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Todays FREE tips wording2

Don't hold back. Restraint can win the bumper for his top flat stable in the 5.10 Exeter

Today's Free tip multi

25p ew Lucky 15 & 25p ew acca

Edge of heaven 2.00 Ling

Hello george 2.40 Ex 

Tullamore Dew 3.40 Ex

Restraint 5.10 Ex 

Exeter – good to soft in this undulating and stiff track

2.10 An amateur riders hurdle and it’s tricky. The fav is Howlongisafoot , who does have the best form but I recall him making very hard work of winning a modest race at Newton Abbot. The Nicholls stable is not firing on all cylinders also. The Nephew is a much improved young chaser but his hurdles form  is not that great.The Tourard Man looked good in Ireland and has joined a high profile stable . He’s worth a play.

½ pt win Tourard man @ 11/4

2.40 A big field but it’s quantity over quality. The short priced fav  is Alcala , who has decent form , albeit on soft ground . I’m with Hello George. He showed himself to be one of the better bumpers last season and always showed a good attitude. He’s had  quite a ling time off but his raw ability suggests he could be one to follow.

1pt win Hello George @ 10/3

3.10 Puffin Billy established himself as a leading novice a few seasons ago but has been hard to train and this is only his 2nd race in a year. It’s easy to have reservations about him. Far West should have the legs of Dunraven Star, and the rest don’t count at all. With the cloud over the Nicholls stable. Not playing.

No Bet

3.40 Houston Dynamo is a tough and tenacious type but this longer trip on this stiff track and softer ground rules him out. I’m with the very well handicapped veteran Tullamore Dew, who has conditions to suit and will be staying on strongly .

½ pt ew Tullamore Dew @ 12/1

4.10 It’s a very open handicap but the likes of recent winners Jigsaw Financial and Avel Vor make no appeal off their handicap marks. The likes of Mr Snowball, Fuzzy Logic and Pirans Car are suited to this race but I give the nod to the well handicapped Look for Love, who does run this track very well.

½ pt ew Look for Love @ 14/1

4.40 It’s a very open handicap with a lot of in form runners , such as Moorlands Jack, In By Midnight and Jewellery, but the slightly softer ground points me towards Midnight Lira, in an open race.

¼ pt ew Midnight Lira @ 7/1

5.10 None of these have ever run but I’ll have to have a decent bet on Restraint. Bred to be good on the flat , the stable has chosen the easier bumper route and Andrew balding is a top flat trainer. Occasionally the top flat stables have bumper runners and their success rate is phenomenal. The last time the stable has a bumper runner was three years ago , and that won!

 1pt win Restraint @ 7/2 

Lingfield- all weather -polytrack

2.00 BIG HIT The odds on fav is Compton Mill , who brings very good form to the table but that was achieved on soft ground and he doesn’t have an obvious polytrack pedigree. Eatsleepracerepeat ran Ok last time, but it was only a modest maiden . I’m with Edge of Heaven, who is very consistent and runs this C&D well. Her latest run  was in a good nursery and the drop in trip will suit. Her form is every bit of good as the fav’s and she is a brilliant ew bet.

1pt ew Edge of Heaven @ 10/1

2.30 Not playing here with so many lightly raced types capable of improvement and a lot of the form fancies are trying this surface for the first time and it’s not certain to suit.

No Bet

3.00 The ones favoured at the weights in this seller are Hagree and Roly Tricks, but neither are showing the form to justify their ratings, especially at this shorter trip. I’m having a  play on Kodafine, who is perfectly drawn to do what he likes to do, to lead all the way. He wasn’t in the best of form when last seen , but has had a short break and could well lose these.

½ pt win Kodafine @ 5/1

3.30 PREMIUM RACE

4.00 This is a very tough race to read with so many front runners. All of Seamster, Pucon  Aske The guru and Royal Acquisition want to lead and I can see that whoever leads this after a furlong will win. This should favour a finisher, but there is nothing in the field running that well enough to take advantage.

Reluctantly – No Bet

4.30 PREMIUM RACE

5.00 Sweet Pea stepped up on previous form  with a decisive win over C&d and despite a rise in the weights has to be considered. Sequestor went close last time but he wasn’t far ahead of Cincinatii girl, who has to be worth a play at her massive odds.

½ pt ew Cincinatti Girl @ 25/1

5.35 This is a very winnable apprentice handicap. Most of these will struggle at this longer trip and it can go to the decently handicapped Focail Mear, who has run well at this trip and runs well on the surface. He is a hold up horse and they usually go too fast in these events and that will increase his chances.

 1pt win Focail Mear @ 5/1 

Wolverhampton – all weather – tapeta

2.20 Secret Glance brings good turf form to the table, but it’s uncertain if he will be just as god on this surface. All of Longside, Bonfire Heart and Darma have good all weathet form and are all capable of improvement.

No Bet

2.50 Ar Colleen Aine will run  her race from the front again but she is far too high in the weights and will just set this up for the finishers. Lyfka will be suited the the race make up and is a strong finisher, but I worry about her rails draw and about her getting the room she’ll need late on. Somedaydiamonds actually holds a decision over Lyfka and is better off at the weights. The problem with this on is the longer trip but the pedigree offers optismism and she’s a massive price in a weak race.

½ pt ew Somedaydiamonds @ 16/1

3.20 Another weakfish nursery. I was with Emef rock last time out in a much better race at Lingfield and the drop inn grade and slightly slower surface gives hi a great chance of another win at long odds. Shamrock Sheila has kept some hot company of late and is obviously improved , and this C&D will suit. Tamarin drops in trip and that may not suit while British Embassy will be finishing strongly.

1/4 pt ew Emef Rock @ 12/1

3.50 A lot of these are on first name terms, they meet frequently in this kind of race and the outcome is usually varied. I’m with Hamis Al Bin, who has the chance to get a handy position today in a rac where most of his rivals like to be held up. Douneedahand is the youngest in the field and is another with a big chance as she could well lead this race up.

½ pt ew Hamis Al Bin @ 11/1

4.20 A wide open sprint and the likely leader is the poorly handicapped Baytwon kestrel , who struggles at this trip and will drop away. He does go at a rate of knots and they will be finishing in this from the right, left and centre .Hat-trick seeker Slim Chance has just that in this company while Amadeus Wolfe Tone is also badly weighted Poyle Vinnie has improved on turf and it remains to be seen if he can continue his progress on this surface.Realize impressed last time out over C&d but is up in the weghts and in class and his inside draw may not well be ideal. I’m with Amygdala, who will have the race run to suit and is well drawn to deliver his challenge on the wide outside.

½ pt ew Amygdala @ 14/1

4.50 Another open handicap  and there will be plenty of pace on with ex oriente and Save The Bees taking them along. Save The Bees hasn’t had much racing of late and ran really well last time when being harried for the leadall the way. Young Luke Leadbetter takes 7 pounds off his back today and Luke has won on the tip before. He’s well drawn and could go all the way. Ex Orinte stays further and could easily keep going for a bumper F/c dividend Thunder Rock is the short priced fav but is very high in the weights after a wide margin win on soft turf. His all weather form is nowhere near as good.

½ pt ew Save The Bees @ 10/1    ½ pt Rev F/c Save The Bees – Ex oriente

5.20 Those which have already run haven’t set the world alight and none of them have a pedigree which should be sited to this surface. I’m having a small play on the expensive newcomer Nawassy, who is bred for this kind of surface.

¼ pt win Nawassy @ 9/1

5.50 PREMIUM RACE

Kempton – all weather – polytrack

5.30 No play in this maiden with very inexperienced runners and decent newcomers

No Bet

6.00 Eugenic ran well here last time from a good draw, he’s not that been that lucky tonight but has a good make up with few of the field liking to race prominently. Little Indian was below form when last seen a few months back ,but he’s had the snip and could be back to his decent form . Frankie is fairly weighted on his reasonable runs in good maidens . Eugenic worth a small play.

¼ pt ew Eugenic @ 15/2

6.30 This wont take much winning and it gives a great chance to Abigails Angel to turn a lot of consistent placed efforts into a Gold run. Ferryview Place has a chance on form and weight, but is better at a longer trip

1pt win Abigails Angel @ 7/2

 

7.00 Yodelling was ,mightily impressive winning on debut for Godolphin and is 4/9 to double up, which looks likely , but it’s not for me.

No bet

7.30 Panetella has run two very solid races of late over this track and this looks a great chance to shed her maiden tag. There has been interest for newcomer Osarvuveelil , but he’s have to be pretty forward to take this , and he’s already been gelded !

1.25 pts Panetella @ 7/4

8.00 Hedge End ran her best race ever over C&d behind some decent types such as Gone Dutch and Double Discount. That came off a strong pace and with the fav Tizlove regardless , an out and front runner, a strong pace looks on. The fav rattled up a hat-trick at the start of the season and returns after  months off, on a much higher handicap ,ark than his last win. The tip has had a little break and has to go close if she is sharp enough for her return.

¾ pt ew Hedge End @ 13/2

8.30 Threetimesalady is well weighted and has the plot draw but she has flopped here before and this gives a strong chance to Tahchee to get the C&D hat-trick. He lost nothing in a good run on soft turf at Leicester off this mark and the return to this surface is a major plus.

1pt win Tahchee @ 11/4

9.00 Monarch Maid won very easily last time but that was on turf and off a higher mark and from a bad draw she is overlooked. Goodwood Storm got it right last time and this youngster has more to offer and is very fairly weighted , she has to go close. I’m with Punk. He’s been running a lit better than his final placings suggest. He has a good make up and should get a prominent pitch. The first time headgear could also help and he’s a massive price in a winnable race.

 

½ pt ew Punk @ 20/1 

 

 

 

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