Massive profits in March , now for April

March was a great month for the Members with 20 winners at an average price of 13/2 for a profit of 54.8 pts , ROI 34%.

It could have been even greater as I also tipped up 14 seconds at an average price of 8/1 .

I was optomistic of a good showing with improved weather and ground and even better can be expected as we approach Summer

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It was certainly worth it with winners at 5/2 and 7 /1  and places @ 6/1 and 14/1 

With Aintree just around the corner, and with excellent weather and going in prospect ,

I'm confident about finding some great winners.

Hopefully emulating last year when I tipped up 40/1 winner Surf and Turf.

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In the 12 months of Nov 2013- Nov 2014. Premium Tips profit 420pts ROI 14%   Lays profit 191pts ROI 9 %

 

For this year - Current profits are : PremiumTips 412 pts   Lays 292pts !!

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

You'd be Crazy not to back him in the 5.05

Today’s Specials

Great day for followers of this feature as the £5 double was landed with some ease by Ice Slice @ 5/2 and Elusivity @ 9/4 for a return of £57 !

Have two for you today . one for the fav backers and one for those who like playing longshots

£5 acc

Ozzie the Oscar 2.00 @ 11/8

Abidajn 2.30 @ 4/6

Late Night Lily 3.00 @ 11/8

Fiery Character 2.10 @ evens

Somehow 2.40 @ 4/6

The return  is £194 !!

 

15 p ew Lucky 15 & 25p ew acc

Bescot Springs 2.20 @ 7/1

Karl Marx 4.10 @ 14/1

Weapon of Choice 4.35 @ 6/1

John Reel 3.10 @ 14/1

Newton Abbot – good to firm ground on this tight and flat track

2.00 Ozzie the Oscar looks a really god bet in the opener. He is unbeaten in 3 races over hurdles and his quality of form is far superior to his rivals. He also handles good ground and I would  have expected him to be odds on. Black Corton won well last time but the bare form is not great while the only other with a serious chance is West Approach, but it’s most unlikely that the drop in trip and faster ground will be of any help.

1.25pts win Ozzie the Oscar @ 11/8

2.30 Only Upsanddowns has any experience over fences and they were both pretty forgettable .The best of these over hurdles was Abidjan and he looks good to go in first time over fences as despite being  a superior horse , the capable trio of Castlemorris King, Upsanddopwns and War Singer are all running way below form. 4/6 is too short for me for a single

3.00 A weak novice hurdle and the fav is Late Night Lily who clearly has the best form and won a far tougher evet last time . All that’s stopping the double is the quicker ground and possibly the sharp track,but she is clearly the one to beat.

¾ pt win Late Night Lily @ 11/8

3.35 An uktra competitive Class 2 handicap and the only one I can safely rule out of the poorly handicapped Sew on Target, who also has a poor make up for a front runner. You could make a decent  case for all of these and I’m with the well handicapped Astarcad who was pulled up in the Aintree mud last time but prior to that ran a cracker at the Cheltenhan festival.

¼ pt ew Astracad @ 16/1

4.10 Few of these are running well enough to be considered in this weak hurdle. Unify is the exception coming here on the back of two seconds , but  a bif drop in trip and a weight rise makes it all so difficult. Last season Karl Marx was winning off a mark of 87 and has dropped in the weights down to only 77 today. He is a top of the ground horse so today conditions are finally in his favour. He actually hasn’t run badly in some of those races on unsuitable soft ground so the ability certainly remains. I would have been a bit more confident if it wasnl;t for this track. His best track is Wincanton which is right handed and galloping while this is left handed and tight, but still worth the risk at the ground , trip and mark. The only other I like is the ex Irish Replacement Plan who shaped up well on his recent English debut and the ground will suit.

1/2 pt ew Karl Marx @ 14/1

4.45 Another quality chase this time a Class 3 and again there’s plenty in this with a chance. I’m eliminating Don’t Do Mondays on ground too quick and also off a high mark while KIlmurvy and So Fine continue to run below par.The fav is Shuil Royal who finally has his ground and also he’s now on a good mark. Port Melon keeps on running well but keeps finding a couple too good. He likes the ground, but does have  arare run going left handed . I’m with Alternarif who has had a good season and the better ground will see him in a better light.

1/2 pt ew Alternatif @ 7/1

5.15 The once useful Dispour recently returned to action and now runs for the  hugely successful Dan Skelton stable. He won doing cartwheels and the double is on in this weak handicap despite being 7 pounds higher, but was rated much higher at this peak and he may be back there now , but at 1/2  , I can pass

Chester- good to soft ground on this flat and very tight track where low numbers in the draw have a big advantage

2.10 A Class 2 for 2yos and you can understand why the bookies make Fiery Character the even money fav. She was unfancied on her debut at Newmarket but got out smartly and made all for a clear win. It’s uncertain how strong the form is and also the ground today wont be as testing, but she has the plot draw in stall 1 and with her early pace , an all the way double looks on. Awesome Allan is a speedy juvenile but from the 8 stall will need a miracle.

¾ pt win Fiery Character @ evens

2.40 A Class 1 and we don’t know that much about these fillies , but quite a few of these will need to step up in what they have showed altready. Aidan O’Brien has a great record in this race and runs Somehow, whose form  is just about the best on show and she is well entered up in 5 Group 1’s. It will be  a surprise is she fails to collect , but not for me at 4/6.

3.10 The Chester Cup and even over this 2 mile plus trip the draw is important . Quick Jack went close to winning this last year but was just touched off by Trip to Paris , who went on to land a Group 1 later in the season, so the form is rock solid . He was fairly drawn last year but is badly drawn today which gives a great chance to the very likeable John Reel who performed heroics in this last year finishing 6th behind Quick Jack and also Gabrial’s King , but is better off at the weights today and ran from stall 15 last year and today has a  great draw in 5 . He’s been busy and generally running well on the all weather and as usual will run his race and could possibly go all the way, which is not unknown in this wonderful spectacle.

1/2 pt ew John Reel @14/1

3.45 PREMIUM RACE

4.20 PREMIUM RACE

4.55& 5.25  Just not enough to go on in   the last two races and giving them both the swerve

No Bets

Kelso- good to soft on this undulating and sharp track

2.20 A shocker of  an opener and while many of these drop into a seller for the first time, they have hardly been cutting the mustard. The fav is Dr Beaujolis but the race he won was very weak and may have trouble following up off a 7 pound mark despite the drop in  class. Bescot Springs has run some reasonable races of late and could well get an overdue win.

1/2 pt ew Bescot Springs @ 7/1

2.50 PREMIUM RACE

3.25 Another weak race and I’m with the consistent Bassarabad who may just get his head in front today as long as the ground doesn’t dry up too much. Both KK Lexion and Golden Investment go handicapping for the first time for big stables and could both improve for racing in this sphere as well as the ground and longer trip.

¼ pt win Bassarabad @ 7/2

4.00What’s Up Woody is on a hat-trcik but while the weight rise looks manageable the longer trip is certainly not in his favour.Scotswell has had a fairly like  season and has been given a good chance by the handicapper. He’s won before over C&D and should have a good make up as few of these lkike to go on early. He’s gone all the way before and this is his best chance for ages. Blue Kascade is interesting as he only wins after lengthy breaks and despite being high in the weights could have more to offer at this longer trip.

½ pt win Scotswell @ 9/2

4.35 Another weak race and few of these have any serious chance. The trip is too shirt for Carinna while both Theatrical Style and Ash Park prefer softer ground.Weapon of Choice finds it tough getting his head in front nowadays but has the form to go close and ran well on the flat recently .

½ pt ew Weapon if Choice @ 6/1

5.05 New Vic won a Hunter Chase here last time but it was over a longer trio and on  softer ground and he was a bit of a lucky winner as he was left clear at the last.He has a tough task conceding weight all round at this shorter trip especially to Crazy Diamond who shapes up very much as if tbis shorter trip will suit.

¾ pt win Crazy Diamond @ 5/2

5.35 & 6.05

No Play in the bumpers

 

Selected Wetherby – good to soft ground on this flat and galloping track

6.00 Urban Hymn was a highly promising hurdler a few seasons ago but has obviously had his problems and his only recent run was an early race fall at Aintree. On their hurdles form he is only as good as Atlantic Gold who should really appreciate the drying ground and this former points winner shouldn’t be phased for his first try over fences.

¼ pt win Atlantic Gold @ 7/2

6.30 Take you pick between Royal Milan, Young Dillon and Kerrow, but arguable Young Dillon comes here in the best form and this longer trip looks sure to suit.

¼ pt win Young Dillon @ 11/4

7.00 Plenty of thse are frequently placed but are rare winners. I gove the benefit to the well weighted To Begin, who shapes up very much as this shorter trip will be of benefit

½ pt ew To Begin @ 6/1

8.00 Opera Og comes here in his usual very good form and went close to winning this last year. He has the useful Klepht to beat but that one does has a but to prove on the drying ground and a trip this short. The shorter trip is very much against stout stayer Young Hurricane .

¾ pt win  Opera Og @ 3/1

8.30 A very tough finale and many of these have a chance on their best form. Fort Smith was rated much huger not that long ago and the drying ground is certainly in his favour and he remains capable of going close in this grade.

¼ pt ew Fort Smith @ 12/1

Selected Chelmsford City – all weather – polytrack

5.45 A great deal of pace on here and it could get pretty messy at the opening turn, which is only a furlong after the start. Penny Dreadful is a confirmed front runner but is sure to have company from Munfallet and breathing down their necks will be Patrick, Cross Fire, Merhoob and Under Siege and with 4 of these drawn in the outside half, a few of these could be forced wide. Under Siege did remarkably well to be 2nd here in a big field from an even worse draw, but there wasn’t much pace on in  that race. If he can expect the first bend he has a huge chance but I prefer the chance of the very well drawn Borough Boy . At this trip, he his content to observe from the back and comes on strongly from the back. He comes here on the back of a most solid run on soft turf behind MUnfallet, but that one is far less potent on this surface while Boruogh Boy runs this track very well. This race looks sure to suit his style of racing and looks a great ew bet.

½ pt ew Borough Boy @ 9/1

6.15 Ellis Eliz has been happy to taken them along of late and is not ruled out on her first crack at a mile which could suit. JOdies Gem is just a bit high in the weights now to get the double and you could say the same about the in form Truth or Dare or the very wonderful Supersta , who has won 5 times this year shooting up from a mark of 60 up to 93 ! Despite having a tough rask you can never rule him out but preference is fro Unforgiving Moment. I was vey big on him last time and was disappointed with the ride he was given but he still ran well to come 3rd. If ridden a bit more positively ,, he can gain an overdue and deserved win.

½ pt win Unforgiving Moment @ 4/1

7.15 Introductory has been turned over twice , both times on tapeta at Wolver over a longer trip. He looks a one paced individual and this shorter trip and quicker surface looks most against him. Red Hot Chilly ran well when 2nd here last time over C&D, but the race was ridden at a bit of a crawl and the form could be unreliable. Both Sides also has track form but that came in a true run race and the form is good. He steps up in trip tonight but looks ready for it and looks a sound fav .

¾ pt win Both Sides

 8.45 Bowson Fred comes here in fine form from the Wolver tapeta , but has been unlucky in the draw again and wont have an easy time getting to the front with the flying pair of Fine n dandy and Grand Beauty. Fine N Dandy has his work cut out s he was held here last time off this mark in lower class but Grand Beauty looks capable of more and is one to watch out for whatever happens here. WEith so much pace on this should suit the closers and the prime candidate is the very well drawn Welease Bwian , who has won his last two over thos C&D and the latest one was particularly cosy and can overcome a penalty and nab the hat-trick close home.

 

¼ pt ew Welease Bwian @ 4/1

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