Expecting a Sensational September

 

 

August was pretty much a level month for Members both for Premium tips & lays and while 

of course profits are preferable, not too bad coming out slightly the wrong side , and it's a small 

price to pay for a month's entertainment . The Premier Tip Multis however came out with a very 

healthy £170 profit , ROI 32 % and there were big profits for followers of the onsite multi , 

placepot picks and the free tip singles also showed a 10% profit , so all in all a pretty good month.

It was a big ask hoping to replicate the record breaking profits of July , but with a little bit of luck 

we would have been comfortably in profit 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Ballarina Lady "tu"(tu) land the 2.35 at long odds

Today's Fortune for a fiver 

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble 

Ballarina Lady 2.35 @ 11/1

Mount Marcy 5.25 @ 5/2

Twisted Dreams 6.00 @ 9/2 

Selected Haydock – good to firm on this flat and galloping track

1.30 Kimngrace brings the best form to the table and is effective on the ground and at this trip and a deserved win can come her way .

½ pt win Kimngrace @ 7/4

 

2.00 Looks a match but over this speed track, Buckshaw Village should have the legs of Captain’s Bar .

½ pt win Buckshaw Village @ evens

 

2.35 A red hot good quality nursery but I like the look of the front running Bellarina Lady , who has 2 wins on the board already and the quality of her wins puts her on a good mark In her first nursery as her other two ventures recently have been in hot Listed company . Nice bet at the odds .

½ pt  ew Ballerina Lady @ 11/1

 

3.10 Not a deep race and despite the 3 pound hit for a good win over C&D, Dreamweaver can go 4 from 5 at this track .

½ pt win Dreamseller @ 2/1

 

3.40 You’d do very well picking the winner in this as 6 of the 8 won last time, 3 of these are on hat-tricks and no knowing how much these young stayers have in reserve .

No Bet

 

4.20 A competitive finale with no shortage of early pace with Saadeq and rains OF Cashmere , both admirable and tough sorts now in stiff marks and the ultra reliable Delray Boy likely to chip in also , but as he’s holding his form well off this mark and sees this trip out really well , like his chance at the odds .

¼ pt  ew  Delray Boy @ 8/1

 

Haydock placepot

2,4

6

1

1,5

3,4

2,8

16 bets

 

Selected Newmarket – good to firm on this undulating , galloping and stiff track

1.15 Very much a match and the odds on fav is Al Jaddaf , but as both runs came on the all weather , preference is for Spinaround , a strong finishing 2nd last time .

¼ pt win Spinaround @ 2/1

 

1.50 Godolphin run three who are all favoured by the weights but all of Dubai Love , Soft Whisper and Wedding Dance all return from very lengthy breaks so I prefer a play on the reliable and talented Declared Interest , who has a bit of ground to make up on official ratings with some of these, but has a better chance than many .

¼ pt  ew  Declared Interest @ 11/1

 

2.25 Sayyida has been a weak finisher in her last few runs , but still worth her rating of 102, which puts her in with a chance but preference is for the strong staying and reliable Golden Pass , likely to be front rank throughout, runs the track well and likes quick ground .

½ pt win Golden Pass @ 9/2

 

3.00 A very competitive Group 2 for juvenile fillies and the quicker ground is an issue with plenty of the market leaders as all of Oscula, Majestic Glory , Jumbly and Girls on Film have yet to race on ground this quick,  Cachet brings a good level of form to the contest and as she’s proven on the ground and trip , looks a nice ew play .

¼ pt  ew  Cachet @ 11/1

 

3.35 A valuable Group 2 and the joint favs are the Godolphin pair In Benbatl , who hasn’t seen much racing in recent years and not the horse he once was up against the massively consistent and useful Master Of The Seas , who hasn’t been seen since 2nd in the 2000 Guineas 5 months ago, but likely to be ready to run , but at short odds , I can afford to watch .

No Bet

 

4.10 These are closely matched at the ratings but on the ground and trip ,this looks a match between Star Safari  and Without A fight , with the nod going to the in form latter .

½ pt win Without A fight @ 5/2

 

4.40 Some lightly raced and progressive 3yos with top stable in Fireworks and Alhezabr , but both have a bit to do off their marks and preference for the well handicapped Annaya, after a much improved effort when a close 3rd over C&D on quick ground last time.

¼ pt  ew  Annaya @ 9/1

 

Newmarket placepot

1,2

1,12

5

1.7

7

4,5

16 bets

No advice for Listowel today – It’s a cracking card but monster sized fields and any number with a chance in every race .

 

Selected York – good ground on this flat and galloping track

2.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.40 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.50 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.25 This is massively wide open and hard to rule anything out entirely , but the fav, Emeraaty Hero does has quite a bit more to do up 7 pounds for coming only 2nd last time . A decent chance can be given to the consistent Byron hill , who holds his form well and fully effective over this kind of C&D and ground . Dance In Paris is another who is holding her form well and has a good record here .  Splitting my stake .

¼ pt  ew each Byron Hill @ 8/1  Dance in Paris @ 9/1 – why not a small rev fc

 

4.55 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.25 This has a very winnable look to it and the extra yardage should enable Mount Marcy to deservedly break his duck .

½ pt win Mount Marcy @ 5/2

 

Selected Worcester – good ground on this flat and galloping track

2.17 I’d prefer just to watch recent winning hurdler Cousin Oscar , back over fences for the first time in 3 years , while the double will be tough for recent Plumpton winner Away With The slates with a very stiff 7 pound penalty . Captain Coberjay landed a quick double over fences for his new stable , and despite being 8 pounds higher for his latest win , he had been doing it pretty easily .

¼ pt win Captain Cobajay @3/1

 

2.52 Thistle Do Lucky was very much in with a chance over C&D last time, until taking a last fence fall. Against modest opposition , compensation awaits as the danger Supremely lucky hasn’t cut any mustard over fences and switches stables to an outfit with a poor record with new intakes .

¾ pt  win Thistle Do Nicely @ 5/4

 

3.27 Pardon Me is very consistent but does tend to lose her pitch before staying on at the finish . Preference is for Makety after a good 2nd over C&d in her recent chase debut .

¼ pt win Makety @ 9/2

 

4.02 Both Chapmanshype and Reve have plenty to prove on current form while Shetland Bus’ winning spree has come to an end and likely to find this C&D combined with a high rating , against him. The capable Pagero is minus his usual headgear resuming duties  after 2 months off , so the nod goes to the novice October Storm , 2 wins and  a 2nd in 3 tries and on a fair mark now going handicapping , The hat-trick seeking Calvanist can’t be ruled out.

¼ pt win October Storm @ 9/2

 

4.35 Roque It let the side down a number of times last season and remains hard to support . Golfe Clair won very well at this trip for new connections at Sedgefield last time but the nod goes to Renardieu . a winner here and backed that up with a decent effort again here next time and this longer trip could eke out some improvement .

¼ pt  ew  Renardieu @ 13/2

 

5.07 London Eye is a tough stayer on the flat and showed similar grit to win over C&d last time , beating one who has gone in since and on a fair mark for his handicap debut but I’m with the luckless Theocrat, who held every chance until taking a late fall over C&D last time and deserves a change of luck .

¼ pt  ew  Theocrat @ 7/1

 

Worcester placepot

5,6

1

1,3

5,6

1,2

1,2

32 bets

 

Selected Newcastle – all weather – tapeta , the track is stiff and galloping

4.50 Quite an open start to the proceedings but recent Thirsk winner Golden Hind put in a tame one over C&D recently off a lower mark . The lightly raced Colonial Love is entitled to progress and would need to up 5 pounds for a win on polytrack for a Southern stable which does well here . Miracle Eagle has been banging at the door of late and went close in this last year while Hellenista is rarely far away . I’m trying one of the longer odds in the consistent Joie De vivre after a most solid 2nd over C&D last time off this mark.

¼ pt  ew  Joie De Vivre @ 10/1

 

5.30 Elzaal is one of many maidens in this low grade sprint and went close over C&D recently so this could be his night but he’s closely matched with another maiden Sheila’s Legacy on C&D form and as she’s much longer odds , worth a dabble in a winnable heat .

¼ pt  ew  Sheila’s Legacy @ 11/1

 

6.00 Bringitonboris is a dual C&d winner and on a good mark , but is looking hard to win with and I much prefer the consistent track specialist Twisted Dream , on a good mark and back to his best trip.

½ pt win Twisted Dream @ 9/2

 

6.30 Quite an open maiden but hard to knock the consistent Maywake who also brings decent C&D form to the table .

¼ pt  win Maywake @ 5/1

 

7.30 Asmund finally nailed one last time but the penalty makes the double tricky and the lightly raced Daawy has plenty to prove under a stiff penalty and switching from Chelmsford City . Moonbootz stepped up considerably last time when splitting a couple of useful yardsticks over C&D and this looks easier .

¼ pt win Moonbootz @ 4/1

 

8.00 Enderman ran a cracker last time over C&D when trying to make all in a competitive heat and can race off a slightly reduced mark . Only beaten a length last time and not many get busy early in this so could make all .

¼ pt  win Enderman @ 5/1

 

8.30 A very competitive finale but despite being on a long losing run, Blackheath comes here on the back of close 5th at Redcar and his only run here was a good one . He has a rare run in Class 5 , and in a long career has only ever raced 3 times in this grade and comes out with 2 wins and  a place !

½ pt  ew  Blackheath @ 6/1

 

Newcastle placepot

2,5

7,11

9

2,7

2,5

2,4

32 bets

Just a few plays at Dundalk – all weather – polytrack

5.45 Hodd’s Girl runs this track very well and only 3 pounds higher for a smart win over C&D last time and another good run likely.

¼ pt   ew  Hodd’s Girl @ 10/1

 

6.45 A valuable Group 3 and the one to beat clearly at the weights is the very classy Dubai Warrior , who has left John Gosden and returns after a lengthy break and after a couple of poor efforts . Khartoum has a solid chance at the weights and ran well in a Group 2 last time , just beaten 2 lengths . Worth chancing on this surface at very nice odds .

½ pt   ew  Khartoum@ 9/1

 

7.45 Getaway Queen ran really well over hurdles last time , 6th of 20 at Galway and the 3rd horse sluiced in at Listowel this week . Last time over C&D she was beaten just a length off this mark and in a winnable heat , looks a very attractive ew play .

½ pt  ew Getaway Queen @ 13/2

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