Joy in July

A small profit for the singles for Premium Tip Members but a very healthy profit of £180 , ROI 34% 

for the Premium Tip multis .

The laying service suffered a small loss and this was the only one of the 6 areas I keep stats for

to not show a profit .

The fortune for a Fiver showed a profit of £145 - ROI 74% , 

Free Tip singles a very healthy profit of 82pts - ROI 28% 

Placepot picks - a profit of 379 units    ROI 19% 

I'm aiming for a clean sweep in  July 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

A perfect System in the 1.50

Today's Trixie 

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble 

System 1.50 @ 7/2

alibaba 4.45 @ 11/2

Aramis grey 7.35 @ 11/4

Selected Newcastle – all weather – tapeta. The track is stiff and galloping

1.00We know where we stand with the majority of these so I’m with the bookies making the in form Nibras Shadow the likely winner . She’s yet to win one but was a cracking 2nd here last time in a better race , coming from way back to be a closing 2nd and the extra furlong should be in her favour on breeding .

½ pt win Nibras Shadow @ 5/2

 

2.10 As tricky Business has run well in both starts, including one here and looks well ready for the step up in trip , is worth a dabble .

¼ pt win Tricky Business @ 11/4

 

2.45 With the admirable Pearl of Qatar just too high in the weights, the in form Soapy’s Sister with a bit to prove off her mark and switching from turf and the consistent Lady Celia up in grade and first time cheekpieces a negative for the top stable, this leaves a winnable look. The back to form Astrozone defied both a stiff mark and a lengthy absence to go close over C&D last time but preference is for the front running Miss Nay Never whose peak form came over C&D .

½ pt win Miss Nay Never @ 3/1

 

3.20 Plenty of possible here but proven track form counts for plenty and the back to form Home Before Dusk looks a very lively longshot . Once prolific but recently on a long losing run and was rightfully the outsider of 6 in a competitive fast turf handicap , but won it very well  and as the first time blinkers have been retained could double up at tasty odds .

½ pt  ew Home Before Dusk @ 12/1

 

3.55 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.05 Not a deep handicap at all and the consistent jebel Dukhan has a bit to prove nudged up the weights and first time here . The lightly raced Onesmoothoperator has run two big races both over C&D and tis smooth traveller is well weighted in his first handicap .

½ pt win Onesmoothoperator @ 11/8

 

Newcastle placepot

13

2,6

10

1,4

3,7

6,8

16 bets

 

Selected Ascot – good to firm on this stiff and galloping track . Thunderstorms are a possibility so keep an eye out for going changes

1.15 A good quality Class 1 but the bold front running Mr McCann comes here on the back of an excellent 4th in a Newmarket Group 1 , so this stiff track will suit and could take a bit of catching .

½ pt  win Mr McCann @ 7/2

 

1.50 A Group 3 for juveniles and looks a match between System and Desert dreamer , who both  overcame traffic problems to fight out the finish and as the former was victorious and that was only her 2nd ever race , looks a very good bet to double up .

¾ pt win System @ 7/2

 

2.25 The front running Isla Kai is very tough to pass and despite the 3 pound higher mark could go in again , but does face quicker ground today. The lightly raced Fantastic Fox is already a quality performer and is the clear danger .

¼ pt win Isla Kai @ 9/2

 

3.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

3,35 The Group 1 King George Vi Stakes and a small but quality field compete . A strong pace is assured with both Broome and Lone Eagle at their best when dominating , but both need to find a bit more at the ratings and of course taking each other on is far from ideal. Faster ground is a severe issue for the classy filly Wonderful Tonight and could be a question mark against Adayar who I tipped to win The Derby @ 40/1 , and wont be anywhere near those odds today . Love returned to the fray with a hard fought win at Royal Ascot but at the odds I have to be with the classy and prolific Mishriff , who at the ratings is entitled to go close .

½ pt  win MIshriff @ 8/1

 

4.45 The massively consistent front running Alibaba drops in trip but if obtaining an early lead , this genuine and tough type will take some catching .

½ pt   ew Alibaba @ 6/1

 

Ascot placepot

3

10

3,4

1,2

2,3

3,4

16 bets

Selected York – good to firm on this flat and galloping track

2.05 A novelty race with top jumps jockeys trying their  hands over a 5 furlong sprint and plenty of these have tried this race before and looked highly accomplished . Plenty of pace on with Mid Winter , who deservedly landed one last time but hit with a harsh 5 pound penalty and Get Boasting , who prefers softer ground the likely pacesetters and Soul Seeker may well try and get involved , but the penalty and the easier track both against him . All of Ginger Jim’s 8 wins , except 1, have come at stiff tracks but he has hardly been disgraced in recent runs at Donny and Thirsk , so this C&d shouldn’t be a hardship and the strong pace will help as it will for the in form but hard to win with Nibras Again .

¼ pt  ew  Ginger Jim @ 10/1

 

2.40 PREMIUM  RACE

 

3.15 A small field for this Group 2 and the 5 timer seeking Mohaafeth is the short priced fav and has montahem In the field to make sure it’s not a dawdle. Despite his cosy Royal  ascot win still has it to find with another Royal Ascot winner in the back to form Juan Elcano and the very useful Armory who comes here in good form and at the ratings will take some stopping .

¾ pt win Armory @ 6/4

 

3.50 Tricky as Outside World ran well on debut but on soft ground . Perfect Glory and Joeyremy are closely matched and both suited to the ground and this kind of C&D but at the odds, the former’s worth a dabble .

¼ pt win Perfect Glory @ 11/2

 

4.25 The prolific Greengage has a bit of a job on up another 4 pounds and attempting a half mile further trip. Ghadbbaan ran expectedly well on his first try at this trip but goes up in grade . Dance To Paris is rarely far away and appeals as an ew play .

¼ pt  ew  Dance To Paris @ 11/1

 

York placepot

3,8

8,15

1

2,4

6,8

6,7

32 bets

 

Selected Newmarket – good to firm on this undulating , galloping and stiff track

3.05 Desert Angel brings the best form to the table on quick ground and can continue the winning run of the Hannon stable with 2yos .

¼ pt win Desert Angel @ 5/1

 

3.40 Big doubts against 4 of these being suited to today’s task but no doubts for the consistent Wahrann and looks hard to beat .

¾ pt win Wahrann @ 15/8

 

4.15 The short priced fav is the much improved front running astrogem but she returns from a 2 months break on a 7 pound higher mark , for only coming 2nd ! Not hard seeing her leading for a long way and falling into a hole late on. Divine Magic disappointed at odds on over C&D last time but it was her 3rd quick run together and we could see a very different filly after a month’s break and this is very winnable .

½ pt win Divine Magic @ 4/1

 

4.50 A good quality Class 2 handicap and useful sprinter went very close over C&D last time out on quick ground but up 3 pound for his trouble which brings the capable Cairn Gorm into the equation as he was only a length behind and has a 4 pound pull . A strong pace is on as the outclassed Fools Rush in will also be mixing it early on, but not for long , and all of Imperial Yellow, Jadwal and Mitonsonfire have to be considered .

¼ pt  ew Cairn Gorm @ 7/1

 

5.20 PREMIUM RACES

 

Newmarket placepot

1

4

4,5

1,2

3,4

1,3,4

24 bets

 

Selected Salisbury – currently good to soft but more rain forecast and likely to turn soft

The track is undulating , galloping and stiff

6.05 Haveoneyerself sluiced in on soft ground at Lingfield last time and in a modest heat can follow up with just a 3 pound penalty .Spreadsheet is the danger but if the ground turned very soft then firenza Rosa could feature .

¼ pt win Haveoneyerself @ 5/2

 

7.05 The odds on fav is the lightly raced Nine Tales who brings the best form to the table but does carry a penalty and softer ground an unknown .Bluebird day has been front running over further and last time out here on easy ground looked the winner until fading late on . Could be hard to catch .

¼ pt win Bluebird Day @ 11/2

 

7.35 The admirable Aramis Grey just doesn’t know how to run a bad race, 2 wins and 3 seconds this season and switched to turf last time with a cracking 2nd at Ponty , so this stiff circuit no issue and has form on easy ground . Very clear chance,.

½ pt win Aramis Grey @ 11/4

 

8.05 & 8.35

Uncompetitive final two races and the two short priced favs look very solid and both proven on soft ground

¼ pt Double Fire Eyes @ 11/10  Fleurman @ 5/4

 

Salisbury placepot

5,6,9

1,5

1,3,6

8

3

3

18 bets

 

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