Expecting a Sensational September

 

 

August was pretty much a level month for Members both for Premium tips & lays and while 

of course profits are preferable, not too bad coming out slightly the wrong side , and it's a small 

price to pay for a month's entertainment . The Premier Tip Multis however came out with a very 

healthy £170 profit , ROI 32 % and there were big profits for followers of the onsite multi , 

placepot picks and the free tip singles also showed a 10% profit , so all in all a pretty good month.

It was a big ask hoping to replicate the record breaking profits of July , but with a little bit of luck 

we would have been comfortably in profit 

 

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And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

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races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Beau Haze looking good in the 4.40

Today’s Multi

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Beau Haze 4.40 @ 5/2

Hart Stopper 2.10 @ 3/1

The Daley express 6.20 @ 3/1

 

Selected Carlisle – soft ground on this undulating , stiff and galloping track

1.35 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.10 Few come into this is top form , the exception being Hart Stopper , second in his last two runs and only 2 pounds higher and no issues with ground or stiff track. The drop in trip wont help the bac to form Praxeology .

½ pt win Hart Stopper @ 3/1

 

2.45 You can understand in a way that the consistent yet hard to win with Jump The gun is a strong fav as this race is full of early pace to suit his late playing style, but given his very poor win rate, makes scant appeal . soaring Star is a consistent soul , on a fair mark and likes the ground but goes up in trip which is taking a gamble on this stiff track and the draw could have been kinder , but makes appeal as an ew play .

¼ pt  ew Soaring Star @ 7/1

 

4.30 This has a winnable look to it with the in form fav Hope Probe up 4 pounds for only coming second and the prolific Imperial Butterfly on a very stiff mark returning to turf after a 3 months break . The lightly raced Enderman ended last season with an easy ground win at Redcar in a big field , winning quite cosily and is only 4 pounds higher today . Gives the impression a stiffer test will suit and came to hand quickly last year .

¼ pt  ew Enderman @ 7/1

 

5.00 Seventeen O Four sluiced in last time In the Catterick mud, first time on an easy surface and has to be respected off a 5 pound higher mark . The fav is the capable Flood Defence , who has been going OK and is proven over C&D and the ground, but 2/1 plenty short enough . The in form Zihaam would do very well to get involved at this longer trip on softer ground off a tough mark .

No Bet .

 Carlisle placepot

2,3

Fav

6

7,9

3,5

3,9

16 bets

 

Selected Ffos Las- good to soft on this flat and galloping track

1.10 The hard to win with Lily Pedlar brings comfortably the best form to the table but I prefer the chance of former soft ground pointer Dancing Dani after an encouraging effort over hurdles last time.

¼ pt win Dancing Dani @ 7/2

 

1.45 The prolific Apache Creek goes for the 4 timer but the 8 pound hit will test as will softer ground. It’s hard fancying many in this but the drop in the ratings and softer ground may revive the capable Neachalls Bridge .

¼ p tew Neachells Bridge @ 11/1

 

2.20 A good quality small field chase and hard to  split Monsieur Lecoq, who is 2 from 2 here, Mill Green and Mr One more , and I’ll just be enjoying the spectacle .

No Bet

 

2.55 PREMIUM  RACE

 

3.30 Chances of sorts can be given to many but the in form Peur De Rien put in another good display in a competitive Perth handicap last time and another good effort likely .

¼ pt win Peur De rien @ 4/1

 

4.05 An absolute shocker of a race and the favv is Leroy Brown , who was well beaten in a seller when last seen and soft ground no help . Professional loser John Betjamen is at least consistent , goes on the ground and this could be his day  .

¼ pt win John Betjamen @ 7/2

 

4.40 Beau Haze comes here on the back of a very big run over C&D off this mark and similar ground when given a prominent ride and wasn’t stopping at the end. Maliboo has a most hefty 9 pound penalty to overcome and is better on a sound surface .

½ pt win Blue Haze @ 5/2

 

Ffos Las placepot

2,4

3,6

1,3

Fav

5,9

2

16 bets

 

Selected Redcar – god ground on this flat and galloping track

1.20 A big field maiden and the fav is Mutawarrid after a good 2nd on debut at Wolver while Tevoli is also short in the market and has some good form  but has his first start for Philip Kirby , who has a shacking record with new intakes . Berry Edge ran  really well on debut last season but let the side down next time on tapeta. The form of that opening run is well good enough to take a hand in this .

¼ pt  ew  Barry Edge @ 9/1

 

1.55 The lightly raced Vindabala was well backed to win over C&D last time but the close up 3rd horse Soller Bay , let the form down next time . There are quite a few dark horses here from good stables but I’m trying one of the more experienced runners in Wiling To Please a good 2nd at Wolver and has Ok turf form off higher marks .

¼ p t  ew Willing To Please @ 12/1

 

3.05 Stradust Gambler brings good solid form to this 2yo event with the extra furlong likely to suit .

¼ pt  win Stardust Gambler @ 10/3

 

3.40 DoIt today brings the best form into the race and is another Ollie Pears juvenile who will appreciate the extra furlong and a nice ew play .

¼ pt  ew Do it Today @ 9/1

 

4.15 A wide open sprint but with so much early pace around , this could drop just right for the back to form Dark Shot who sees out the trip really well .

¼ pt win Dark Shot @ 11/2

 

4.50 PREMIUM RACE

 

Redcar placepot

7,12

2,5

3,7

12

11

4,9

16 bets

 

 

Selected Leicester – good to soft on this stiff and galloping track

5.35 A shocker of a claimer and even the fav , School oF thought has plenty to prove going up massively in trip on a stiff track in the mud . Something is going to struggle over the line ahead , I can’t find it .

No Bet

 

6.05 Divine Magic has showed enough to land a race of this type and is on a fair mark and should be Ok over C&d but soft ground an unknown . Bankroller ran well on his debut but was then set some stiff tasks by his good stable , but the fact they aimed him so high suggests he’s capable . Eponina has a good record here and goes well on the ground and gets the nod off a workable mark .

¼ p  ew Eponina @ 15/2

 

7.05 Dancinginthewoods bounced back to form with a good win  over C&D beating Able Kane narrowly with recent ascot winner Little Boy blue just behind and this one had both Global esteem and Spanish Star just behind , so not a great deal among all but Able Kane comes out best at the weights , has a good record here and goes on the ground . Hat-trick seeking recall The Show has just a 2 pound penalty but both wins were at Brighton , a very different type of track and could well struggle .

½ pt win Able Kane @ 3/1

 

7.35 PREMIUM RACE

 

8.05 the lightly raced Grey Fox sluiced in at Windsor but has a massive 9 pound penalty , and tries softer ground and a much stiffer track and for good measure has the worst of the draw. Bit of A Quirke has a terrific draw for a front runner and this Beverley specialist should be fine over this stiff circuit and in a race where few make appeal, could take a bit of catching .

¼ pt  ew Bit Of A Quirke @ 8/1

 

Selected Windsor – very soft ground on this flat and galloping

5.20 You’re fishing a bit in the dark with this one as the vast majority are going up in trip and also trying very soft terrain for the first time , so the form book could be thrown out of the window .

No Bet

 

5.50 Only 4 go now and the very short odds on fav is Cashew who brings good experience to the table , but untried in the mud .

No Bet

 

6.20 most of these are in form but all of Kaths Lustre, Show Me A Sunset and Twilighting are more all weather horses and plenty to prove in the mud. The once useful Stake Acclaim made an overdue appearance in the Winners’ Circle last time , coming over C&D. which he always runs well and had quite a simple task but made a right meal of it scrambling home from Firenze Rosa, who was out of the handicap and has since bombed out off his true mark . This is there for the taking and the in form and down in  grade The Daley Express really should be landing this with ease , after a good 2nd in the mud last time .

½ pt win The Daley Express @ 3/1

 

6,50 The very useful Dream Of Dreams was just letting his supporters down too regularly to maintain loyalty , but the faithful were rewarded last season with two Group wins, running to a mark of 123, both on soft ground , but later ran a bit of a shocker at Ascot . He’s a very warm order tonight and has a clear buffer at the weights, but the consistent Garrus is no mug and fitness assured , so a shock wouldn’t surprise .

No Bet

 

7.20 Aplomb doesn’t win as many as he should but went close in his first run for Jane Chapple-Hyam and in a modest field, this should be straightforward .

½ pt win  Aplomb @ 11/10.

 

8.20 plenty of these will struggle with the adverse conditions including one of the favs in the capable but not really firing Gin Palace. The deeper the ground the better for Song of The Isles, who is 4 from 4 on very soft ground ! His two comeback spins were decidedly ordinary but he’ll be a different prospect tonight . He’s only 3 pounds higher for a soft ground win at Redcar and is a most lively longshot .

¼ pt  ew  Song Of The Isles @ 16/1

 

Windsor placepot

5,11

2,3

1

1,3

4

2,9

16 bets

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