Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

but another good month for the Premium Multi with a profit of £115, ROI 21% . Not a bad month as most punters

and tipsters would be satisfied with a level month considering you’ve also had the pleasure of ploughing through

all the facts and figures , coming up with “ The One” and of course experiencing the thrill of watching the tips, in the main running

big races.

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Lilly looks a blooming good bet in the 4.15

Today's multis 

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble 

Oriental Lilly 4.15 @ 11/4 

Araifjan 6.55 @ 6/1

Arthur Angel 8.05 @ 9/2

 

Selected Dundalk – all weather – polytrack

1.00A really good quality sprint and the fav is the classy Lipizanner , who drops into handicap company for the first time but the drop In trip will test . The Highway Rat runs this C&D very well and recently was a great 2nd in the Cork mud off today’s mark and gets the nod .

¼ pt  win The Highway Rat @11/4

 

1.35 War Hero has 6 course wins on his CV and at the weights has a big advantage . Comes into this in good form and pretty good odds.

½ pt win War Hero @ 7/4

 

2.10 A wide open handicap but the well drawn Ablah remains on a workable mark and runs the track well.

¼ pt  ew Ablah @ 16/1

 

3.55 Youngster Designer Cailin is far less exposed than the vast majority of these and is both proven at the track and comes here in good form. Well drawn and remains on a good mark .

¼ pt win Designer Cailin @ 6/1

 

5.05 Track regular Chateau Musar has improved since going up to this trip and may well ne capable off this slightly higher mark .

¼ pt win Chateau Musar @ 7/2

 

Dundalk placepot

5,7

4

9,11

4

5,11

4,12

16 bets

 

Selected Newton Abbot – very soft ground on this flat and sharp track

2.20 On the ground this looks a match between the prolific 4 timer chasing Kilmington Rose, a winner over C&D last time in the mud, but running to a level below her mark is a winnable maiden. The ex-Irish Pilbara has done little wrong in running 2nd in both tries here and last time was a good 2nd at the track  at this trip in the mud but over fences , but the switch to hurdles is no issue .

¼ pt win Pilbara @ 11/4

 

2.55 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.05 Catch The Cuban finally responded to the big drop in the ratings with a good 3rd over C&D in the mud off this mark and as the going is the key variable, could be an overdue return to the Winners’ Circle .

¼ pt win Catch The Cuban @ 9/2

 

Newton Abbot placepot

4

3,6

6

Fav

1,2,3

5,6

12 bets

 

Selected Ayr – good to firm on this flat and galloping track

3.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.40 The fav is recent Musselburgh winner Royal Jazz but breathing down her neck were both High Security , who’s had plenty of chances and Lola Rebel, who has not, so worth a dabble . The consistent Cometh The Man could struggle at this trip back in handicap company .

¼ pt  ew  Lola Rebel @ 9/1

 

4.15 Oriental Lilly was well backed when winning over C&d last time , a welcome return to the Winners’ Circle on ground soft enough and despite a stiff 6 pound hit is still very well handicapped on form from just a year ago , and this will take little winning .

½ pt win Oriental Lilly @ 11/4

 

4.50 The lightly raced ran to a good level when switching to front running tactics last time at Chepstow and on a good mark now handicapping and has to be considered. The consistent Fairmac is tactically versatile and remains on a most workable mark and is just preferred .

¼ pt win Fairmac @ 5/2

 

5.25 The fav is recent course winner but not for me as she is up in the ratings, grade and down in trip in a competitive finale. This is also a big ask for recent Beverley winner Bankawi with a stiff penalty and now racing on a speed track . Caballero and Consglia have crossed swords a few times over C&D and there’s usually little between them but the nod goes to the back to form Merricourt , responding to a drop in the ratings with a close 3rd over C&d with Caballero a few lengths behind .

¼ pt win Merricourt @ 8/1

 

Ayr placepot

2,6

Fav

5,10,11

1

4

1,3,5

 

18 bets 

 

Selected Lingfield – all weather – polytrack

6.35 Golden Rainbow went close to carrying his penalty over C&D last time, running to a good level and this looks much easier with form rivals a bit to prove switching to polytrack and up in  trip .

1/ 2 pt win Golden Rainbow @ 6/4

 

7.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

7.35  A stiff task for Asdaa with a 6 pound penalty and switching from turf to polytrack. Broxi continues to struggle but a case can be made for the other five. Delicate Kiss is one of my favourite’s and her record here is outstanding , 4 wins and 6 places from 14 tries and is 2 pounds lower for her last win over C&D. She showed a lot more at Sandown and is regaining fitness following a break . Odds just too big to ignore in spite of this being competitive .

¼ pt  ew  Delicate Kiss @ 25/1

 

8.05 Recent C&d winner Arthur’s Angel won with authority that day and has held his form well off around his new mark . A good pace is on the cards which will suit this strong finisher and shouldn’t be far away .

½ pt  ew Arthur’s Angel @ 9/2

 

8.35 I’m skipping the Lucky Last ,a right puzzle and found myself going around in circles

No Bet

Lingfield placepot

2,8

1

1,2

2,6

1

4,5

16 bets

 

Selected Wolver – all weather – tapeta

 

6.25 This is very tricky with all of the field going up in trip , most new to the surface and impossible to know if their handicap marks reflect their chances of running their best over C&D. Where You At has had plenty of chances but ran to form here before and ran well when upped in trip at Chepstow last time, suggesting an even longer trip would suit

¼ pt  win Where You At @ 11/2

 

6.55 The fav is recent C&D winner Al Asef , who came with a late run to land the spoils . He’s only 2 pounds higher but this is a deeper heat . The pace to the race will come from the capable Araifjan and the likeable Sir Rodneyrednose , and both run this C&D well and are drawn together mid to wide , but the latter is now on a testing mark. The tip made all at Chelmsford City a few runs back and has held his form well except for the last time when the quick turf didn’t suit . He has showed before that he can dispute and still run a big race and this represents a steep drop in class.

½ pt  ew  Araifjan @ 6/1

 

7.25 The only one with course form is the reliable Monsarez and is chanced going up I trip in a winnable heat.

¼ pt win Monsarez @ 9/4

 

7,55 PREMIUM RACE

 

8.55 The fav is the hat-trick seeking Kayfast Warrior , whose last 2 wins came on turf in weak events and has been bumped up a hefty 5 pounds and couldn’t win previously over C&d off a  stone lower mark !  Major J was entitled to run a big race at long odds last time at Chelmsford City and is proven here but the nod goes to the capable if erratic alba De Torres, an all the way winner at Newcastle off just a pound lower , so the surface is fine and after a couple of backward steps did better with a close 6th at Beverley when given a patient ride . Worth a dabble .

¼ pt  ew Alba De Torres @ 11/1

 

Wolver placepot

4,6

1

1,4

4,8

4

3,4

16 bets

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