Jubilation in January

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A cracking month for Premium Tip Members with a profit of 28pts ROI 24% and Premium Tip Multis

came out with a very healthy profit of £232 ROI 52% 

 

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running big races at big odds 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Elementary my dear Watson in the 12.22

Today's Fortune for a fiver

20p ew Yank & 30p ew acca

What About Time 11.52 @ 12/1

Mister Watson 12.22 @ 7/1

Palavacino 3.05 @ 15/2

Soldiers Minute 3.40 @ 10/1

 

Selected Lingfield – all weather – polytrack

11.40 A weak low grade handicap and the short priced fav is the hat-trick seeking Casarium , who I’m keen to take on with a hefty penalty and this being his 2nd run since  a lengthy break, but opposition is weak. The only one with decent recent form at this trip and surface is essgee Nicks, a winner on the turf not far back and Ben Curtis a good booking .

¼ pt  ew Essgee Nicks @ 11/2

 

12.10 Another  weak low grade handicap and the clear form horse is Emerald Fox who’s run well in both tries handicapping on this surface and trip and should be breaking her duck today .

½ pt win Emerald Fox @ 3/1

 

 

12.45 A good quality Class 2 handicap but hard to solve . The admirable dashing Roger is now on a very testing mark and a bit to prove too switching to this surface . The fav in astro King hasn’t convinced of late while recent soft ground winner Young Fire is another on a stiff mark and unproven on the surface. Oh This Is Us is proven here but a little high in the weights. Silent attack is a clear possible , in good form and effective over C&D but a chance taken with the back to form Irreverent, an excellent 2nd at Newcastle but unproven on polytrack , but odds plenty fair .

¼ pt win Irreverent @ 5/1

 

1.20 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.05 The odds on fa for this valuable Class 1 is the classy Dubai Warrior but he’s another useful type often wrapped in cotton wool as connections pick their races carefully . He has a 10 pound edge at least and should make it pay but he’s at his very best when dominating and despite the small field , the outclassed Golden Lips is sure to go on while the consistent and progressive Palavecino is also known for front running . Jockeys will have done their homework and wont want to involved in a brawl up front so will allow the longshot to strut their stuff . The fav and the tip are both effective coming off the pace and with Sinjaaris flopping last time 2nd race back after a break and with satono Japan with plenty to find , the tip looks a cracking ew bet  and could even upset the fav .

½ pt  ew Palevecino @ 15/2

 

3.40 Good effort is a most classy sprinter and goes for the 5 timer and this well drawn front runner will take a bit of catching in this Class 1 sprint but one little worry is that he won his recent comeback race after a lengthy break and this could come too soon . The in form Soldiers Minute is well drawn , effective over C&D and will be finishing to effect and a very nice ew play . Judicial won this last year at long odds and this useful sprinter did it from a bad draw, just like today , but did put in a tame one last time .

½ pt  ew  Soldiers Minute @ 10/1

 

Lingfield placepot

9

9

1,3,6

Fav

7,8

2,4,6

18 bets

It’s a very good card at Punchestown but fiercely competitive and I’m happy watching .

 

Selected Uttoxeter -probably soft ground on this undulating and sharp track with a long galloping straight

11.52 The ex Willie Mullins trained Lucky One has a regressive profile while Buttsbury Lady’s disappointed badly in her 2nd bumper . Top Drawer ran really well at long odds over C&d last time on similar ground but I like the look of the ex-Irish pointer What About Time who has joined Charlie longsdon for £36,000 and the stable has plenty of success here .

½ pt   ew  What About Time @ 12/1

 

12.22 The ones with form , Frenchy Du Large and Paddys Moonshine are hard to win with and do have long spells off the card as does Rogue It. Mister Watson ran well on his bumper debut and could upstage better fancied rivals.

½ p t ew  Mister Watson @ 13/2

 

12.57 I’ve been with the front running Legal Ok a few times of late and ran well for a long way on his recent comeback spin . There are other front runners in the field but I have him down as a winner about to happen in this grade .

¼ pt  ew  Legal Ok @ 14/1

 

2.07 Tom Symonds has done wonders since uniting with David Dennis and has transformed his partner’s runners . Indy Five is on a very good mark and worth a dabble to continue the fortunes of the srable .

¼ pt  win Indy Five @ 7/2

 

Uttoxeter placepot

8,9

6

4,5

2

1,9

1,2

16 bets

 

It’s a good card a Wetherby but as you can make a solid case for many runners in each race , happy just to  watch

 

 

Selected  Cheltenham – probably soft ground on this undulating , stiff and galloping track

12.30 The ex French Hell Red is the short priced fav after an easy win on his debut for Paul Nicholls, but that was  a weak heat and this is far deeper . Irish raider Duffle Coat is 3 from 3 without really breaking sweat while Adagio was impressive on debut . Historic Heart showed the right attitude last time and races as if a stiff track would suit , Worth  a dabble at long odds.

¼ pt  ew Historic Heart @ 20/1

 

1.05 What A Moment has won this handicap for amateur jockeys twice but a leap of faith required by the faithful coming here on a string of poor efforts. Hard to fancy many in this and give the nod to the lightly raced and progressive Lamanvar Pippin the nod over the useful but hard to win with kilfilum Cross .

½ pt win Lamanvar Pippin @ 4/1

 

1.40 A red hot novice chase and you can make a strong case for ALL .I’m happy enjoying the spectacle .

No Bet

 

2.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

2,50 Golan Fortune won this last year off just a 2 pound low mark and comes here in good enough form to make a successful defence . Little bit worried  about the first time visor .

½ pt win Golan Fortune @ 5/1

 

Cheltenham Placepot

1,7

6

3,4

3,10

5

4,6

16 bets

 

Selected Wolver- all weather- tapeta

4.30 Very tricky stuff, easy to swerve

No Bet

 

5.00 Not a deep race and the in form Plansina just found the small penalty too much to double up over C&D, but still ran very well . Just behind Enzo in that race but this one has a bad draw and first time blinkers a worry . The tip wont mind the wide draw being a hold up type and decent chance of another win.

¼ pt  win Plansina @ 9/2

 

6.00 The odds on fav is Helmont a soft ground winner on debut and then found Listed Company too strong . He carries the dreaded penalty and nothing in the pedigree to suggest that this surface will suit and the stable’s success rate with juveniles here is at best just OK. Mashaan looks a far brighter prospect in a race which looks a match. He’s run well in all 3 races and had an odds shot behind when running 2nd over C&D last time. Looks a very tasty play .

¾ pt win Mashaan @ 9/4

 

6.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

7.00 Flying Dragon is most consistent but frustrating for win punters as he only had one win on his CV in 25 tries until a return to this C&D , where he had run well before and nailed the race well, giving them a start and a beating . The 3 pound hit could be manageable and curiously with horses on a losing run, once they get their noses in front , have the appetite for more .

½ pt  ew  Flying Dragon @ 5/1

 

7.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

8.30 The prolific Smokey goes for the 4 timer, but has been well placed to land those events and this is far deeper and is now on a very testing mark . A good pace is likely which will suit the in form late player Big Lachie, effective over C&D and wide draw not much of an  issue given his racing style .

¼ pt win Big Lachie @ 4/1

 

Wolver placepot

8,9

2

7,9

4

1,10

3,5

16 bets

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