Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

but another good month for the Premium Multi with a profit of £115, ROI 21% . Not a bad month as most punters

and tipsters would be satisfied with a level month considering you’ve also had the pleasure of ploughing through

all the facts and figures , coming up with “ The One” and of course experiencing the thrill of watching the tips, in the main running

big races.

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Dan in the 3.35 is the headline tip of the Day(Lewis)

Today’s Trixie – 2 winners yesterday @ 5/2 & 4/1

Danzeno 3.35 @ 7/2

Bowman 6.35 @ 11/4

Lucky Ava 6.50 @ 6/1

 

Selected Wolver – all weather – tapeta

1.00This is really all about ifs, buts and maybes with almost equal positives and negatives for the whole field .

No Bet

 

1.30 Halcyon Spirit beings the best form to the table and is proven here , but  already is looking a bit hard to win with and stable’s record with first time blinkers a horror story .

No Bet

 

2.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.40 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.15 Midraar is the short priced fav after her fine win here last time , but a stiff penalty and a drop in trip asks questions against rivals who are all capable .

No Bet

 

3.50 Not a race for the kids’ dinner money as the majority of these are so hard to win with despite the low grade . I’m with one of the unexposed ones in Hugosthere after a solid 3rd in a handicap over C&D last time .

¼ pt  win Hugosthere @ 6/1

 

Wolver placepot

1,5,7

3

3,8

Fav

1,2,4

10

18 bets

 

Selected Nottingham – good to soft on this flat and galloping track

1.55 I wont be getting involved in this nursery as so many go handicapping for the first time and for many soft ground is a new experience .

No bet

 

2.25 Typewriter caught my eye as she is proven on the ground and likely to appreciate the longer trip , but I’m not on my own , and now is too short odds to support at 11/8.

No Bet

 

3.00 It’s very hard to knock Yagood, 3 wins and a 2nd in his last 4 , but has been well placed to win a few of these and off this stiff mark , could be vulnerable and form on soft ground patchy . Kalma and Koi Dodville are youngsters with a chance but the nod goes to the in form Bailarico , who goes well here , and was narrowly beaten at Bath off a 2 pound lower mark . He’s another with patchy form on the ground .

¼ pt  win Bailarico @ 7/1

 

3.35 Taroosh hasn’t been cutting the mustard of late and with his penalty is ruled out. Danzeno must be complemented for holding his form so well into senior years and is still rated a lofty 101 despite being a 10yo . He’s the likely pacesetter and in two runs here he has  a win and a place , in 4 runs in Class 3 he has 2 wins and 2 places and likes soft ground . He is preferred to the in form pair of Motagally and Dubai Station , who could both be better  served by a stiffer track and better ground . Ray Dawson’s 3 pound claim aboard the tip could be invaluable .

¾ pt win Danzan @ 4/1

 

4.10 The penalised recent winners in Bellevarde and Boudica Bay have of course more to do today and the latter wont be totally at home on the ground . Aish has no issues with the ground and remains on a workable mark . If front running could take some catching .

¼ pt  win Aish @ 13/2

 

4.45 There is pace all across the track so the draw should be immaterial n this big field low grade handicap sprint . Rebel Redemption is holding his form well despite nudges up the ratings and with the ground in his favour , shouldn’t be far away today .

¼ pt  ew  Rebel Redemption @ 11/2

 

5.20 Hard to get excited about the prospects of many In this and looks a match between the front running Hy Eales, a facile winner at this trip in the Lingfield mud and as she’s unexposed as  a middle distance horse ,the 6 pound higher mark could well be in range , up against the in form Intercessor , a close 4th at Epsom last time in a modest heat.

¼ pt win Hy Eales @ 9/2

 

Nottingham placepot

 

6.10

9

6,7

2

4,5

3,8

16 bets

 

Selected Lingfield – all weather – polytrack

5.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.35 PREMIUM RACE

 

6.05 As none of these have ever raced on polytrack , so an easy race to swerve.

No Bet

 

6.35 the front running Bowman has the best of the draw and very likely to have his own way up front , as he did when successful over C&d off just a pound lower beating a pair if inform ones . Hard to see Ivasecret landing this with a 6 pound penalty while Great News was very disappointing last time and can only be watched for now .

½ pt win Bowman @ 11/4

 

7.05 Nothing has a clear edge in this low grade handicap and another wise to sit out .

No Bet

 

7.35 The very consistent Gift horse is proven on the surface and despite the penalty has a bit less to prove then short priced fav Willoughby Bay , whose good 2nd came in the mud .

¼ pt win Gift Horse @ 5/1

 

8.05 Both Thegreatestshowman and Vandad will be battling for an early lead and as the former has a poor win record and the latter now on a stiff mark, it makes the bang in form Buy Me Back a good bet, especially at the odds. Proven over C&D and she’s in the form of her life after a splendid 2nd at Sandown last time and despite a 2 pound nudge she’s sure to run her race and will have the race run to suit this strong finisher .

½ pt win Buy Me Back @ 7/1

 

Lingfield placepot

3,5

8,10

1,6

4

3

2,4

 

16 bets

 

Selected Chelmsford City – all weather – polytrack

6.20 It’s another Nightmare Nursery where too much guesswork has to be employed as most of these go handicapping for the first time and few with experience on the surface.

No Bet

 

6.50 Brazen Belle is better at Wolver while the hard to win with Porfin has it to prove down In trip . Lucky Ava has the form on this surface to win this well but her form has been a little bit in and out of late , but will welcome a return to the all weather . Nicely drawn and this wont take much winning . The fav is Outkast , who when last seen, 2 months ago, was a few lengths behind the tip at this trip and surface , and despite the 6 pound pull , this hold up type has a bit to prove .

½ pt win Lucky Ava @ 5/1

 

7.20 A most winnable heat and the hat-trick looks very much on for the much improved Nibras Shadow, with two smart wins on tapeta of late and earlier was a close 4th here from the worst of the draw and a trip far too short . Despite the penalty and lift in grade, looks a solid fav .

½ pt win Nibras Shadow @ 5/4

 

7.50 The long odds on fav is Sunrise Valley who caught the eye when hosing up at Newmarket . That was 3 months ago and she tries this surface for the first time , but the top stable does very well here and it would be a shock of turned over .

No Bet

 

8.20 I was with Midfield last time in a similar event at Lingfield, but she never got on top until late on so the drop in trip and stiff penalty could make her an uneasy fav . Affair goes well here , as run some decent races off this  much reduced mark of late and worth an ew dabble .

¼ pt  ew  Affair @ 11/1

 

8.50 La roca Del Fuego and Tarseekh  are both in fine form and go well over C&D but both have been very unlucky in the draw , racing from the two widest stalls . The consistent but hard to win with Perfect Symphony is well drawn but preference is for the capable Vincenzo Coccotti , also well drawn and may try to lead all the way , which he’s managed to do 4 times here before off higher ratings than this.

½ pt win Vincenzo Coccotti @ 6/1

 

Chelmsford City placepot

2,5,11

1

8

1

4,7

5,9

 

12 bets 

 

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