Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

but another good month for the Premium Multi with a profit of £115, ROI 21% . Not a bad month as most punters

and tipsters would be satisfied with a level month considering you’ve also had the pleasure of ploughing through

all the facts and figures , coming up with “ The One” and of course experiencing the thrill of watching the tips, in the main running

big races.

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

This looks good For Jim in the 3.00

Today’s Multi

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

For Jim 3.00 @ 3/1

Lisdarragh 5.35 @ 5/1

Casilli 8.20 @ 2/1

 

Selected Ayr- good to firm on this flat and galloping

1.00Only 4 go but not easy to find the one who’ll come out on top . The newcomer Maggies Joy would have to run to a very decent level to be victorious and I’m trying Fille De La Lune , who was green as grass on her debut and almost tailed off , but the penny dropped and she sluiced through the field to be quite a remote 2nd and will be wiser today .

¼ pt  win Fille De La Lune @ 4/1

 

1.35 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.10 A very open handicap and the hat-trick seeking Mi Capricho can’t be ruled out with just a 3 pound penalty for two recent course wins . Kilconquhar’s progress has halted with the rise in the ratings , but as he often runs well, was getting no help from the handicapper , so the stable did the right thing and stepped him up in trip and they must have been confident about him staying as he was taken to the front and went a strong gallop until weakening late on and over  furlong less , could surprise.

¼ pt   ew  Kilconquhar @ 10/1

 

2.45 The consistent and tactically versatile Poet’s Magic landed an easy all the way win over C&D a few starts back quite easily and comes here on the back of a good run at Haydock off this mark and gets the nod in a tricky heat .

¼ pt win Poet’s Magic @ 11/4

 

3.20 A good quality Class 2 handicap but the consistent Shelir has been banging at the door and today it should open after a close 2nd over C&D off a pound lower . Some unexposed ones are in competition but gets the nod .

¼ pt win Shelir @ 9/4

 

3.55 PREMIUM RACE

 

Ayr placepot

2,4,5

3,6

3,6

7

5

3,10

24 bets

 

Selected Cartmel – good to firm on this unique track , sharp, undulating with a long run in . Course specialists are always worth noting .

1.20 Looks a match between former decent flat horse Bright Eyed Eagle who’s done Ok over hurdles but his hold up style may well not be suited to this track . King’s Proctor was once a useful type for Mark Johnston but has regressed but off a much reduced mark has been competitive again and made a very pleasing debut over hurdles at Stratford when held up and came home with a full tank . With stamina assured fair to expect a more prominent ride .

¼ pt win King’s Proctor @ 2/1

 

1.50 The outsider Ballyfasoon has a mountain to climb but the other four all have strong claims with good course form . These have been crossing swords of late , all running well , but at the weights, in form veteran Ever So Much comes out the best .

¼ pt win Ever So Much @ 13/2

 

2.25 Very hard to fancy much in this and the stand out piece of recent form belongs to On We Go, who seriously outran her odds of 125/1 ! here last time when looking likely to play a part in the finish , in a far better race , but her stamina waned late on . That good run came completely out of the blue, but if she can reproduce anything like it , a rare win can be hers.

¼ pt  ew  On We Go @ 10/1

 

3.00 This is another winnable heat and despite a tame effort last time and a stiff enough mark, For Jim should be well good enough . He successfully mixes chasing and hurdling and last time struggled badly at Perth , but going right handed is not his thing . He was recently a good winner over C&D off a much lower mark, 9 pounds , but the pair he beat contest the Class 4 race today and have run big races since off much higher marks . Expect a prominent and winning ride .

½ pt win For Jim @ 3/1

 

4.45 An ultra competitive stayers chase and the fav is the unexposed Dressedforsuccess who after landing a Hunter Chase here joined top track trainer Jimmy Moffat and was awesome over C&D last time but is a hefty 10 pounds higher and in higher grade against some in form rivals. The front running Dr Robin  runs this track very well , and ran a bold race last time over a longer trip here , just weakening late on and off a very good mark , could surprise .

¼ pt win Dr Robin @ 7/1

 

5.15 PREMIUM RACE

Cartmel placepot

4

1,3

4,6

1

1,3

1,2

16 bets

 

Selected Windsor – good to firm on this flat and galloping track

5.35 Not many come into this with high hopes and both Crestwood and Scherezade have penalties and as their wins came on soft ground a bit to prove on quick turf . The consistent Sisterandbrother is looking hard to win with and has been nudged up the ratings for not winning . Lisdarragh won over C&d as he pleased 2 starts back but couldn’t back that up at Bath next time off the same mark, but still ran very well behind Supersuperjack who has won well since with a penalty and that stiff track is very different to tonight’s . He’s up 5 pounds but unexposed at this trip and regular rider Harry Burns takes the reins .

½ pt  win Lisdarragh @ 4/1

 

6.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

6.35 The newcomers don’t appear to be anything special judged on their costs so it could be a straight fight between the two winners and on the ground and this speed track , Fast Response gets the nod over Rock Melody .

¼ pt win Fast Response @ 2/1

 

7.05 Another uncompetitive 2yo race and looks good for Hersila who had Piffle a few lengths behind when both made their debuts in a decent Newbury maiden  and even despite the wide draw, should confirm the form.

½ pt win Hersila @ 6/4

 

7.35 The very wonderful A Sure welcome is a favourite of mine as he always runs his race , especially at this venue , where in 9 tries has 2 wins and 5 places .He’s a prominent racer and has won his last two over C&D , but is now on a very testing mark and not at all sure of getting his preferred sit at the front of the pack with the very speedy Glamorous Anna in the field . She hasn’t really fired this season but is below her last winning mark and has run two big races over C&D before . A bit risky considering present form could be more encouraging .Rose Hip is another who raises her game here and can’t be ruled out especially as this late player has an ideal  strong pace to chase.

¼ pt  ew  Glamorous Anna @ 8/1

 

8.40  A tricky small field handicap for the finale and I’m trying the front running and consistent Pertemps Sia , effective over C&D , on the ground and starts handicapping on a fair mark .

¼ pt win Pertemps Sia @ 13/2

 

Windsor placepot

9

2,8

2

8

2,4,5

7,8,13

18 bets

 

Selected Beverley – good to firm on this stiff and galloping track

6.15 The fav is the well drawn but unconvincing Sam’s Call who is a weak finisher and could struggle getting up the hill . Plenty with a chance such as Not on Your Nellie, Navajo Spring, Eh Up it’s mick and Van Gerwen are badly drawn so I’m trying the well drawn and very consistent Dark Shot , no issues with ground or C&d and this could be an overdue and deserved win .

½ pt  ew  Dark Shot @ 6/1

 

6.45 The likes of Tellmeyourstory , Blu Boy and Urban War have chances but all are a bit high in the ratings and grade . Hayadh hasn’t been in scintillating form of late but has a rare pop in Class 5 and has dropped to a very good mark and on a track which suits and on ground he likes, could relish the drop in grade .

¼ pt  ew Hayadh @ 7/1

 

7.15 Mutadil is the clear form horse and is well drawn but worried about the longer trip at this track . Many of these are professional losers , including the tip , Groupie but she excelled recently with a close 4th of  13 from a bad draw, which she has tonight , but that gives her just as good a chance of ones much shorter in the market.

¼  pt  ew Groupie @ 25/1

 

7.45 The short priced fav is one of the form horses in Amelia R , but her win record is pretty rotten and I’d rather have a little dabble on Fliss Floss after her creditable 4th of 13 last time hinting this stiff C&d would suit .

¼ pt  ew  Fliss Floss @9/1

 

8.20 This will take little winning and despite a 2 pound nudge up the ratings , the front running Casilli likes it here and another win looks on .

½ pt win Casilli @ 2/1

 

8.50 The frustrating Hammy end has been nudged up the weights for not winning , again , and not well drawn either . Highland Reel won well over C&D recently on fast ground and only 3 pounds higher but I prefer the chance of the reliable Violette Szabo who goes very well here and I’m forgiving a tame run last time , when nothing really went right . Well drawn.

½ pt  ew Violette Szabo @ 8/1

 

Beverley placepot

1,2

3

1,11

4,6

7,11

2

16 bets

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