Joy in July

A small profit for the singles for Premium Tip Members but a very healthy profit of £180 , ROI 34% 

for the Premium Tip multis .

The laying service suffered a small loss and this was the only one of the 6 areas I keep stats for

to not show a profit .

The fortune for a Fiver showed a profit of £145 - ROI 74% , 

Free Tip singles a very healthy profit of 82pts - ROI 28% 

Placepot picks - a profit of 379 units    ROI 19% 

I'm aiming for a clean sweep in  July 

 

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running big races at big odds 

 

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And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

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races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Captain in charge in the 4.35

 

Selected Southwell – all weather – fibresand

12.30 Track form is all important here and Smokey Malone has a win and a 2nd in just 2 starts but he’s up a hefty 6 pounds and drops to a trip where he could only manage 2nd off an 8 pound lower mark , so could be vulnerable but nothing else is screaming to be backed .

No Bet

 

1.00Another warm order with hat-trick seeking Ohwhatanight , who has won two low grade affairs in some style , including over C&D , but is now a stone higher than his last handicap run, but he looks on the up and could well be up to landing the 1/2 odds, but in the same breath wouldn’t be surprised if he was turned over and again frustratingly , nothing sticks out to take him on .

No Bet

 

1.30 Slowmo is a regular here but is very disadvantaged at the weights and the other three with a chance are all proven over C&D and it should be Zapper Class to nail this with a strong finish but evens not an attractive prospect .

No Bet

 

2.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.40 With track winners Heron and Drew Breeze now on testing marks and with another track regular in The Resdev Way so hard to win with, a good opportunity for the well handicapped Niven who looked the winner here last time but was outstayed late on over a longer trip .

¼ pt win Niven @ 5/2

 

3.15 San Juan ran pretty well off this mark in his hat-trick bid on polytrak and up a furlong when a close 3rd . He previously landed a double over C&d but was all out to beat Red Allure over C&D who reopposes on 9 pounds better terms, but win record not great .

¼ pt   ew Red Allure @ 4/1

 

3.50 A very weak finale and it should be plain sailing for the clear form horse in Loose Chippings , who has been placed 6 times in 8 starts here but only has 1 career win and the apprentice jockey is struggling for success. Not for me at  a shade of odds on .

NO Bet

Southwell placepot

2,3

4,8

1

2,3

3

4,5

16 bets

 

 

Selected Ludlow- very soft ground on this flat and sharp track

3.40 this is there for the taking and it should well be a deserved win for Ballycross after a good series of placed efforts. The prolific Volcano is now on a very testing mark and the only worry is that this is a race for conditionals and the jockey has seen little action of late .

½ pt win Ballycross @ 2/1

 

4.45 The very wonderful front running Robinshill goes for the 4 timer at a track he runs so very well . This is not a big ask and should have a quiet time of things up front . He’s on a career high mark , ground is softer than ideal and returns from a break, so just a dabble .

¼ pt win Robinshill @ 3/1

 

No Ludlow placepot

Selected Donny- good to soft on this flat and galloping track

1.45 The penalised runners in across The line and Get  ]Your Own only bring fair form to the table and we should see the ex-French Paros is a much better light than when turned over at odds on in the sandown mud , and the form of the race issues mixed messages , but in a modest event , has the form in the book to win well .

½ pt win Paros @ 6/4

 

2.20 Minella encore returns from a break on a fair mark but the Richard Newland horses are really struggling of late. The most admirable The Late Legend made all for a gutsy win over C&D last time but the hefty 8 pound penalty could just be too much. Igor and Glenduff have stamina doubts but Evas Oskar comes here in his usual good form but preference for the well handicapped and most capable Ocean Cove .

¼ pt win Ocean Cove @ 7/1

 

2.55 Jeremy Pass bounced last time and expect nothing better today . Looks a match between Patroclus and Riggs, who are very hard to split .

No Bet

 

3.30 Rocky’s Treasure has a terrific record here and on drying ground has been very well supported today and I’ve joined in .

¼ pt win Rocky’s Treasure @ 3/1

 

4.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.35 Captain Clutterbuck is one of the better hunter chases around and despite the penalty was looking the winner in this last year and compensation awaits . On the pick of his Joe Farrell would marmalise these but can only be watched presently after some tame efforts .

½ pt win Captain Clutterbuck @ 9/4

Donny Placepot

8

2,3

3

3

2,5

1

4 bets

 

 

Selected Kempton – all weather – polytrack

4.40 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.15 Album is in fine form and did well at Chelmsford City last time with his penalty but only run here was below par and despite  good draw, this front runner wont get any piece from the in form Turanga Leela. The strong pace is good news for the consistent if luckless grey Galleon , who runs this C&d well and from the plot draw , could run these down late on.

¼ pt  ew  Grey Galleon @ 5/1

 

5.45 A chance can be given to most but the longer trip could catch mutahamisa out while the fav, VinaBay would do well to double up with a stiff penalty up in grade . babajan has impressed winning his last two and could well be up to defying the penalty over a C&d he’s won over before . The danger is illustrator on a fair mark and trip fine .

¼ pt win Barbajan @ 9/2

 

6.15 This is wide open and the short list is very long with track star Uzinsco, Tommy rock , 1 from 1 over C&d doing it very well , the lightly raced Perfect Focus and the consistent Red Jaspar all having claims but the nod goes to espresso Freddo who runs this C&d well and has been holding his form well of late .

¼ pt  ew  Espresso Freddo @ 12/1

 

6.45 Not a deep maiden and the fav is newcomer Gooner Boy who must be held in some esteem as John Gosden has entered him in the Epsom Derby ,. Top Fox is consistent but is looking a pushover in the finish so preference is for the useful jumper Didtheyleaveyououtto , who was well backed to land a jumper bumper but was just denied by the useful Southfield Stone . This smooth traveller should cope with the drop in trip and we know he likes the track .

½ pt win Didtheyleaveyououtto @ 10/3

 

7.45 Paxos did little wrong last time out over C&D when a close 2nd but has been so easy to back today and has drifted to long odds. Hard to ignore .

¼ pt  ew Paxos @ 12/1

 

8.15 The short priced fav is easy Newcastle winner pholas , and has no penalty but this hold up type is easy to take on down in trip and switching to polytrack . Born To Finish is on a hat-trick and has claims but like most of the true contenders in this, including Inaam, is another hold up type so I’m with confirmed front runner and 4 time C&d winner In The red, to slip the field from the front.

¼ pt  ew In The Red @ 14/1

 

Kempton placepot

2,3

6

2,3

3,8

2

4,12

16 bets

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