Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

but another good month for the Premium Multi with a profit of £115, ROI 21% . Not a bad month as most punters

and tipsters would be satisfied with a level month considering you’ve also had the pleasure of ploughing through

all the facts and figures , coming up with “ The One” and of course experiencing the thrill of watching the tips, in the main running

big races.

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Looks a very " Fur" bet in the 4.25

Today’s Multi

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Danse Idol 2.00 @ 7/2

Mercian Prince 4.05 @ 5/1

Furzig 4.25 @ 9/2

 

Selected Worcester – good ground on this flat and galloping track

1.30 The fav is the in form King Golan , not the first horse to be re-energised by a switch to the Richard Newland stable , and off a very good mark , sluiced in at Huntingdon but couldn’t back that up at Hexham , off the same mark, just touched off , and today is a very hefty 17 pounds higher , so easy to look elsewhere . The ground, mark  and trip are all against Debden Bank , who returns from a 6 months break and the consistent if luckless Taboo is worth a nice play. He’s yet to  win under rules , but has gone very close twice recently , when trying to make all and with little early pace on today , could have an easy time of it up front . He’s 3 pounds higher , but still looks a solid ew play .

½ pt  ew Taboo @ 11/1

 

2.00 easy to be against most of these , Monsieur Gibraltar after a couple of tame efforts, Whoshotwho ,who probably bounced last time and little better expected today and the very hard to win with Buster Thomas . Danse Idol has done well switching to the top stable of Dan Skelton and looked to have a winning opportunity last time but was  very easy in the market and ran only 3rd , probably due to the easy ground . Today’s ground will be fine and this hold up type can pounce late on .

½ pt win Danse Idol @ 7/2

 

2.35 Not a deep race and the fav is recent C&D winner Getaway Lucy, but a stiff penalty and drying ground ne help . It wouldn’t be a surprise if the capable but frustrating Veiled Secret improved for the switch to David Pipe’s stable but I prefer a little play on the consistent but hard to win with Sweeping Rock , but he did well on his comeback spin , is on a good mark and likes the ground and track .

¼ pt  ew Sweeping Rock @ 8/1

 

3.05 This is very weak and looks very much a match between the hat-trick seeking Kilchreest Moon , who may find this galloping track against him and is also penalised , up against the consistent yet hard to win with Balladame , but put in an improved run for her new stable last time and gets the nod .

¼ pt  win Balladame @ 3/1

 

3.35 Lost History bolted in over C&D off a good mark in his first try for Dan Skelton , but as that was his first race for some time, could well bounce today under a stiff penalty .The lightly raced Mix Of Clover was still going well when taking a late fall in a competitive Uttoxeter handicap and his comeback spin was pretty encouraging and gets the nod .

½ pt  win Mix Of clover @ 5/1

 

4.05 The short priced fav is recent easy winner Fix Sun , but has a stiff penalty , goes up in trip and is another fav who is a potential bouncer given his profile . The Cashel Man hasn’t lifted a leg for a while and Tomorrow’s Mystery returns from a break on a very testing mark . The font running Mercian Prince went close at Market Rasen last time switching to hurdles and could easily make all. The strong finishing Ballyellis is the danger .

½ pt  win Mercian Prince @ 5/1  ¼ pt  rev fc Mercian Prince , Ballyelllis

 

4.35 This is very weak and recent C&D winner on good ground Yauthym is clearly the one to beat but carries a penalty and not for me at a shade of odds on.

No Bet

 

5.05 The short list for this wide open handicap hurdle is very long but the nod goes to Serjeant Painter after two most solid efforts for his new stable at this mark , trip and ground .

¼ pt  ew Serjeant Painter @ 7/1

 

Worcester placepot

13

3

4,8

4,6

5,6

5,6

16 bets

 

Selected Ponty – good to firm on this undulating , galloping and stiff track

1.45 This looks to rest between Almohandesah and Gentle Allen , who both ran very  well on debut when both were 2nd but the former’s came at this trip and ground which gives her the nod , and shaped like this stiff track will suit .

½ pt  win  Almohandesah @ 9/4

 

2.20 I am one of the owners of Qwicken , who brings the best form to the table and is a genuine and willing type. The step up in trip will suit , but the quicker ground could be an issue as could this very stiff track , also her draw could have been kinder, but saying all that this is a winnable race .

½ p t  win Qwicken @ 11/4

 

3.25 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.25 Furzig has taken advantage of a much lower mark on  turf compared to his lofty all weather rating and comes here on a hat-trick , the latest being a smart win over C&d on quick ground when giving them a start and a beating . Just 3 pounds higher today and will again have a good pace to sit off and this looks winnable .

½ pt win Furzig @ 9/2

 

5.25 PREMIUM RACE

 

Ponty placepot

2

6,8

1,3

7,9

2,3

6

16 bets

 

Selected hexham – good ground on this undulating , galloping and stiff track

2.10 A number of these have run very  well over C&D of late on good ground and this is in the lap of the Gods .

No Bet

 

2.45 Ash Hill is odds on to go one better , but will he bounce ?

No Bet

 

3.15 A tricky event but Cyrus Keep stepped up winning over C&d last time on good ground , winning quite snugly , and could cope with the hefty 7 pound hit .

¼ pt win Cyrus Keep @ 4/1

 

3.45 Dr robin bounced back to form  with a big run in a cartmel Marathon last time but a bit worried about this track . No such worries for three times C&D winner Prince Dundee , but now on a vey stiff mark and better on easy ground . A strong pace is on the cards with plenty of front runners , including the aforementioned two , but nothing really to take advantage coming off the pace. The novice Welsh Reign has run two big races here , front rank throughout and keeping going really well . On a fair mark and could be the solution .

¼ pt win Welsh Reign @ 5/1

 

4.45 PREMIUM RACE

 

Hexham placepot

7,8

4,5

7

3,4

2,7

Fav

16 bets

 

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