There is a lot of racing today involving lightly raced 3year olds and 2 year lds, where it is very hard to get a handle on their chances on today's better ground. Therefore only the races worth betting in are being analysed.
Beverley- good to frim ground on this stiff track
1.55 The ones whioch have run haven't showed a great deal and most of the newcomers don;t appeal on breeding. Magic Time is bred to be quick, she wasn't cheap , the stable are adept with their 2YO's and she is well drawn.
1/2 pt ew Magic Time @ 18/1
2.30 Handwoven ran well over C&D lat time but will find it tough dominating from stall 13 today. Baltic fIre ran well here last season and despite going up a bit on the weights is considered. I'm going for Kraka Gym, who is certainly well handicapped, wont mind the ground and stamina looks his forte, so the uphill finsh will suit.A massive price.
3/4 pt ew Kraka Gym @ 20/1
3.00 Muteela is well bred and well connected and is 1 from 1 and could easily make it 2from 2, but she's only even money. Lincoln is a consitent type, capable off this mark and though not at his best on very quick ground, looks solid enough ew.
1/2 pt ew Lincoln @ 5/1
3.30 PREMIUM RACE
4.30 PREMIUM RACE
Warwick- good ground on this sharp and quick track
2.40 PREMIUM RACE
3.10 BEST FORECAST RACE
Music Master is the very short odds on fav for this and looks very vulnerable as he's better at a longer trip on stiffer tracks.Redvers is another who is useful, but is better at further. Mar Mar is very well treated at the weights and can take this contest . Veteran Royal rock still competes at a high level and though unfavoured by the weights,today's C&D will balance the books.
1pt win MarMar @ 3/1 1/2 pt Rev F/c Marmar - Royal rock
4.40 This race is highly winnable.Exclusive Waters is better on fibresand and this trip is too short and he's too high in the weights.. The current form of both Heavy Metla and Tenor is most offputting.Both Myboyalfie amd rayak would benefit form softer ground. This leaves us with Graccious George. He could very well get the run of the race as he is about the only one who lkes to be handy. This trip is also a bit of a stretch for him, but he could have an easy time of it up front and young jockey Cam Hardie is very capable and takes 7 pounds off his back.
1pt win Gracious George @ 6/1
5.15 It's a very unappealing 3YO handicap and at the odds Jazri is worth a small play.
1/4 pt ew Jazri @ 25/1
Perth - good ground on this flat and quick track
2.20 There are joint even money favs here with the closely matched Such A legend and Katachenko on contention. Of the two, Such A legend is the more likelier to apprecite the condiotions. HOwever Tough Trade is closely matched with the favs at the rating and is a huge price. He possibly could do with softer ground and a longer trip, but the favs aren't assured of relishing these easy conditions either. Well worth a bet at these odds.
1/4 pt ew Tough Trade @ 14/1
2.50 PREMIUM RACE
3.20 Many of these are betteron softer ground. Seebright is top weight but will have to do a lot better tha struggling to win a novice chase last time to lift this tough handicap. Hollow Blue Sky ran an absolute blionderat Haydock only 5 days ago. That form os good enough to win this, but he did have a hard race. I'm going for Hawaii Klass, who has yet to win at this trip, but will like the ground and his small stable is going well.
1/4 pt ew Hawaii Klass @ 20/1
4.20 A really hot field but I'm going with the fav. Quincy Des Pictons is the apple of small trainer Alan Jines' eye. He runs this track very well, he is in very good form and you would expect that the stable have made every effort to have in perfect nick to repeat his win of 12 months ago.Bobowen is a bit high in the weights but conditions will suit and he represents hot National Winning trainer, Dr Richard Newland
1pt win Quincy Des Pictons @ 4/1
5.30 This race is highly winnable and the step up in trip, the first time blinkers and Tony McCoy in the saddle , all point to Moss Cloud being a very reasonable bet.
3/4 pt win Moss Cloud @ 5/1
Brighton- good to soft ground on this undulating and very tricky track.
Winner finding is very hard at Brighton. You usually know when racing is over, it's when you've had your 7th losing bet !
5.25 Not a great field. There has been a lot of money fpor Rezwhan this morning, and in this weak handicap, you couldn't ignore this confidenve. I'm sticking with Nelson Quay, who won recently at this trip on the all weather off a higher handicap mark. His turf form is a bit patchy, bt in a weak field, he is very wel priced for his obvious chance.
1pt win Nelson Quay @ 5/1
5.55 BONUS FORECAST RACE
This is another weak field. Both Uncle dermot and Bloodsweatandtears look to have it between. They bot run the track well, handle soft ground and are prominat racers. Nothing else appeals on today's ground.
1/2 pt Rev F/c Uncle Dermot - Bloodsweatandtears
6.25 BIG HIT
This is a vety weak Class 6. Pour La Victoire has a big chance at the weights, he runs the track very well and handles soft ground.
2pts win Pour La Victoire @ 7/4
Newcastle- good to firm ground on this stiff track
5.05 I tipped up Low Cut Affiar recently @ 12/1 and she did it well at Windsor. She is well drawn again tonight but this track is most different. No One Knows wasn't far behind in that race. She has a big weight pull and the way she ran on at the end, today's stiffer track will be of help.
1/2 pt win No One Knows @ 4/1
6.15 StarUp In The Sky is on areal roll on the all weather and even though she#s up a lot on the weights. This fron runner has to be considerd at 12/1.However I'm having a little on TraderJack, who was a decent type with Roger Charlton a season ago. He's very well handicapped and will be finishing strongly .
1/4 pt ew Trader Jack @ 10/1
6.46 It's not a great field and Outlaw Torn is wel drawn to stay with the pace and stay on to the line at a course he runs well.
3/4 pt win Outlaw Torn @ 9/2
7.15 Another winnable handicap . Amtired is certainly not getting any younger , but he retains sufficient ability to recprd an overdue victory under top jockey Daniel Tudhope .
1/2 pt win Amtired