Expecting an Outstanding October

 

 We were going along very nicely thank you until the final week , where there were a number of

disappointing or unlucky runs and after looking as if we were coasting to a tidy monthly profit , 

in the end we came out with just a tiny profit for The Premium Tip and a small loss for the lays .

On a more positive note , the Premium tip Multis again came in with a terrific £300 profit , ROI 53% 

and the free tip singles also finished with a healthy 30pts profit 

 

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running big races at big odds 

 

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races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Coral a Great ( Barrier Reef) play in the 5.25

 

 Today's multi 

50p ew trixie & 50p ew treble 

Coral 5.25 @ 13/2

Tomorrow's Angel 5.10 @ 20/1

The Big House 3.20 @ 12/1 

Selected Thirsk- good to firm on this flat and galloping track

1.00Despite the big field there is a short priced fav in Abbie Power who chased  home one that next time out lifted a valuable prize In France, but best Abbie with ease and today’s quicker track and ground may well not be in her favour . Preference is for Bolton Abbey who landed his maiden at Brighton despite being all over the place on that tricky track . Carries the penalty , but the form is hood and a useful 3 pound claimer makes his task a touch easier .

½ pt  win Bolton Abbey @ 10/3

 

1.35 Another uncompetitive 2yo maiden and again looks a match between the fav Joeyremy who overcame all kinds of trouble to be a highly promising close 5th over C&D on quick ground on debut but slight preference for the consistent prominent racing Vieux Carre , who could take some reeling in over this quick C&D .

½ pt win Vieux Carre @ 5/2

 

2.10 This is so winnable as it’s hard to make a case for many at all and even the short priced in form fav Kayfast Warrior , has his first ever race on turf . Socru won well at Chelmsford City but couldn’t back that up but going through the form book ,has form on quick turf at this trip off higher marks so worth a dabble .

¼ pt win Socru @ 8/1

 

2.45 This should be easy peasy for zagato , an excellent 2nd in  a handicap off a mark of 82 at this trip and ground and only serious rival Forza Orta has a lot to prove on the ground , trip and draw .

¾ pt  win Zagato @ 4/6

 

3.20 The short priced fav is the back to form and well handicapped Proud archi , but his last win came almost 3 years ago, so not hard to look elsewhere at cramped odds . The big House Started the season most promisingly with a close 3rd at Catterick on quick ground but did too much up front when fancied over C&D and last time ran well for a long time until fading late on . Not much early pace in this and well drawn to get a handy pitch and a useful 3 pound claimer takes off 3 pounds . Good longshot in  a winnable heat .

½ pt  ew The Big House @ 12/1

 

3.55 I doubted Commanche Falls last time off his mark in a competitive Ripon handicap, but this progressive win machine again won with plenty in hand and despite up in the ratings again , is the one to beat .

¼ pt win Commanche Falls @ 9/4

 

4.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

Thirsk placepot

1

9

4,7

11

7,8

1,6

8 bets

 

Selected Worcester – good ground on this flat and galloping track

1.55 This is so winnable with so many almost impossible to fancy and even the fav , In form hurdler , got no further than the first in his first chase last time . Golden poet hasn’t won for a while but has been given a clear chance by the handicapper and has gone close off much higher marks at around this trip and ground . Risky but worth a nice play at the odds.

½ pt win Golden Poet @ 10/1

 

2.30 The short priced fav is recent winner Kingston King but it came in a modest heat , off a lower mark , over a longer trip and in the mud, so stacks to prove in a competitive heat . Chances can be given to all of Cape Robin , No quarter Asked and write It Down but at the odds prefer the chance of the well handicapped tanrudy , after a better run last time .

¼ pt  ew  Tanrudy @ 9/1

 

3.05 PREMUM RACE

 

4.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.25 Despite the big field few set the pulses racing and worth chancing the very decent ex-French horse Coral off a low mark over hurdles . He tried timber last time at Southwell but could never get competitive at that sharp track down in trip, but didn’t run terribly and far better expected today up in trip on a far more galloping track .

½ p t win Coral @ 13/2

 

Worcester placepot

1,4

6

2,4

2,5

2,5

Fav

 

Selected Musselburgh – good ground on this flat and galloping track

1.45 A tricky juvenile event but it was quite a deep event which Emerald’s pride ran in last time and just preferred .

¼ pt win  Emerald’s Pride @ 10/3

 

2.55 De mazaro was a good 2nd at Hamilton on his first start for Tristan Davidson , but it was at Hamilton , a very different track from today . The back to form edgar Allen Poe is on  a stiff enough mark and drying ground no help . Teemlucky has been going pretty well of late and off a good mark is just preferred .

¼ pt win Teemlucky @ 9/2

 

3.30 Tadreeb impressed on handicap debut and in an uncompetitive heat , the double is on .

½ pt win Tadreeb @ 5/6

 

4.05 Clay Regazonni is on a long losing run and this speed track unlikely to suit . The back to form veteran  sands Chorus has a massive 7 pound penalty so worth a try on the consistent if luckless Mac Ailey who ticks plenty of relevant boxes .

¼ pt   ew  Mac Ailey @ 6/1

 

4.35 This will be run at a ferocious pace with 4 of the 8 runners out and out front runners which will do those up front no good at all but will help the ones more patiently ridden . The in form Never Dark wont have a better chance of getting back on the scoresheet and went close over C&D in a better race two starts back .

½ pt  win Never Dark @ 11/4

 

5.10 The short priced fav is the hat-trick seeking Yagoob , but now on a stiff mark and this is competitive and chances can be given to all of  justified, sir Charles Punch , Three castle and tomorrows angel and I’m with the latter at much longer odds than I expected as she went close off around this mark at Redcar in a competitive event at this trip and showed admirable battling qualities .

½ pt   ew Tomorrow’s Angel @ 20/1

 

Musselburgh placepot

7

3

7

6

2

1,5

 

2 bets 

 

Bath Night racing Fortune for a fiver

50p ew trixie & 50p ew treble

Top Boy 5.55 @ 7/1

You’re Hired 7.25 @ 6/1

Super Superjack 7.55 @ 5/1

 

Selected Kempton – all weather – polytrack

5.35 Only a short head separated Before Dawn and Safra here recently and with the extra furlong in her favour and being of course wiser for that good debut, this costly and well bred filly is preferred .

¾ pt win Safra @ 2/1

 

6.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

6.35 The great Frankel’s sister goes in this and while Chiasma has showed promise this longer trip is far from sure to help, even at this level. The fav is Sea Sylph a smart winner on turf but switches to polytrack, is up in trip, carries a penalty and is badly drawn, so plenty to worry about there. Godolphin run Beautiful Scenery but this 4yo makes a very belated debut . Her majesty’s Orderofsuccession has run  well in both tries over C&D and looks a very lively longshot .

½ pt  ew Orderofsuccession @ 12/1

 

7.05 Rodrigo Diaz has won 4 of his last 5 the only setback was a good 2nd when given too much to do . Sluiced in on turf last time in the style of a big improver and this course winner is likely to take the 6 pound hit in his stride .

½ pt win Rodrigo Diaz @ 6/4

 

7.35 The consistent Thrill Seeker switches back to polytrack after a couple of decent efforts on turf and is just preferred to the thriving Tahitian Prince at the weights. He’s been starting slowly of late but still runs his race .

¼ pt win Thrill Seeker @ 11/4

 

Kempton placepot

8

9,11

12

4

1,2

5,7,8

12 bets

 

Selected Bath – good to firm on this sharp but stiff track

 

5.55 This is winnable as the fav , Trouser The cash is  better on the all weather and hard to know what Daysaq achieved last time when 2nd in what looked a modest hear . Veteran Top Boy is not anywhere near the horse he was but is still enjoying his racing in this lowly grade off a low mark . It was a good effort at Brighton on quick turf when only beaten a head off around this mark and can be forgiven a much lesser run last time on the all weather when this hold up type was ridden prominently by an amateur rider . David Probert is in the saddle and rides this track very well.

½ pt  ew Top Boy @ 7/1

 

 

6.25 Another winnable heat as the fav , the poorly drawn Razor Glass has plenty to prove on quick turf while Shalaa asker comes here on the back of some tame runs . Street Parade is rarely far away but hard to win with . He runs this track well and fast ground no hindrance for this late player who has a good race make up with plenty of early dash in the field and this could be his day .

½ pt  ew  Street Parade @ 11/1

 

6.55The quick ground could be an issue for the poorly drawn form filly in Velvet And Steel while Emerging’s promising debut was in a modest field, except for the winner . Lafan has showed ability in all runs and the way he stayed on last time this expensive purchase could be right at home around this testing C&D .

½ pt  ew Lafan @ 8/1

 

7.25 A good pace is on with the two consistent 3yos in Siam Fox and Zoffareli known for getting busy early , but both are on tough enough marks giving a chance to the classy veteran You’re Hired , who’ll be played late and effectively .

½ pt   ew  You’re Hired @ 6/1

 

7.55 The short priced fav is lisdarragh who has no penalty for a smart win at this trip at Windsor , but didn’t run well here previously so I’m with Super Superjack , a close 2nd over C&D last time and despite the 2 pound hit wont be far away .

½ pt  ew Super Superjack @ 5/1

 

Bath placepot

10

3,8

3,5

2

2

1,4,9

12 bets

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