you can then see the massive returns possible. 

£20 is a fair stake to risk on the multi. I would recommend the following

A £1 yank ( £11 pound) , or if the tips are long odds, an ew yank 

Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

 I have recently switched to Bet365 as my principal bookmaker, and it's been a smart move with so many extra place

races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

I consider betting  on the horses my hobby and all hobbies cost money, but I have proved that you can enjoy all the 

pleasures a hobby brings and also come out with a profit .

 

 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Come to Papa in the 4.45

Today’s Multi

£1 trixie & £1 treble

Mount Wellington 3.40 @ 5/2

Social City 4.15 @ 5/2

Papa Stour 4.45 @ 6/4

 

 

Selected Chelmsford City – all weather – polytrack

2.00 A very weak opener and something is going to delight their connections by struggling over the line . All of these are highly limited and the nod goes to N Over J after a good effort over C&d last time out.

¼ pt win N Over J @ 2/1

 

2.35 The pair heading the market in Festive Love and Scherzo both started their carers well with good 2nds on their debuts . Festive love was 2nd at Kempton, so is proven on the surface and this Frankel filly should relish the extra yardage . Scherzo was 2nd at Newcastle so has a bit to prove on the surface so the tip gets the nod.

½ pt win Festive Love @ 2/1

 

3.10 Krazy Paving comes here on a hat-trick but the 7 pound hit is most hefty . The well drawn Vincenzo Coccotti is the likely leader , but is proving hard to win with and is 2 pounds higher when a close 2nd over C&D when having the run of the race. Veteran Indian Affair ran well for his new stable when 2nd behind the revitalised veteran Englishman off around this mark, but could only manage 3rd behind Krazy Paving in a claimer , but does enjoy a 6 pound pull and I like his chance at a price. Maid Millie is going well of late but this late player would do well to get competitive off a 4 pound higher mark.

¼ pt ew Indian Affair @ 12/1

 

3.40 A good pace is assured with Baltic Prince , who ran better last time  responding to the drop in the ratings , sure to go off hard and the in form Royal Dynasty is another confirmed front runner . Baltic Prince has cut no ice here in two  tries and the front runners are likely to be reeled in as the race warms up. Mount Wellngton is holding his form really well and this late player is well drawn for a late attack. True Belief is another reliable soul but has been nudged up an unwanted 2 pounds for another good 2nd last time.

½ pt win Mount Wellington @ 5/2

 

4.15 Colwood has a bit to prove switching to polytrack while losses are racking up for both Grenadier Guard and cry Wolf. Vexed has a decent 4th over C&D on his CV but preference is for Social City a close 3rd at Lingfield at this trip off a slightly lower mark .

½ pt win Social City @ 5/2

 

4.45 Papa Stour did really well on his first outing for Stuart Williams with a very easy win over C&D but didn’t look to be of much interest next time out in a hot Newcastle handicap, but ran really well off an 8 pound penalty .to be beaten just a few lengths. This is not a big ask and he has a terrific race make up being the only prominent racer and could very well make all.

¾ pt win Papa Stour @ 11/8

Chelmsford City placepot

3

1

5,7

4

5

5

2 bets

 

Selected Ffoa Las- heavy ground on this flat and galloping track

2.15 Only 3 with a chance but Precious Eleanor is hard to win with and could struggle at this trip on the heavy ground. Hard to pick between the short priced joint favs in Martha Brae and Legends Ryde .

No Bet

 

2.50 The longer trip is a concern for both Arian and Kapga  Lily while recent winner Massini’s dream is on a tough mark and more potent over further . Miss Zip comes here on a hat-trick after two soft ground wins at Sedgefield, but drops in trip and is penalised over a very different track, but still makes most appeal .

¼ pt win Miss Zip @ 5/2

 

3.55 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.30 Astra Via stepped up on previous with a close 3rd at around this trip in the Taunton mud , and off around the same mark has serious claims today . The trip is too short for Call Me Sid while Barntown comes into this on the back of a disappointing effort , but ticks plenty of boxes on earlier form.

¼ pt win Astra Via @ 9/2

Ffos Las placepot

3

3,6

7,10

2,9

8

1,7

16 bets

Selected Dundalk- all weather- polytrack

5.15 An odds on shot in Sceptical who is rated a lofty 101 after just three starts ! He has really impressed in winning his last two here but does drop in trip and an inexperienced jockey rides, so enough to put me off playing at odds on .

No Bet

5.45 Eglish comes into this on  4 timer and is very much a youngster on a roll. She looked to have a very tough task last time out here up in the weights, dropping in trip and also from the worst of the draw, but it didn’t stop her from going in again. She hasn’t been lucky in the draw tonight, but tis is a lesser event and the 4 timer beckons .

¾ pt win Eglish @ 10/11

 

6.15 Jon Ess has won 3 of his last 4 and was particularly impressive over C&d last time , but so was the handicapper and races off a hefty 9 pounds higher This is not a deep race and the prolific Cautious Approach got back in the winners’ circle last time winning well over C&D and while the 6 pound hit makes life tough she has had few tries at this trip .

¼ pt win Cautious Approach @ 4/1.

 

6.45 Happauge was a ready winner over C&D last time out and is only even money for the double and is certainly worth taking on at those odds as he’s up a mighty 9 pounds and returns from a break . Ragtime Red is effective over C&D and wasn’t beaten far over C&d last time under this jockey , which is a positive in this apprentice race. It was an improved run last time employing hold up tactics and another good run likely.

½ pt ew Ragtime Red @ 7/1

 

7.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

7.45 PREMIUM RACE

 

8.15 Not a deep maiden and the clear form horse is Plum Perfect who is effective over C&D but looking hard to win with making odds of around 6/4 most unattractive.

No Bet

 

8.45 The short priced fav is Billyfairplay, who only won a claimer last time and runs for a stable that doesn’t improve new intakes. With plenty of those with a chance in this lumbered with bad draws , I like the look  of Eleuthera , a close 3rd over C&D recently off a similar mark and a lively longshot in a winnable finale .

¼ pt ew Eleuthera @ 14/1

 

Dundalk placepot

1

1

6

3

4,5

5,8,13

6 bets

 

Selected Wolver – all weather – tapeta

5.30 The consistent Sonnet Rose sluiced in last time at Kempton, doing well from a bad draw, but the handicapper has taken a dim view and has a hefty 5 pound penalty to overcome , but this is not deep and still considered . Dancing Rave is now on a testing mark so giving the well treated Javelin a try , who’s been a bit in and out of late, but could nail this if the mood takes.

¼ pt win Javelin @ 9/2

 

6.00 The in form Zebulon could well struggle over the extra furlong despite this being a modest heat . Latent Heat went close over C&D a few starts back and has had excuses since. Good opportunity of breaking his duck .

½ pt win Latent Heat @ 7/2

 

6.30 Watheer was all out to land a modest event recently over C&d but the win has done him plenty of good as he’s done well in subsequent races . He was 2nd at Southwell. A surface which hasn’t helped in the past and backed that up with a good effort at Newcastle over a trip too far .From a good draw  and with optimum conditions on a good mark , has strong claims .

¾ pt win Watheer @ 9/4

 

7.00 Fair Star landed a bumper well and then followed up with a win here  and the slight drop in trip unlikely to stop him .

½ pt win Fair Star @ evens

 

7.30 The well drawn Thunderoad has gone close over C&D of late and despite his poor win record, should put that straight in a modest heat. Daafr was a surprise winner here last time but goes up in trip and carries a penalty .

½ pt win Thunderoad @ 5/2

 

8.30 It’s not a deep event and I’m with veteran It must be faith who has been going well over C&d recently in better races than this.

¼ pt ew It Must Be Faith @ 8/1

Wolver placepot

4,5,6

3,9

9

1

10

1,2,6

 

18 bets 

 

 

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