Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

but another good month for the Premium Multi with a profit of £115, ROI 21% . Not a bad month as most punters

and tipsters would be satisfied with a level month considering you’ve also had the pleasure of ploughing through

all the facts and figures , coming up with “ The One” and of course experiencing the thrill of watching the tips, in the main running

big races.

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Fancy he can get home Before the rest in the 1.45

Today’s Multi

£5 treble- Pays £70

Away At Dawn 12.45 @ 7/4

Loup De maulde 1.35 @ 7/4

Champagne Noir 3.10 @ 4/5

Selected Hereford – good to firm on this flat and sharp track

1.00PREMIUM RACE

 

1.35 This is very weak and a clear chance has to be given to Loup De Maulde , a running on 3rd over C&D last time on quick ground and the form has plenty of substance as the winner has gone in again under a penalty .

¾ pt win  Loup De Maulde @ 7/4

 

2.10 In what looks very much a match , the odds on fav Grace a Vous Enki has the best form but the lightly raced Ballintubber Boy wont be a pushover .

No Bet

 

2.40 A very big hello to a very good friend of mine , Richard , who is there , probably with his very gorgeous wife Jayne, to cheer on their useful mare Golden Emblem , but her comeback spin wasn’t great and this C&D and the ground are likely to be just too quick for her , but the best of luck anyway , and as she’s a trier , always has some kind of chance . This looks a match between the front running hat-trick chasing Nikap, who switches to hurdles , which shouldn’t be an issue , and as she’s very likely to have the run of the race from the front could upset the short priced fav, recent close 2nd over C&D Josie Abbing .

¼ pt win Nikap @ 9/4

 

3.10 This looks vey much a match , but the fav , Champagne Noir should really have a clear edge as only serious rival, Marilyn Monroe had a simple task last time , had the run of the race and in the end was all out to prevail and the 7 pound hit can’t help.

¾ pt win Champagne Noir @ 4/5

 

Hereford Placepot

1

5,9

8

1,3

3,4

2,4

16 bets

 

Selected Wetherby – good to firm on this flat and galloping track

12.45 The very consistent Away At Dawn ran another big race from the front last time off just a 2 pound lower mark and can have the run of the race up front over a C&d which should suit and already proven on the ground and can have the legs of clear danger Trooper Turnbull, who may well not appreciate the drying ground .

¾ pt  win Away At Dawn @ 13/8

 

1.45 The reliable Boughtbeforelunch had a very stiff task on his recent comeback spin in a hot Cheltenham big field handicap , and was inconvenienced from the start as this front runner found himself in a field full of early pace , couldn’t run his race and was pulled up . Prior to that he ran a couple of big races off higher marks and has found himself in a well winnable race . If at his best , will take some catching .

½ pt   win Boughtbeforelunch @ 13/2

 

2.20 The fav is the consistent yet fragile Rory And Me , who brings the best form to the table, but returns from yet another lengthy break , so would rather look elsewhere . Dual point winner kinondo Kwetu did well at Carlisle but not so good at the sharp Market Rasen. This more galloping track is in his favour and could get the better of stronger fancied rivals .

¼ pt  ew  Kinondo Kwetu @ 7/1

 

2.50 Antunes should have done chunks better on his comeback spin at Aintree when well behind the hat-trick seeking darling Du Large , who will find this much tougher with a stiff penalty and drying ground . Looks a match but recent winner  Some Reign gets the nod over Cedar Hill with just his 2 pound penalty and previously ran a most solid close 3rd over C&D on similar ground .

½ pt  win Some reign @ 10/3

 

Wetherby placepot

1

6,8

2

4,9

2,4

2,5

16 bets

 

 

Selected Dundalk – all weather – polytrack

2.00 Well clear on official ratings is the long standing maiden Thismydream , whose mark is based on a run here at the minimum trip in a Listed race , when 200/1 and obviously very flattered and next time bombed out over the same C&D and this longer trip looks to be of no help at all . Doitforandrew is another with a lofty rating who has yet to trouble the judge and another with stamina doubts. The fav is Together Again after a good run here last time but as he’s dropping in trip ,I give  the nod to the lightly raced Heavenly Body after a solid effort over C&D last time and runs for a top stable .

¼ pt win Heavenly Body @ 10/3

 

2.30 A typical big field Dundalk handicap and as usual few carry high hopes. The fav is the back to form Kudbegood , taking advantage of the handicapper finally relenting , but is badly drawn and drops in trip . Ampeson is well drawn for a prominent racer and despite a nasty 3 pound nudge up the ratings for a good 2nd over C&D, will need to be caught .

½ pt  ew  Ampeson @ 9/2

 

3.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.30 Sangria was a smart winner over C&D last time , but lost the race subsequently due to a technicality and is now a hefty 7 pound higher . He had a number of these behind , the one doing the best was the strong finishing Satin Snake , and off the same mark warrants respect but the nod goes to handicap newcomer Obtain, who runs in the Frankel colours and some of her form puts her on a reasonable mark with the extra furlong expected to suit . Marsa was a smart winner here last time but this is tougher and she’s 5 pounds higher and drops in trip .

¼ pt  win Obtain @ 7/1

 

4.00 The veteran Pillar could run around here blindfolded and got back on track last time with a big run over C&D , off this mark , just touched off by the consistent No Speed limit, and this pair are likely to go hammer and tongs again but as the latter has a nasty 6 pound penalty , tip looks a solid ew play .

½  pt  ew Pillar @ 8/1

 

4.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.00 On official ratings Seattle Creek is way clear and has run well in all 3 starts, often keeping hot company . New to the surface but stays this trip well and looks the bet of the night for the big rollers out there @ 8/11 , but not for me . The disappointing Dances With Stars returns from almost a year  off and can only be watched .

No Bet

 

5.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

Dundalk placepot

8

6

3,4

1,7

8,13

2,3

16 bets

 

Selected Kempton – all weather – polytrack

6.15 You can make a case for many in this , especially handicap newcomers Tropical Talent and Rochebrune , both on nice marks on the strengths of good runs over C&D while Deacs Delight ran well over C&D last time but the 3 pound hit makes it much tougher in this competitive heat . Muveran wasn’t beaten far over C&D but more is required in this tougher race and racing from a bad draw. I’m finding it hard to ignore the well bred John Gosden filly Lady Xenia at long odds . She ran well in a maiden here a few starts back which puts her on a workable mark but let the side down last time , but it was a hot looking maiden . Nicely drawn and stamina on the dame’s side . Lovely lively longshot .

½ pt  ew  Lady Xenia @ 28/1

 

6.45 Bearwith went mighty close over C&D last time trying to defy a 6 pound penalty from a bad draw and close to Déjà vu, as he’s up another 5 pounds and again badly  berthed . Tamaska had been going well on the Newcastle tapeta, until a lesser run last time so can only be watched up in trip and  switching to polytrack . Le reveur has been hinting that his time is near with a few decent efforts of late off higher marks . Nicely drawn and has run well both times here . Hollie Doyle rides and likely to go close in a winnable heat .

½ pt  ew  Le Reveur @ 8/1

 

7.15 A valuable Class 1 mile and at the ratings a big chance for Stormy Antarctic, who’s been going consistently well of late and goes well here but preference is for the useful Misty Grey , who’s had a light season , which is no bad thing , is bred for the longer trip and has hinted it will suit fine and has run well here before . Kenzai Warrior sprung an almighty shock over C&D a few starts back winning off a mark of 97 , which still gives him a bit to find with the two principals and as his win came completely out of the blue, of no interest at around just 3/1

½ pt win Misty Grey @ 7/2

 

Kempton placepot

5

10,11

1

6,8

8,11

1,4

16 bets

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