Today's Fortune for a fiver
50p ew trixie &50p ew treble
rathbone 1.15 @ 12/1
Smart Champion 3.35 @ 9/1
Longroom 4.35 @ 9/2
Selected Redcar – good to firm on this flat and galloping track
12.00 Bowman was a costly failure switching to turf last time and can only be watched today . It wasn’t much of a race when Nortonthorpe Boy was 2nd over C&D and happy to let this one go.
12.30 this looks a match between a pair who have both been off the track for some time. The fav is the very hard to win with Imperial Gloriana and I can’t see the drop in trip helping .Huraa ran really well in his only race which came over this C&D on similar ground chasing home the useful Rose Of Kildare . The absence is of course a worry but not bad odds in a weak event.
½ pt win Huraa @ 3/1
1.05 The short priced fav In this weak low grade sprint is the in form Northern Queen , but the longer trip is a concern . It’s been pretty much a tale of woe for Dirchill since his last win two tears ago , which came on quick ground over C&D and off a mark of 74. He’s now plummeted to a mark of just 52 and there was money for him here last time, but struggled to get competitive . The longer trip will help and worth a dabble.
¼ pt win Dirchill @ 10/3
2.15 The longer trip is the worry for the in form My Boy Lewis leaving this race with a most winnable look . All of abushamah, Straight ash and Lukoutoldmakezebak have claims and the reliability of the latter makes him a worthwhile play .
¼ pt ew Lukoutoldmakezebak @ 8/1
2.50 Star shield was highly consistent last year including a close 2nd over C&d off around this mark . after a disappointing comeback spin he showed a lot more like it last time over a trip too short. This isn’t a big ask and good opportunity .
½ pt win Star Shield @ 3/1
4.00 undercover Brother has bouncer written all over him as he returned from a long break last time to run 2nd at Beverley and has been nudged up the weights and this speed track wont help. It will certainly help the flying Longroom , who ran well on his comeback spin and a confident selection to make all .
¾ pt win Longroom @ 9/2
Selected Newcastle – all weather – tapeta- The track is still and galloping
12.15 Many property investors would be banging the door down for a ROI of 10% over 20 years, but Tilsit offers a more favourable investment. His debut run came over C&D and was a very smart effort . He’s 1/3 today but you’re getting 33% for your money for 90 seconds work . not my kind of bet , but if you are bold enough to stick on a shorty , this is your bet of the day .
1.15 A highly competitive sprint handicap and significantly , the out of form, but well treated C&D winner staxton has been very well backed today but I’m still not tempted . He’ll be front rank as will the vey useful handicapper Glen Shiel , who could struggle to keep up today with a lot of pace on as Giogiobbo can also shift early doors. The short priced fav is the very lightly raced Tabdeed who could well be the Group horse in the handicap , but plenty of doubts for me to be interested at short odds. Rathbone runs this track well and sees this trip out very strongly . With so much early pace around good longshot to nail this late on.
½ p tew Rathbone @ 12/1
1.50 PREMIUM RACE
2.25 PREMIUM RACE
3.00 a very tricky small field Group 3 for fillies and I’m happy to play the longshot in Bubble and Squeak . She has a bit to find at the weights, but is likely to have the lead to herself and is the only one proven on the surface.
¼ p tew Bubble and squeak @ 40/1
3.35 The Northumberland Plate and as ever competitive as ever. Rainbow Dreamer has taken off of late and makes the shortlist, but the wide draw is a severe obstacle. The in form smart Champion has been nudged up the weights for his excellent 3rd at Royal ascot and was previously a good winner over C&D. Nicely drawn and a nice ew play .
½ pt ew Smart Champion @ 9/1
4.40 Not too sure what will win the finale but the short priced fav’s junior dream only try on this surface was a massive flop a number of these are capable
Selected Newmarket – good to firm on this undulating, galloping and stiff track
1.30 Arigato was a wide margin winner over C&D last time but it came on soft ground and would do very well to go even close today with the massive 8 pound hit. Arbalet is on a good mark and went painfully close last time and has clear claims as does the in form Breath of Air, but I’m having a small play on the useful Blown By Wind, who could get the run of the race up front and this C&D winner could overcome a testing mark .
¼ pt ew Blown By Wind @ 13/2
2.05 Boccacio is 2 from 2 and looks ready to land the hat-trick in a winnable event
½ pt win Boccacio @ 13/8
2.40 PREMIUM RACE
4.25 Pure Beauty did it very well on debut here and will be hard to beat , even with a penalty .
½ pt win Pure Beauty @ 11/10
5.35 Delta’s Royalty was odds on for her debut last year and made no mistake and did well over C&D last time when a close 2nd running to a level leaving her mark today well workable .Looks a very solid fav .
1pt win Delta’s Royalty @ 11/10
Selected The Curragh- good ground on this undulating , galloping and stiff track
4.45 Only 3 go and this is going to be tactical , which wont suit the classy Sir Dragonet, a hold up type better at a longer trip . Numerian is no mug and likely to get the run of the race from the front and could shock .
¼ pt win Numerian @ 8/1
5.15 Been through this a few times as it’s highly winnable but can’t find the one which ticks enough boxes . For The Trees was consistent last year and will have derived some benefit from a recent comeback spin where she was poorly drawn and down in trip . Nice longshot .
¼ pt ew For The Trees @ 16/1
5.45 The prolific Bowerman , 3 wins in his last 4, is promoted to Listed Company but has work to do to confirm his good handicap win over Broad Street on much worse terms . The veteran Flight Risk was looking hard to win with but put that right with 3 wins last year . He ran well first time out last year and while this stiff C&d is not ideal, makes ew appeal at nice odds.Good chance at the ratings .
¼ p tew Flight Risk @ 8/1
6.15 PREMIUM RACE
7.15 The Irish Derby and the great Aidan O’Brien runs 6 and his number 1 is Santiago, impressive at Royal Ascot, but it came over further in the mud .The O’Brien team have provided a few shock winners in Derbys, including this last year with 33/1 shot Sovereign and it wouldn’t shock ne if one of his longshots outran his odds severely , but the bookies are wise to this and the longshots are much of a muchness .
7.45 Master of Reality was a shock 33/1 winner of this last year and went on to hold his form really well including a brilliant 2nd in the Melbourne Cup , when he was placed 4th by the Stewards , which looked most harsh . He likes to get on with it and expecting an all the way win .
½ pt win Master of Reality @ 11/4
Selected Lingfield- all weather- polytrack
5.25 Tabaahy is holding his form really well and did nothing wrong here last time over a trip short of his best. Has the worst of the draw but can run these down late on.
½ pt win Tabaahy @ 5/2
5.55 Healing Power has done well reaching this level after just 4 runs . He’s happiest when leading and from a good draw could get that all important early lead and be hard to catch . Baby Steps is rarely far away but wins hard to come by .
½ pt win Healing Power @ 5/2
6.30 There’s been money for the well treated Apex King on his first run for a new stable, but recent form is pretty dire and not well drawn. The inform Juanito Chico runs this C&d well and looks a very attractive ew play . In the Cove has dropped to s good mark and is well drawn and looks the danger .
½ p tew Juanito Chico @ 7/1 ¼ pt rev fc Juanito Chico- In The Cove
7.00 This doesn’t look deep and despite a nudge up the weights and a wide draw, Berkshire phily did well over C&D last time and gets the nod.
¼ pt win Berkshire Philly @ 3/1
7.30 Awesomedude was exactly that last time out but a poor draw, a hike in the ratings and a drop In trip all mean this odds on shot is vulnerable. Subliminal is a regular over C&d and despite a testing mark , makes longshot appeal .
¼ p tew Subliminal @ 12/1