Joy in July

A small profit for the singles for Premium Tip Members but a very healthy profit of £180 , ROI 34% 

for the Premium Tip multis .

The laying service suffered a small loss and this was the only one of the 6 areas I keep stats for

to not show a profit .

The fortune for a Fiver showed a profit of £145 - ROI 74% , 

Free Tip singles a very healthy profit of 82pts - ROI 28% 

Placepot picks - a profit of 379 units    ROI 19% 

I'm aiming for a clean sweep in  July 

 

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running big races at big odds 

 

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£20 is a fair stake to risk on the multi. I would recommend the following

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Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

 I have recently switched to Bet365 as my principal bookmaker, and it's been a smart move with so many extra place

races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Mocacreme Has plenty going for him in the opener

Selected Wincanton – good ground over fences, uncertainty with ground over hurdles could be softer than good to soft official . The track is flat and galloping

12.30 Macrcreme Has brings the best form to the table in his two 2nds this season and this should be very much third time lucky with the extra yardage a positive and this being more about quantity that quality .

½ pt win Mocacreme Has @ 2/1

 

1.00Hard to fancy much in this and despite being a bit risky , Duc Kauto has the form in the book to land this weak event . He returned from a length break to win here on good ground and held his form pretty well but his reappearance in the Summer was a step backwards . He’s had a nice long break and has the ground and track In his favour .

½ pt win Duc Kauto @ 7/1

 

2.05 With the reliable Paddy’s Poem a bit to prove up in trip and as Saint De reve has a bouncer’s profile , concentrating upon track specialist Molineaux, who could find the ground a bit lively, the reliable Earlofthecotswolds and the well handicapped front running Enrichissant , and the latter gets the nod at the odds .

¼ pt win Enrichissant @ 13/2

 

2.40 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.10 PREMIUM RACE

 

Wincanton placepot

9

1

3,6

1,6

2,6

5,9

16 bets

 

Selected Musselburgh – good to soft on this flat and galloping track

12.45 Very much a match between the in form and reliable Presentandcounting and the hard to weight up Skatman , who resumes after over a year off and when last seen put in a tame one .

¾ win Presentandcounting @ 5/6

 

1.15 The reliable Eagles Ridge comes here in terrific form to defend his crown but on drying ground and a testing mark, preference is for the in form Begoodtoyourself , proven over C&D and the ground .

¼ pt winBegoodtoyourself @ 4/1

 

1.50 Gemologist is mightily consistent and always runs her race but is now 0 from 33 ! but returns to her favourite C&D and was 2nd in this last year off the same mark . Surely she’s going to break her duck eventually and anyway looks mighty solid ew .

½ pt  ew  Gemologist @ 7/1

 

2.25 The short priced fav in this winnable stayers chase is the consistent but hard to win with Not The Chablis , but up in  trip and on drying ground, clear preference for track specialist Petite Ganache despite the stiff penalty .

½ pt win Petite Ganache @ 2/1

 

3.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

Musselburgh placepot

4

7

2

1

9,11

1

2 bets

 

Selected  Lingfield – all weather – polytrack

1.40 A tricky opener as 3 of these in Curtiz, Deleyell and El Conquistador were victorious over C&D last time and all have fair penalties . El Conquistador is the short priced fav on his 2nd start for Stuart Williams but would do very well to land this from the very worst of the draw. Café Milano is very consistent, including over C&D off around this mark , but remains a long time maiden , but from a good draw for a prominent racer , looks likely to be involved and who knows, it could be his day .

¼ pt  ew  Café Milano @ 9/1

 

2.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.50 You’re never too sure regarding Swinton Noon , in his last 6 races he’s won 3 , a good 2nd once but unseated at the start and a plum last also feature and unlikely to feature against a clutch of lightly race and promising types from top stables. Albert camus just gets the nod .

¼ pt win Albert Camus @ 2/1

 

3.25 Zen Dancer did little wrong over C&d in just his 2nd ever race when an unlucky 3rd and can land this winnable event . Sugar Dumpling has the dreaded penalty and switches from fibresand while four adday has had plenty of chances and returns from  a 6 months break .

½ pt win Zen Dancer @ 13/8

 

3.55 The ex-Irish Dacesa ra a good race over C&D last time when a close 4th in higher grade and has been dropped a generous 2 pounds . She’s been unlucky in the draw today but there’s not a great deal of early pace about and like her chance at long odds. The consistent River Wharfe has a bit to prove down in trip while the lightly raced Propogation is with a good stable but his opening mark is far from generous.

½ pt  ew Dacesa @ 20/1

 

4.25 Looks a match between the in form pair of Day Trader and Shaqeeqa but the nod goes to the former who’s had less chances .

¼ pt win Day trader @ 9/4

 

Lingfield placepot

1,8

10.13

1.3

2

2,8

1

16 bets

 

 

Selected Kempton – all weather – polytrack

4.45 Sky Defender is a cracking top notch handicapper fully effective at the trip and surface and as usual will make  a bold bid to make all , but the handicapper is wary of him and after another big run in defeat last time has been bunged up a nasty three pounds which gives him  a very tough task especially from the wide draw and not assured of an uncontested lead. Last time out he was just ahead of both Assimilation and Al Muffrih , who could well get revenge off these terms and both are apprentice ridden tonight but the jockey aboard the tip is far more successful . Lucky’s dream has to be respected going for the hat-trick despite the stiff mark . The tip doesn’t win often but decent chance of getting this right .

¼ pt win Al Muffrih @ 5/1

 

5.45 A low grade sprint and the well drawn and lightly raced Della Mare is taking on much more exposed rivals and this looks a good opportunity .

½ pt win Della Mare @ 5/2

 

6.20 There was precious little between Laos and Red flyer on their debuts over C&d and both are well drawn to go well again . The fav is the Godolphin horse Knight’s Tale who has already been gelded, not a great sign and would do very well to win from the worst of the draw on debut . There are a number of either lightly raced types or newcomers from top stables in famous colours .

No Bet

 

6.50 A valuable Class 2 and the bookies make this a match between the Godolphin runner Highland Avenue who has only ran twice and impressed last time over C&D, but it was only an modest maiden , up against the 4 timer seeking Oo De Lally , who after a very tame first ever start , put that behind with a 150/1 win  at Newbury and has won twice since on the all weather and still looks capable of more . The highest rated in the field is the useful Apollo One ,who is the Apple of the Eye of small trainer Peter Charaalambous , but this is his first try on synthetics , but not ruled out . It’s Lally for me . My mate in Texas will be riding his namesake home like fury .

½ pt win Oo De Lally @ 9/4

 

7.20 Full Intention is in top form presently and has done well holding his form despite a sharp rise in the ratings. He’s been front running of late and the coast looks clear to attempt another all the way success . Evasive Power won well over &D last time but is up in grade and the ratings while Rovanemi has become very hard to win with , but dangerous to dismiss .

½ pt win Full Intention @ 4/1

 

7.50 A really tricky sprint with so many in form types now on tricky marks .

No Bet

 

8.20 crimson king has a poor win record , just 1 from 23, but has gone close a few times and worthy of support in this winnable finale as in just 4 tries in Class 6 he comes out with a win and 2 places, the victory coming in this race last year off a 2 pound higher mark .

¼ p t ew Crimson King @ 13/2

 

Kempton placepot

4,5

5,10

5

1,4

6

1,2

16 bets

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