Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

but another good month for the Premium Multi with a profit of £115, ROI 21% . Not a bad month as most punters

and tipsters would be satisfied with a level month considering you’ve also had the pleasure of ploughing through

all the facts and figures , coming up with “ The One” and of course experiencing the thrill of watching the tips, in the main running

big races.

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

He's the " Pic" in the 12.40

 Today's trixie 

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Pic d'Hory 12.40 @ 9/2

Boothill 1.50 @ 5/2

Fanion D'estruval 2.25 @ 5/2

 

 

Selected Lingfield – all weather – polytrack

1.20 The short priced fav is the lightly raced Resumption who has showed ability in few chances and runs for a top stable but worst run came on polytrack and goes up markedly in trip . the consistent Squire Secret is on a fair mark but another with it to prove on the surface , but at least we know he stays the trip . Basic Beauty has run some very solid races at around this trip and mark and on this surface . Tactically versatile and this could well be her day .

½ pt  win Basic Beauty

 

11.50 Crunchie did well on debut but was doing all of his best work late on so the drop in trip can’t help. Very good opportunity for the ex -Irish Notoriously risky, now with Archie Watson and proven on the surface and trip .

½ pt win Notoriously Risky @ 6/5

 

12.20 Only 3 go but it looks a very likely quick double for track star the very useful Documenting . Intuitive returns from a break and carries a penalty and his rating is based when having the run of the race from the front over C&D, which wont be of any help today .The tip is tactically versatile and George Rooke’s 3 pound claim also comes in very handily .

¾ p win Documenting @ 5/6

 

2.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.40 A weak low grade sprint handicap and the short priced fav is Morty , but considering he’s 6 pounds higher , switching from tapeta and badly drawn this has a boilover look to it , but I can’t find it .

No Bet

 

3.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

Lingfield placepot

3

6

2

4,7

2,3,4

2,3,7

18 bets

 

 

Selected Newbury – good to soft on this flat and galloping track

12.40 A very competitive Grade 2 for novice chases and the fav is youngster Massalam, a smooth winner on his chase debut but it came in the Ascot mud , and drying ground no use , and has plenty to find with Millers Bank and Pic d’Orhy , and as the latter was the best of these over hurdles and shone in his first chase , looks a very good bet at the odds .

½ p t  win Pic d’Orhy @ 9/2

 

1.15 Good Risk At All disappointed on his hurdles debut considering his very useful bumper form and preference is the potentially very classy Jonbon , an impressive winner of his bumper here , but connections feel he will come on for the run .

½ pt  win Jonbon @ 5/4

 

1.50 Boothill remains unexposed and after a cracking 3rd in a hot Ascot handicap over hurdles , the switch to fences is very much in his favour , as is better ground .

½ pt  win Boothill @ 5/2

 

2.25 Plenty of in form types here but the best form is certainly brought to the table by classy handicap chaser Fanion D’estruval after a close 4th at Aintree at this trip and mark and the 3rd horse landed the Paddy Power at Cheltenham next time .

1/2pt win Fanion D’Estruval @ 5/2

 

3.00 Paisley Park looked like he was going to dominate top notch staying hurdles for some time , but it hasn’t worked out that way and can put in the occasional tame one , disappointing compared to his prolific record a few seasons back . Despite carrying a penalty he is still the one to beat and hard to ignore at pretty attractive odds .

½ pt win Paisley Park @ 5/2

 

3.35 PREMIUM RACE

 

Newbury placepot

1

2,3

4,7

3

1

1,3,4

12 bets  

 

 

Selected Donny- good to soft on this flat and galloping track

 

2.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

 

 

2.50 The short priced fav is recent Catterick winner White walker , who has no penalty but does go up in grade and a change of rider not ideal for this tricky ride. Moon King lost little in defeat last time at Chepstow , but the 5 pound hit will test . At the odds I like the chance of Starsky , who is back over hurdles after mixed efforts over fences and is on a workable mark with ground and probably C&D to suit .

 

¼ pt  win Starsky @ 8/1

 

 

 

Donny placepot

 

2,4

 

6,7

 

1,2,3

 

Fav

 

3,4

 

3

 

24 bets

 

Selected Dundalk – all weather – polytrack

4.00 The clear form horse is also the short priced fav No Speed Limit, but the drop is trip is against him and his last run over C&d was another good effort when splitting Theriverrunsdeep and Samrogue , but the weights clearly favour the latter and an overdue win can be finally hers.

½ pt  win Samrogue @ 4/1

 

4.30 All of Clan Jock, Duleek Street, Mayan Son and Sam Missile have gone close over C&D of late off around their marks , but as the other three are on long losing runs, the lightly raced tip is given the benefit of the doubt .

¼ pt win Duleek Street @ 9/4

 

5.00 A very similar contes here and as Derrinlauer has had much fewer chances than the others here with good recent form over C&D in : Rita Levi , Forge Road and Born Leader and with costly failure Futurum Regem dropping down markedly in trip, tip gets the nod .

¼ pt  win Derrinlaur @ 11/4

 

5.30 Chaos Control had to be shaken up a bit before winning at odds on over C&D last time in a modest heat and the 7 pound hit wont help . Holy Divine was very long odds when 2nd in that race and is 5 pounds better off for the length defeat and has backed that up with a fair effort next time , when down In trip . He’s long odds tonight and is a very lively longshot .

½ pt   ew Holy Divine @ 28/1

 

6.00 This looks a match between Gudrid and Je Tai Porte , whose C&D form are pretty similar in strength and despite both being drawn wide enough should be fighting this out and the former has to be the value bet as it should be a race too close to call .

¼ pt win Gudrid @

Dundalk placepot

1,7

2

3

3,6

4,10

3,8

16 bets

 

Selected Chelmsford City – all weather – polytrack

4.15 A massive field for this nursery and a wide draw is so hard to overcome and as the majority if the more likely winners are badly berthed I’m with a lively longshot in the lightly raced Octophobia , successful in the Catterick mud and then considered good enough to race in a Class 1, but was nowhere good enough . On a good mark in her nursery debut and very well drawn for a prominent racer . Untried on the surface but the stable is a rare visitor here making the 400 mile round trip and is 1 from 2 with 2yos ! Of the remainder , Raydoun is consistent , well drawn and on a reasonable mark .

½ pt  ew Octophobia @20/1

 

5.45 Chillsea has done little wrong in two runs for her new stable and stays on the same mark as when a close 2nd at Kempton at this trip and mark . Well drawn for a prominent racer and is preferred over the C&d hat-trick chasing Lake Sand .

½ pt  ew  Chillsea @ 6/1

 

6.15 Beggarman relished the step up to this trip with a clear win at Kempton , but the 5 pound hit wont help . Socially Shady just can’t nail one of late and went close again over C&D recently beaten a short head with a long way back to anything else , and generously stays on the same mark .

½ pt win Socially Shady @7/2

 

6.45 Sealed Offer has been running some very big races in far better contests , including over C&D and is very well drawn to dispose of inferior rivals for a deserved win .

¾ pt  win sealed Offer @ 11/4

 

7.15 Not a very deep finale and despite a rise in grade, Meisterzinger is worth a play as he’s run well both times over C&D  for his new stable , especially last time when badly drawn.

 

¼ pt   ew  Meisterzinger @ 8/1

 

Chelmsford City placepot

6,10

1,6

3,10

3,8

3

1

 

16 bets 

 

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