Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

but another good month for the Premium Multi with a profit of £115, ROI 21% . Not a bad month as most punters

and tipsters would be satisfied with a level month considering you’ve also had the pleasure of ploughing through

all the facts and figures , coming up with “ The One” and of course experiencing the thrill of watching the tips, in the main running

big races.

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Big Jim has a big chance in the 3.05

Selected Newbury – good to soft on this flat and galloping track

1.00Very few of these are banging at the door and drying ground and 2nd race back from break don’t augur well for Masters Legacy . Midnight’s Gift has some decent form off around this mark and goes on the ground . Could be a mini shock winner .

½ pt  win Midnight’s Gift @ 10/1

 

1.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.05 Howling Milan is not the easiest to win with but went close over C&D 2 starts back but didn’t get into the race next time over C&D when given a more waiting ride . This isn’t a deep race and it could be his day.

¼ pt  win Howling Milan @ 5/2

 

3.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

Newbury placepot

1

4,6

3,6

7

3,6

7,10

16 bets

 

Selected Lingfield – all weather – polytrack

1.45 Tricky stuff

No Bet

 

2.15 The odds on fav is the very well related John Gosden filly Regent , a good winner on this surface last time and bred for this longer trip . Does have a penalty to carry, has the worst of the draw and first time hood is unusual for the stable . Not for me at the odds.

No Bet

 

2.50 Question marks regarding the form horse in Dancing Brave , up in the weights and trip switching from tapeta, My Brother Mike, on a stiff mark and switching surfaces and Capla Crusader , another on a stiff mark and would prefer further .Born to Finish landed a quick double in January , one here, and has held his form well since. He’s been unlucky in the draw but this late player will have a good pace to aim at and gets the nod .

¼ pt  ew Born To Finish @8/1

 

3.25 A very tricky low grade handicap but Halwa azyan is getting closer and is preferred in a race where it’s hard to fancy many .

¼ pt  win Halwa Azyan @ 5/1

 

4.00 An open Class 4 sprint and the fav is Tenaya canyon , who returns from a 5 months break on the back of a smart win at Newcastle . On a good mark on the strength of that win but a bit to prove on this surface .The ultra consistent Stay Smart let the side down last time , but he did chase a strong pace and paid for it late on. This is unlikely to be so frenetic .

¼ pt win Stay Smart @ 7/2

 

4.30 Restless Endeavour was a shock winner at Newcastle last time beating higher rated rivals and the handicapper has taken it literally dealing out a 5 pound penalty , taking him well out of his comfort zone. The drop in trip and switch of surface wont help All You wish and all this gives a great opportunity for the tip  after a close 3rd over C&D last time .

½ pt win Knockout Blow @ 4/1

 

5.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

Lingfield placepot

4,5

1

2

7,8

2,5

1,10

16 bets

 

Selected Musselburgh – mostly good ground on this flat and galloping track

1.55 Looks a cakewalk for odds on shot Mackenberg

No Bet

 

2.30 Very tricky handicap

No Bet

 

3.05 A stack of in form runners but Cedar Hill 3 wins in his last 4 , switches from fences which may well not be ideal while Fisher King wont have an easy lead this time and has a stiff 7 pound penalty . dubai days is also on a stiff mark and a bit to prove on drying ground while track specialist Raymond is another with a searching mark . There are a handful of front runners so a strong pace is assured favouring the late players . The well handicapped Big Jim Dwyer wasn’t far away over C&D last time and the slightly slower ground will help .

½ pt  ew Big Jim Dwyer @ 10/1

 

3.40 You can make a case for plenty of these but Pammi runs this track well, not on a bad mark , will like the ground and longer trip should help this stayer on the flat .

¼ pt  ew Pammi @ 9/1

 

4.10 Calliope went close over C&D last time just behind Millie The Minx but as that was her first run  for a while and has a nice pull In the weights, prospects of reversing the form .

¼ pt win Calliope @ 9/2

 

Musselburgh placepot

1

4,5

11

3,5

6,7

1,2

16 bets

 

Selected Dundalk – all weather – polytrack

Just having 2 places on a typically devilish Dundalk card

6.00 Lots of in form types proven over C&D but after causing a 66/1 shock two starts back , Fallen Forest , a  lightly raced sort lost little in defeat   last time with  a good 2nd again over C&d off this mark and looks a nice ew play on the strength of that .

¼ p tew Fallen Forest @ 7/1

 

6.30 This looks a very deep event with plenty of lightly raced sorts who have already achieved a good level of form and look well likely to pay their way this season . catena Zapata was a good winner over C&d when last seen and did the job impressively , could be overpriced .

¼ pt win Catena Zapata @ 7/1

 

Selected Newcastle – all weather – tapeta . The track is stiff and galloping

Newcastle multi 

50p ew trixie & 50p ew treble 

Dapper Man 6.15 @ 8/1

Kentucky Connection 6.45 @ 16/1

Royal Advice 7.15 @ 7/1

 

 

4.40 A couple of multiple C&D winners here in King of The  South and Madeeh and hard to be sure which one is more capable with their penalties .

No Bet

 

5.10 A very good friend of mine is one of the owners of the fav Castle Quarter , who runs this C&D very well and is well capable of landing this In lower grade .

½ pt win Castle Quarter @ 2/1

 

5.45 King Vega ran some good races in hot races last season and this is very much at this 1/8 shot’s mercy

No Bet

 

6.15 The dashing Dapper Man recently resumed duties with a typically bold bd from the front over C&D, only getting tired late on , but only beaten just over a length . He’s the likely leader tonight and off a reduced mark , could take some reeling in . Dazzling Des and James Watt will be troublesome but Fendale is up in the ratings for a win here over further and could struggle .

½ pt  ew Dapper Man @ 8/1

 

6.45 Fair play to Broctune Red who has simply taken off over C&D of late and comes here on a 4 timer but the hefty 8 pound hit will test as will the rise in grade . Saisons D’or has bounced back to form with a double here , but up in trip tonight and record at this distance not great . Kentucky Connection has a good record here and when last seen 3 months ago was a good 3rd over C&d behind a couple of useful yardsticks . He goes well fresh and looks a very lively longshot .

½ pt    ew Kentucky Connection @ 16/1

 

7.15 The short priced fav is the lightly raced Air To Air, who is a persistent  slow starter , and when last seen at Redcar on good ground he was a very short 4/6 fav in a handicap , but only found one too good . He’s been shoved up a harsh 8 pounds and makes little appeal . The lightly raced Royal advice struck here in his first handicap , beating a couple pf useful yardsticks and the 2nd horse went on to win under a penalty . He goes up in trip , which looks a smart move on pedigree and is only 3 pounds higher .

½ pt  ew Royal advice @ 7/1

 

8.15 The consistent Rockley Point always gives good value for money over this C&D off around this mark . He really needs to lead to run to his best and a few others here will have designs on leading them up , but at nice odds , well worth a dabble In a winnable finale .

¼ pt   ew  Rockley Point @ 8/1

 

Newcastle placepot

2,5

1

3

4,6

6,7

5,9

16 bets

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