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Todays FREE tips wording2

"Daafy"(t) not to have a dabble in the Lucky Last

 

Selected Newcastle – all weather – tapeta . The track is stiff and galloping .

It’s a Jumper Bumper card and not many are proven on the surface or track . Their ratings over jumps is merely a guideline under these conditions .

1.25 Manjaam landed a win over C&D in a flat handicap off a decent mark of 74 and against these jumpers , you would expect him to have to much pace , but at even money, I can afford to watch .

No Bet

 

1.55 The short priced fav is Mackenburg who has some useful form over hurdles, but not when last seen a few months back at Aintree in the mud, and the soft ground was no excuse , so a bit to prove today. Largy Mouth is a consistent sort who ran well over C&D last time and a nice ew play .

¼ pt  ew Largy Mouth @ 7/1

 

2.25 Aemattiekhan has had a terrific season over jumps and was a smart winner over C&D last time , but does carry  the dreaded penalty , but this is not deep and certainly considered . The fav is Getariver, who is looking hard to win with and was very disappointing at Lingfield in a similar race and makes little appeal at the odds. Dancing Doug is a fair hurdler and ran well over C&D last time and looks a lively longshot .

¼ pt  ew Dancing Doug @ 12/1

 

2.55 Set In Stone comes here on a C&D hat-trick but is penalised accordingly , but still considered . Romeo Brown exceeded expectations over C&D last time and if in the same mood has clear claims . The Steward is a consistent soul and ran really well over C&D from the front finishing 4th in a deep race behind 3 very much in form rivals. That was his first run for a will so will strip fitter and likely to run a big race. Swaffham Bulbeck is rated 135 over hurdles  and ran well over C&d last time so a clear danger .

¼ pt  ew The Steward @ 9/1

 

3.25 This looks very competitive but the consistent Onthefrontfoot ran well over C&D last time and another good run likely. The short priced fav is the consistent Not That Fuisse , but is looking hard to win with despite claims on paper .

¼ pt  ew  Onthefrontfoot @ 7/1

 

3.55 Both Newtown Boy and Prosechema were smart winners over C&D last time and despite carrying penalties have solid claims . The lightly raced Wise Eagle was also a C&D winner last time and cannot be ruled out. Tea Clipper is a prolific hurdler and has to be of interest too as does the useful chaser Forest Bihan , rated 150, but getting no younger and has fell in both chase starts this year . Glan Y Gors is regular here and ran well over C&D in a flat handicap last time , so could very well outrun his odds.

¼ pt  ew Glan Y Gors @ 16/1

 

4.25 An extra half mile to travel for the final and again it looks wide open . Prussia With Love is proven here and this extra yardage will help this strong stayer .

 ¼ pt  ew Prussia With Love @ 11/2

Newcastle placepot

6,7,12

1

4

6

1,5

7,10

12 bets

 

 

Selected Southwell – all weather – fibresand

4.40 Susie Javea has a very stiff penalty for a recent C&d win and would do very well to get involved from the coffin box in stall 1. Van Dijk came into his last race in tremendous form but practically refused to race at Newcastle , where he had run well before , so couldn’t blame the surroundings for his bad behaviour. In my experience , once a consistent sort throws in the towel, it becomes a habit . There was plenty of money for Lightning Attack at Kempton last time and only failed narrowly to collect . This front runner is a C&D winner and despite the Kempton race being a modest one, this one is not much better. Three C’s has a terrific record around here but would just rather watch him presently as he should have been doing much better in recent runs .

¼ pt win Lightning Attack @ 4/1

 

5.10 Looks a stroll in the park for track winner Carothers , but he is 1/3.

No Bet

 

5.40 PREMIUM RACE

 

6.10 A really good quality Class 2 sprint and Gabriel The evil lost nothing in  defeat last time going down narrowly to market springer Shallow Hal but this bold front runner should get revenge on 5 pound better terms. Tawny Port was a bit disappointing here last time, losing his unbeaten track record and the extra furlong could be an issue from the worst of the draw. Brian The Snail has been in terrific form for some time and remains on a workable mark . this is his first try on this unique surface , but still worth a dabble .

¼ pt  win Brian The Snail @ 7/2

 

6.40 PREMIUM RACE

 

7.10 Thrave just got the better of Defence Treaty over C&d in a handicap but on 6 pounds better terms and the others unlikely to threaten , looks a penalty kick .

3/4 pt win Thrave @ evens

 

7.40 Palazzo has a terrific record here but the drop in trip and is current high mark make him hard to fancy . De Bruyne Horse bounced  back to form over C&D last time off this much reduced mark but did have the run of the race from the front and that’s unlikely today with other front runners. Mayson Mount is rarely far away and is proven over C&D , but is still a maiden and preference is for recent C&D winner Daafy, who in the end won quite cosily so could be up to defying the 3 pound penalty .

¼ pt win Daafy @ 5/1

 

Southwell placepot

2,5

6

2,8

1,5

1,3

2

16 bets

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