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A sad ending to December. We were confortably in profit for most of the month but the last week nothing much went right. There were a handful of fallers in winning positions and a number of others only just beaten into 2nd or 3rd. It's not a huge loss, but I do expect profits 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Smalljohn to get his hat-trick in this race

Todays Free tip multi

50p Yank & £1 ew acc

Forgivienne 2.15 @ 9/2

Master of Disguise 2.40 @ 3/1

Call Me Vic 2.50 @ 5/1

Classic seniority 4.40 @ 6/4

 

Ludlow- soft ground on this flat and sharp track

1.45 Both Arabian Revolution and Cape Caster were very decent types on the flat and both won first time out over hurdles, both on  soft ground. They weren’t the strongest races ever , but both did it well and they are hard to separate today. Sebastian Beach is another decent flat horse, but he was a stayer on the flat and this track is all about speed. I’m with newcomer to hurdles Beltor. He was fairly lightly raced on the flat , but progressed well in the good stable of Sir Mark Prescott, and wasn’t far behind the two favs on  the flat. He has joined a stable which has some decent inmates. The conditions wont be a problem and he is certainly worth taking a chance at the odds.

½ pt ew Beltor @ 20/1

2.15 BEST FORECAST RACE

Iron Butterfly is capable but flopped badly last time and has become disappointing. Ebony Express returns from a 4 month break on a fairly harsh handicap mark and his best runs at this trip have been on good going. It looks  a match between Forgiveinne and Annaluna. There wasn’t much between them at Fontwell recently and I give the nod to Forgivienne as she does run  this track well.

1pt win Forgivienne @ 9/2    ½ pt Rev F/c Forgivienne – Annaluna

2.50 Call Me Vic bounced back to form with a cracking effort in the mud last time, suggesting vety much that this longer trip is very much in his advantage.This is a very winnable race and I’m with him. Like Minded is a bit too high in the weights and the trip is a bit far. Tony Star is well handicapped but this trip is also too far. The Musical Guy is in good form and his latest second was advertised as good form as the winner went on to run a stormer at Cheltenham. The problem with this one though is the track,as all of his good runs are on stiff tracks.Be very careful if you fancy Theatre Queen, she refused to start last time !Art Professor has tumbled down the weights and runs like he wasn’t this kind of trip nowadays , and could surprise.

1pt win Call Me Vic @ 5/1

3.20 PREMIUM RACE

3.50 PREMIUM RACE

4.20  Virtually a match between two promising types and it’s very hard to split Seven Nation Army and One for The Guvnor. There is no ew alternative.

No Bet

Plumpton – heavy ground on this flat and sharp track

2.00 Stars Royale has clearly the best form , including a good run here in the mud, but he’s only even money and that doesn’t attract. Jim Best runs two and big runs from Borus Brook and Brother Bennett arel ikely. Keys was a very useful type three years ago, but you do wonder what level of ability he retains.

NO Bet

2.30 Bobbits way is a regular here and ran a stormer over C&D on heavy ground last time out. He’s up four pounds for that, which he could do without, but is still the likeliest winner under Tom Scudamore.The tip can throw the odd bad one in. Noble Friend and Home for Tea are the only dangers.

¾ pt win Bobbits Way @ 3/1

3.00 Sweet Boy Vic has his favoured heavy ground and despite being high enough in the weights, his ideal conditions gives him a decent chance. I doubt if Letsbeso will cope with his big weight on this ground and trip.Obistar looks read for this test of stamina and call The Detective is reasonable handicapped and is another to consider in a tricky race.

No Bet

3.30 Zero Visibility makes a quick reappearance after his easy win at Fakenham in the mud.He is a bit higher in the weights but he is best suited to today’s conditions and the track should be perfect.He doesn’t have an ideal make up as there are a few others here who like to lead, but none of them act well enough on heavy ground  to make them a threat. I’m hoping that the tip can stay in touch and grind it out in the straight.

1.25 pts win Zero Visibility @ 5/2

4.00 There wasn;t much between Cruising Bye and Volio Vincente in a similar contest at Fontwell and at the revised weights, it will be even closer. They both have chances today but I give the nod to Brunettes Only who does run this C&D well on vey soft ground.

½ pt win Brunettesonly @ 11/4

4.30 PREMIUM RACE

Wolverhampton – all weather – tapeta

2.40 We begin with a low grade sprint handicap for amateur jockeys. There will be quite a bit of pace on.Kodafine was well punted the other day when winning with ease at Lingfield at the shorter trip. That win cam completely out of the blue, and though he’s effective at today’s trip, he is now high enough in the weights and the jockey is highly inexperienced.I tipped up Lazy Sioux last time out as Members tip, and he was a close second @ 20/1 ! I’m nit with her today at this longer trip and also a bit higer in  the weights, despite having very good jockey Simon Walker in the saddle.Volito and Masked Dance were 2nd and 3rd in this last year, but they can’t be considered on their current form. I’m with Master of Disguise, who will have tjhe race run to suit, and though he’s never won at this trip, has gone very close a few times. He is well handicapped and is ridden by Serena Brotherton , wh is arguable the best lady amateur.

1pt win Master of Disguise @ 3/1

3.10 Swift Susie and Bushtiger are both from decent stables and both have first time headgear today, which could show them both in a better light. I have this down to three and give Penalty Scorer the nod over Colombia and Sky Step. They all have very decent form over C&D and have been running well against older horses. Majenski is another who hasn’t showed much , but is with a good stable. He drops in trip today and has been showing a lot of pace.

3/4pt ew Penalty Scorer @ 8/1

3.40 A competitive handicap and the fav is Als memory, who I am certainly against. He finally got it right in an OK handicap at Lingfield, but he’s up a bit in the weights and this different surface looks sure to catch him out. He likes to go with the pace and isn’t badly drawn but will find it tough to live with the very well drawn front runner Smalljohn. He’s not getting any younger but always runs this track very well . He has won this race for the last  two seasons and is back to his last winning mark. His programme suggests that this is his target and he’s running well enough t get the hat-trick.Rememberance Day is uo a lot in the weights for a win at Kempton in an ok handicap and this surface will test. Bush Beauty is too high in the weights, but Mopa Angel is unexposed at this trip and her win last time represents strong form.

½ pt ew Smalljohn@ 10/1

4.10 The few which have run don;t set the pulses racing and it could go to one of the many newcomers from good stables. The list is ; After The Sunset, owned by Moneybags syndicate, Qatar Racing, Regards , owned by Godolphin , Tarleton , who wears famous colours and wasn’t cheap and Beat Goes on , who was another expensive purchase.

NO Bet

4.40 A claimer, and even  though,little separates these at the weights, it does look good for Classic Seniority. He’s been running very well in god grade handicaps and none of the others can boast that. His task is made even easier by decent apprentice , Gary Mahon , taking 7 pounds off his back.

1.5pts win Classic Seniority @ 6/4

5.10 Toptempo won only a seller last time and has since joined the stable of Ali Stronge but has been bashed with a 6 pound rise in the weights, which rules him out. The Blue Dog is running very  poorly and this is down to a match. Apparatchika is only having her 3rd ever race. She won well at Lingfield , beating an OK type to suggest that today’s handicap mark s more than fair. She is up a lot on trip and tries this surface for the first time, so does have quite a bit to prove for an odds on shot. We know where we stand with Celestial Bay.She has really progressed of late and is a very tough and genuine mare. She ran far better than  her finishing place suggested here last time, as the longer trip sapped her stamina. She is back to her best trip and is very decent value to floor the fav, who does have questions to answer.Only 4 go and ne of these have a history of racing with the pace, so it could turn into a dash, that is the only worry.

¾ pt win Celestial Bay @ 10/3

5.40 Only 3 go now and the Godolphin pair of Monein and Austin Friars take on the hat-trick seeking Miss Minuity. You could make a valid case for backing all three.

 

No Bet

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