Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

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big races.

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Muay Thay the best of the day racing tips 1.30

Selected Lingfield – all weather – Lingfield

12.30 This has a most winnable look to it as the consistent Nick Vedder is now on a tough mark and has a rare try on Polytrack and the fav is the unconvincing One step Beyond , who runs far more bad ones than good . The reliable Fly the Nest was originally my choice but his only poor run of late came over C&D and Lingfield is not every horse’s cup of tea. Cape Greco is very much the opposite as in 4 runs here has 2 wins and 2 places and last time over C&D was a good 3rd from a bad draw and has a good weight pull with Lunar Deity who was 2nd In that race . expect a prominent ride and shouldn’t be far away off a good mark.

¼ pt  ew  Cape Greco @ 15/2

 

1.00The fav is Princess Animale , who brings the best form to the table and effective over C&d but this hold up type is 0 from 8 and this looks a trappy affair.

No Bet

 

1.30 Lead Story has a bit to prove switching to polytrack and this looks a match between the hat-trick seeking Merry Secret , but he was all out to prevail last time and has gone up a stiff 5 pounds . Muay Thay won well at Wolver at this trip and is effective on this surface and wont get a better opportunity of another win .

½ pt win Muay Thay @ 10/3

 

2.00 There will be no hanging around in this with both Recon Mission and Requinto Dawn sure to bomb out but as the former is better at shorter trips and the latter a fibresand specialist this is best left to three in form runners all effective over C&D in Total Commitment , Invincible Larne and Count Otto and at the ratings and on the draw, the latter gets the faintest of nods .

¼ pt win Count Otto @ 11/4

 

2.35 The ones favoured at the weights in this claimer are not really setting the track alight in Yiften and Harlow while Contigency Fee needs further and Epic Adventure has stamina doubts . Prismatic may well try and make all but slightly prefer C&D regular Subliminal , who except for last time ,when he had excuses ,  has been in good form .

¼ pt  win Subliminal @ 4/1

 

3.45 Hats off to the very consistent Murhib , 3 seconds and 2 wins in his last 5 and in one of those runs was just touched off by Torolight , but has a 2 pound pull for the narrow defeat but has been pushed up a stiff 3 pounds so chancing another track regular in Uther Pendragon , who is rarely far away and on a fair mark and races as if this longer trip will suit .

¼ pt  ew Uther Pendragon @ 11/1

Lingfield placepot

5,8

2,6

1

4

1,2

4,9

16 bets

 

Selected Newbury – good to soft on this flat and galloping track

2.25 Hoi Pollow was bang in contention wen taking a late fall last time and is preferred to cascova , who probably bounced last time and little better expected today while Sir Sholokhov is another who has his races well spaced out , which never instills confidence .

¼ pt win Hoi Pollow @ 2/1

 

3.35 Howling Milan ran an absolute belter over C&D last time coming a good 2nd and off the same mark and ground has to be the one to beat , but win record not good .

¼ pt win Howling Milan @ 3/1

 

Newbury placepot

1,7

1,4

7

4,9

13

2,3

16 bets

 

Selected Donny- good ground on this flat and galloping track

2.15 A frustrating opener as the fav in hat-trick seeking Laskadine is now on a tough mark and quicker ground right against him , the trip likely to be short for Barbados Blue while both Burren Walk and Brown Bullet are another pair tested by quick ground . just have to skip it.

No Bet

 

3.25 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

Selected Dundalk- all weather – polytrack

6.00 An unusual race for this track inasmuch it’s a 2 miler and also for amateur riders and what’s above the saddle is often more important than what’s below . The best jockeys are Derrick O’Connor who rides Top Line tommy , who is an unlikely winner held comfortably off this mark last time second outing after a break and Jamie Codd who has an interesting partner in Great Trango who understandably has been struggling on deep ground over hurdles but has run some big races at this trip on the flat off higher marks including a 6th in the Irish Cesarawitch . a bit risky but well worth a try.

½ pt win Great trango @ 10/1

 

6.30 Plenty of in form types effective over C&d but the vast majority have been nudged up the ratings and/or been unlucky in the draw. Kalamoura has responded well to the ease in the ratings and comes here on the back of decent 6th of 17 over C&d when racing from the worst of the draw . He’s eased in the ratings and much better drawn so a decent outside chance of finaly breaking her duck .

¼ pt  ew Kalanoura @ 16/1

 

7.30 A valuable listed event which looks very much at he mercy of dual track winner Messidor, who’s won those races with the minimum of fuss and longer trip looks no issue .

½ pt win Messidor @ 6/5

 

Selected Newcastle- all weather – tapeta- The track is stiff and galloping

5.45 The fav is Attaboy Roy who returns after a break on a testing mark and despite dropping in trip, the consistent if luckless Accrington Stanley is preferred in a rare try in Class 6 and is proven at the track .

½ pt win Accrington Stanley @ 9/4

 

6.15 Dapper Man found his form again at the end of the turf season but returns from a break to a track where he is 0 places from 5 tries1 He will at least a true run race as he’ll bomb out , but I don’t expect him to be ahead at the line . The short priced fav is C&D specialist Buniann , a close 2nd over C&D last time but the 2 pound hit wont help. Eaasel bombed out 2nd race back after a break and little better expected today but the lightly raced Mondammej is well respected down in the ratings and proven at the track . The strong pace will give the in form veteran  Duke of Firenze an ideal pull into the contest ad taken to get up close home .

¼ pt  ew  Duke Of Firenze @ 13/2

 

6.45 A very tricky 3yo handicap and plenty of these are still unexposed and it’s well capable some may just take particularly well to this Stiff C&d. Holy Chalice ran well here last time over further , given a prominent ride and better expected down  in trip . nice longshot .

¼ pt  ew  Holy Chalice @ 10/1

 

7.15 There are a number of front runners in this so stand by for a the late players having control late on . Atrafan landed two races over C&D recently and has held his form pretty well since up in trip and at different tracks . He’s a late player and off a workable mark , likely to be bang there at the finish .

½ pt  ew Atrafan @ 7/1

 

7.45 Not  a great deal of early pace in this which makes track regular Ghathanfar of interest off a fair mark. He’s trip versatile and if securing an early lead , could take some reeling in as he stats further .

¼ pt  ew  Ghathanfar @ 8/1

 

8.15 The drop in grade will help Rebel redemption but he’s become so hard to win with and the drop in trip no help. Rockley Point is a cracking low grade handicapper who always runs his race and is a regular here . He’s now on a testing mark but that wont stop him from as usual trying to make all and every chance of a deserved success in the Lucky Last.

½ pt  ew Rockley Point @ 9/2

 

Newcastle placepot

2,4

1

2,3

9,11

6

9,10

16 bets

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