Joy in July

A small profit for the singles for Premium Tip Members but a very healthy profit of £180 , ROI 34% 

for the Premium Tip multis .

The laying service suffered a small loss and this was the only one of the 6 areas I keep stats for

to not show a profit .

The fortune for a Fiver showed a profit of £145 - ROI 74% , 

Free Tip singles a very healthy profit of 82pts - ROI 28% 

Placepot picks - a profit of 379 units    ROI 19% 

I'm aiming for a clean sweep in  July 

 

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running big races at big odds 

 

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Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

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races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Looks a Grand bet in the 3.27

Today's Multi 

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Grand Turina 3.27 @ 9/2

Frisco Bay 5.45 @ 11/4

Admiral Barraaty 3.35 @ 10/3

 

Selected Wolver – all weather – tapeta

12.20 Only 4 go and unusually for a claimer , they all have an equal chance at the weights . The short priced fav is Requinto Dawn who’s been in  very good nick at Southwell over a furlong further and will have to battle for his preferred lead with Slowmo, another fibresand specialist , sure to go out hard . So despite the small field , a true run race is on which track specialist , the still capable veteran Steelriver didn’t have last time in a similsr event and he can run these down late on , as he did in this event last year.

½ pt  win Steelriver @ 5/2

 

12.55 This looks wide open and last year’s winner My Target comes into this in good shape but form returning from a break is patchy. The in form Starfighter would do well to prevail nudged up the weights again while the fav Guiseppe Casioli has slight stamina doubts . Mabre holds his form well and is potent on the surface but his only run here  wasn’t his best , but at long odds , makes plenty of appeal .

¼ pt  ew Mabre @ 16/1

 

1.30 The odds on fav is fjordland , a good 2nd at Kempton , bringing good form to the table and the stable does well here but I like the look of the lightly raced Zumaaty as a lively longshot for his good stable .He did Ok on debut at this trip at Lingfield and his price rocketed from yearling to 2yo, often a good sign ,

¼ pt  ew  Zumaaty @ 22/1

 

2.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.40 There’s not a great deal of early pace in this so despite a 5 pound hit for a good win at Kempton and also racing from a wider draw than ideal . Born To Be alive has returned from a spell on the sidelines in top form and is effective over C&D .

¼ pt  ew Born  to Be alive @ 15/2

 

3.15 The classy Summergand was only narrowly denied over C&d last time off this mark but that was a strongly run race while this is likely to be more tactical, which wont suit the late player , Brian The Snail is very much back to his best and could well be the one to take them along and despite being on a tough mark, this wont take much winning and looks a nice ew play .

¼ pt  ew Brian The snail @ 8/1

 

4.25 A tricky finale but Bert Kibler landed a competitive event over C&d last time and this lightly raced type looks capable of defying the penalty .

¼ pt win Bert Kibler @ 11/4

 

Selected Sandown – soft ground on this stiff and galloping track

1.15 The first juvenile handicap of the season and very often the handicapper errs on the side of caution  issuing out opening marks and this is the case with the odds on fav Hudson De grugy , who’s only run to a level of around 110 but has been allocated 122 while the clear danger in Volvovka has been running to alevel of also around 110 but is rated at 119, small edge for the second fav .

½ pt  win Volvovka @ 10/3

 

1.50 It really is hard ruling ANYTHING out of  this and you could have 10 tries and still miss the target . Since going up in trip , striking A pose has looked really good , winning comfortably both times and could be ahead of the game, but so could many others !

¼ pt  ew Strike A Pose @ 10/1

 

2.25 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.00 The short priced fav is the useful Rainy Day women but this listed bumper is full of lightly raced and most promising types and It’s a race I’m happy to watch with so much guesswork required .

No Bet

 

3.35 The only certainty in this is that it will be raced at breakneck speed with 6 front runners, which can’t do any of their chances any good and the 6 timer chasing high Up in The Air is one of these are all recent winners in Strategem , Annsam  , Lust For Glory and No getaway . this looks  most destinedfor a late player and the prime candidate is the in form Admiral Barrratty after two big runs In the Fakenham mud this year  , and is also proven over this C&D . Looks good to lie in wait and bound up the hill .

½ pt  win Admiral Barratty @ 10/3

 

4.10 PREMIUM RACE

 

Sandown placepot

1,3

5

3,8

2,6

7

3,7

16 bets

 

 

Selected Ayr- heavy ground on this flat and galloping track

1.57 The fav isTimeless Beauty who was an easy winner over C&d a few starts back in her first handicap but is 9 pounds higher today, but well respected in a race where the shorter trip os likely to find out all of Style It Out, Jessiemac and Emma Beag . The irish raider Grey Girly has claims but despite being on a long losing run , Rivabodiva crucially likes it here and there has been a few glimmers of hope of late off this declining mark .

¼ pt  ew  Rivabodiva @ 18/1

 

2.32 The Ogle Gogle Man has responded well to the switch to Iain Jardine’s stable and landed a Sedgefield chase last time and previously was placed over C&D back over hurdles just ahead of Wind Of hope who makes more appeal today off a really good mark and he runs this C&d very well and a solid ew play .

½ pt ew Wind Of hope @ 15/2

 

3.07 Cash to ash bounced back to form last time with a big run at Wetherby in the mud splitting a pair of useful yardsticks and as long as that  wasn’t just a flash in the pan, as consistency is a worry , should be landing this winnable heat.

½ pt win Cash to Ash @ 11/4

 

3.42 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.55 Ardera Cross has bounced back to his best of late especially overC&D and despite a small nudge up the weights , hasn’t a great deal to beat .

½ pt win Ardera Cross @ 7/4

 

Ayr placepot

1,9

10

5

2,8

2,3

2,3

16 bets

 

Selected Hereford – good to soft on this flat and sharp track

2.17 Despite the big field, an uncompetitive novice hurdle and the short priced fav is the ultra consistent Hooper but at this trip on testing ground, preference for the ultra consiatent Unohu .

½ pt win Unohu @ 2/1

 

2.52 Quite a tricky event but I was quite strong with Ridgeway Flyer last time but was ridden too close to the pace and weakened out of it . With a more prudent ride could be in the mix at nice odds.

¼ pt  ew  Ridgeway Flyer @ 12/1

 

3.27 This is there for the taking and despite making a meal of a return to the winner’s circle, the front running Grand Turina will appreciate the longer trip and this in form runner should be landing this well .

½ pt win grand turina @ 9/2

 

4.02 Marracudja is the one to beat but 6/4 plenty short enough for one with a poor recent win record .

No Bet

5.12 Slipway has been banging at the door and it can open today coming here on a very good 2nd over C&d in the mud and can reward odds on players .

¾ pt win Slipway @ 8/11

 

5.45 The luckless Frisco Bay has run well In all starts this season and last time was a close 2nd over C&d on soft ground . In a winnable heat, should be his day .

½ pt win Frisco Bay @ 11/4

 

Hereford placepot

1

2,7

7

4,6

1,4

8

8bets

 

Selected Chelmsford City – all weather – polytrack

5.20 Been plenty of money for desert Emperor today who ran just an Ok  race on debut but sticking  with the form horse in Aureum who runs for Godolphin and John Gosden and comes here on the back of a good 2nd in a Kempton handicap . She’ not well drawn and goes up In trip, which looks a smart move which makes this £800,000 purchase backable .

¼ pt win Aureum @ 9/4

 

5.50 One Hart has taken off since joining John Ferguson and his chance respected despite the 5 pound hit  . there’s quite a lot of early pace which will help the well drawn and relable Amber Island who gets the nod .

½ pt win Amber Island @ 4/1

 

6.20 Despite the small field a true run race is on with Henrik and moharreq both front runners which wont do their causes any help at all and both have stamina to prove . Babajah is  now on a tough mark but is a strong stayer and likely to outrun his odds .

¼ pt win  Babajah @ 8/1

 

6.50 Rock eagle is the odds on fav In this small field Class 2 for stayers but as all three are late players, this could develop into a sprint and therefore a lottery .

No Bet

 

7.20 Jack The Truth has a terrific record here but the 4 pound hit for a recent C&d win wont help. Not a great deal of pace in this sprint but C&d winner Nigel Nott can front run and is on an Ok mark so respected . the nod goes to the classy late playing veteran Royal Birth , but is dependent upon a good pace being set. Fingers crossed .

¼ pt win Royal Birth @ 5/1

 

8.20 The lightly raced Mack The knife is a warm order to land the 4 timer in  a modes event but Single shaped up oK on her recent comeback spin and off a good mark has ew hopes .

¼ pt  ew  Single @ 11/1

Chelmsford City placepot

11

6

1,5

1,2,3

1,4

3,5

24 bets

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