Expecting a Sensational September

 

 

August was pretty much a level month for Members both for Premium tips & lays and while 

of course profits are preferable, not too bad coming out slightly the wrong side , and it's a small 

price to pay for a month's entertainment . The Premier Tip Multis however came out with a very 

healthy £170 profit , ROI 32 % and there were big profits for followers of the onsite multi , 

placepot picks and the free tip singles also showed a 10% profit , so all in all a pretty good month.

It was a big ask hoping to replicate the record breaking profits of July , but with a little bit of luck 

we would have been comfortably in profit 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

We'll be Dancing after Buck lands the National in the 2.40 at long odds

 

Selected Donny- good to firm on this flat and galloping track . Speed track

1.05 Credence Star did well on debut here when 3rd and the winner has gone in since carrying a penalty and the drop in trip looks a smart move as he was front rank throughout and only gave best late on . Looks hard to beat but is 4/7 .

No Bet

 

1.40 Robert Cowell is a master with sprinters and Autumn Flight is 2 from 2 since joining the stable but both on the all weather and he’s now 9 pounds higher than his best turf winning mark . I’m taking him on with the spritely veteran  secretinthepark , down to a good mark and still capable of big runs .

¼ pt win Secretinthepark @ 5/1

 

2.15 A very good competitive Class 3 sprint and the fav is the admirably consistent but he’s 3 pounds higher for his comeback spin when 2nd at Ponty , so could find this speed track against him . seven Brothers is interesting as he won his first two races and was considered worthy enough to try The Group 1 gimcrack , but wasn’t up to that level . In far calmer waters today .

¼ pt win seven Brothers @ 11/2

 

2.50 I’m finding more negatives than positives for the whole field

NO Bet

 

3.25 Ditto !

No Bet

 

4.00 A most winnable sprint and even the in form fav in Clegane has a bit to prove switching from a successful run on the all weather and dropping in trip . You really would expect Dandy’s Gold to be too good for these .

¼ pt win Dandy’s Gold @ 3/1

 

4.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

Donny placepot

3

1,4

7

2,3

1,4

1,3

16 bets

 

Selected Sandown – good to firm on this stiff and galloping track

1.15 A right puzzle of a good quality Class 2 sprint for 3yos. Happy to watch .

No Bet

 

1.50 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.25 A good quality Group 3 and precious little to separate the majority of these at the ratings which makes the classy extra Elusive well overpriced . Hukum ‘s best form is over longer and the prolific and useful Thunderous returns from a lengthy break after suffering a set back.

¼ pt win Extra Elusive @ 11/1

 

3.00 The odds on fav is the useful and prolific Palace Pier , who has at least 9 pounds in hand on official figures , but this hold up type’s peak form has been in the mud , so could have to work hard to land short odds . Happy power is a classy front runner who should have an easy time of it up front and with Oisin Murphy up , could cause a bit of a shock . He does have a penalty , which we could do without , but still a nice play at relatively long odds . The hat-trick seeking Khuzaam is certainly progressive and dangerous .

½ pt win Happy Power @ 10/1

 

3.35 A really difficult race to sort out as all of these 3yos are winners and the vast majority still unexposed . At the odds I’m with Etonian who has the best form in the book and can be forgiven his flop last time on soft ground .

¼ pt win Etonian @ 13/2

 

No sandown placepot

 

Selected Perth – good ground on this flat and sharp track – speed track .

1.30 This looks a match but the ex-French Fortunes Melody hardly covered herself in  glory in her first run here , running well below her rating which opens the door for the reliable Allavina , who has a double penalty and this ground may well be quick enough , but still preferred .

¾ pt win Allavina @ 6/4

 

2.05 You could make a case for all 5 but the massively improved Fire Away does have a bit to prove with a massive 11 pound hit and on drying ground .

No Bet

 

2.40 The highland National and the drying ground is the key factor which leads me to a very lively longshot in Buck dancing , whose programme suggests this is a target and some recent form very encouraging , such as a close 2nd at Uttoxeter . His best ever run came at this track and shapes very much as a marathon horse .

½ pt  ew  Buck Dancing @ 16/1

 

3.15 Another minefield of a race .

No Bet

 

3.50 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.20 The fav is Balranald , who’s in pretty good form, but hard to win with and drying ground not ideal . In a winnable heat I’m trying the downgraded fivetotwelve whose best run came at this trip and ground .

¼ pt win Fivetotwelve @ 9/1

 

4.50 The Consistent Maliboo is up in the ratings for only coming 2nd and drying ground another issue . The lightly raced Mr Melda sluiced in here yesterday and has to be considered despite a penalty . Gripper’s best recent run came over C&D on this ground and the form is good enough to be a factor in this modest heat .

¼ pt  ew Gripper @ 9/1

 

Perth placepot

1

1,4

13

6,7

1,3

1,8

16 bets

 

Selected Worcester – good to firm on this flat and galloping track- speed track

4.05 Despite the big field few have serious chances and the fav is the bang in form Hahadi who can run off a lower mark than his recent hurdles win switching to fences , but this is an issue . Out For justice sluiced in last time at Chepstow last time when hold up tactics were employed down to around this trip . He won with ease and that signalled a welcome return to form and his chase mark is still 10 pounds below his hurdles .

¼ pt win Out For justice @ 3/1

 

4.35 All of Agent Valdez, Cushish , Always Able, Theatre mIx and Miss Antipova have claims on recent form but the nod goes to the former , with only a small penalty for a smart win last time .

¼ pt win Agent valdez @ 10/3

 

6.15 This looks a bit of a penalty kick for Champagne Mystery who brings the best form to the table and no issues with trip or ground .

½ pt win Champagne Mystery @ 11/10

 

6.45 Dan Gun has certainly be revitalised by the move to the top stable of Dan Skelton and this race is name after the top stable . He’s on a hat-trick, but the 7 pound hit will test but the longer trip no issue .You could give a squeak to quite a few in this and I’m with Liffeydale Dreamer after a good 2nd over fences last time and no problem switching to hurdles .

¼ pt  ew  Liffeydale Dreamer @ 16/1

 

7.15 Bobhopefornohope looked good landing his first two races this season but then struggled in the Donny mud. Back on a sound surface he will have to be at his best conceding weight all round, but looks capable with question marks surrounding some of the market leaders.

½ pt win Bobhopeornohope @ 4/1

 

7.45 After an effortless win at Kempton Hydroplane is odds on to double up with no penalty and he’s certainly improved switching to hold up tactics . He’s going to be a tough nut to crack but Roar looks overpriced as when last seen over hurdles won well and off just a 4 pound higher mark and a recent decent pipe opener on the flat, looks a nice ew play .

¼ pt  ew  Roar @ 12/1

 

Worcester placepot

2

1,3

4,10

1,7

2

10,15

16 bets

 

Selected Chepstow – good ground on this undulating , galloping and quite stiff track

5.35 Gran Luna should have few problems landing this as the only two serious rivals are better suited by soft ground and longer trip wont be a problem .

½ pt win Gran Luna @ evens

 

6.35 Inn The Bull was a smart winner returning from a lengthy break but you wonder if he’ll be as effective second race back . If he is , the race is his .

No Bet

 

7.05 Steely addition is running poorly, Kauto The king has bombed out in 3 visits here while the trip is too short for Le milos, so by a process of elimination, the capable Chirico Vallis is the one .

¼ pt win Chirico Vallis @ 7/2

 

7.35 Get The appeal was held recently at this trip off a much lower mark which gives a chance to the luckless Johnny B , who deserves to get his head in front after a series of close calls .

¼ pt win Johnny B @ 4/1

 

Chepstow Placepot

1.3

1

2,4

1,4

1,5

6

16 bets

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