Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

but another good month for the Premium Multi with a profit of £115, ROI 21% . Not a bad month as most punters

and tipsters would be satisfied with a level month considering you’ve also had the pleasure of ploughing through

all the facts and figures , coming up with “ The One” and of course experiencing the thrill of watching the tips, in the main running

big races.

 

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Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

 I have recently switched to Bet365 as my principal bookmaker, and it's been a smart move with so many extra place

races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

I Encourage you to have a little play in the 5.10

 There is very likely to be a delayed service on Friday August 13th as I have another hospital appointment and expect to be home around 1pm . I’m hoping to have studied sufficiently before attending my appointment , so optimistic of Members’ Tips & lays being onsite around 2pm and the free service a little later. It’s worth checking from 1pm onwards , just in case . Apologies , John .

Today's Trixie 

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble 

Moonshiner 3.20 Ffos Las @ 9/4

Encourage 5.10 @ 11/4

Papa Stour 6.08 @ 8/1

 

Selected Ffos Las – good ground on this flat and galloping track

1.35 Looks a match between the prolific Summer’s Knight , who very much still looks on a workable mark after a cosy win last time off a 4 pound lower mark and no issues with trip / ground or type of track . He is closely matched with Reverend Hubert , but this one is more exposed and first time geldings don’t do well for the top stable .

½ pt win Summer’s Knight @ 5/6

 

2.10 Hard to rule anything out of this nursery but Three Dons has run two solid races of late putting him on a fair mark and also proven at the trip .

¼ pt win Three Dons @ 6/1

 

2.45 You could make a case for most but not keen on the fav who is on a stiff enough mark and the drop in trip wont help. Both Handytalk and Flip Mode disappointed last time , yet another curious case of a horse drifting in the market running a stinker , but on their best form both would be contenders . The in form Creek Harbour is on a stiff enough mark but is running with plenty of zest and could surprise .

¼ pt win Creek Harbour @ 5/1

 

3.20 Bama Rama has no penalty for landing a modest event in the mud, but quicker ground likely to find her out . Both Morty and Moonshiner come here in fine form and both now on career high marks , but the latter’s form looks the stronger and actually drops in grade for a win in Class 5 last time.

 ½ pt  win Moonshiner @ 9/4

 

3.55 Hard to get excited with this one as they’re all struggling to get their noses in front , but that’s on the flat and as Gibraltarian landed a confidence boosting win at Newton Abbot, could well be up to adding this .

½ pt win Gibraltarian @ 13/2

 

4.25 Another race where they are all struggling for a win , especially long standing maiden , the capable but frustrating Bobby on the Beat . Miquelon is also a maiden but has been shaping up well in defeat and this should be his day .

½ pt win Miquelon @ 13/8

Ffos Las placepot

1,3

6

2,7

4,5

2

5,11

16 bets

 

Selected Salisbury – good to firm on this undulating , galloping and stiff track

1.15 Mistrix did well finishing a close 2nd on debut at Donny and this longer trip shouldn’t be an issue, Could have been better draw. Both Silverdale and Thebeautifulgame ran well last time but a bit to prove on quick turf .

¼ pt win Mistrix @ 5/2

 

1.45 Good Humour ran well in just one start last year but ran a stinker in his recent comeback spin so can’t be considered after that .Unique Cut did well on debut coming 3rd but it was on soft ground . Tawaazon shaped up nicely on debut and the extra furlong will suit .

¼ pt  win Tamaazon @ 9/4

 

2.20 The consistent Makashi has had more chances than the rest of the field put together , but still brings the best form to the table and the ground and C&D in his favour and despite the wide draw, every dog( or horse) has his day .

¼ pt win Makashi @ 11/4

 

2.55 Question marks against She Do, down in trip , Amor De Vida, up in trip , Bella Notte ,far better in the mud , and Velocistar on fast turf , but nothing wrong with the in form Silent Flame , a C&D winner who comes here in fine form at this mark.

½ pt win Silent Flame @ 2/1

 

3.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.05 A good quality Group 3 and the fav is Megallan , but he would be happier over a longer trip and slower ground . Sir Busker is the one to beat at the ratings and the ground and C&D are fine, He could have done better in a couple of recent runs , but does drop in grade .

½ pt win Sir Busker @ 13/2

 

4.40 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.10 I thought that Encourage did well last time on quick ground off a tough mark when a close 3rd and shaped up very much as if this longer trip would suit. and could take his form to a new level .

¾ pt win Encourage @ 7/2

 

Salisbury placepot

4,14

4

4

6

10,11

3,6,10

12 bets

 

Selected Beverley – good ground on this stiff and galloping track

2.00 The solid fav is On The River , a good 2nd last time off a 3 pound lower mark but will be fine over this C&D and nothing else  has really been showing any promise .

½ pt win On The River @ 15/8

 

 

3.45 The front running Selsey Sizzler is well drawn to attempt another all the way win and remains on a workable mark . He shouldn’t be bothered too much up front , which is an obvious positive , and can make every post a winning post . The in form late playing Wynford is the danger but the tip could well have first run .

½ pt win Selsey Sizzler @ 7/2

 

4.20 This has a winnable look to it and as First Greyed comes here on the back of a very solid close 3rd over C&d on ground quick enough and looks way overpriced for his chance .

½ pt win First Greyed @ 10/1

 

5.25 There’ll be no hanging around in this as both the penalised pair of Antagonise and C&d winner Bankawi will shoot off like the clappers , not ideal for either, and the most likely to profit is the in form Transition , who is a prominent racer himself but does see out the trip strongly . Well drawn and proven on a stiff track .

½ pt win Transition @ 11/4

Beverley Placepot

3

4,11

2,8

4

2,4

4,6

 

16 bets 

 

Selected Lingfield – all weather – polytrack

5.38 PREMIUM RACE

 

6.08 The likes of Benefit Street will be tested by the longer trip, higher rating and grade , while he consistent Lady Celia could struggle in the grade and the surface . Going through the field I was finding strong negatives against most so happy yo play Papa Stour , who excelled when down to this trip at Chelmsford City , trying to make all but chinned late on and I was firmly with him at Newcastle , but wasn’t taken to the front early and failed to run his race . It could be a case of no lead no win , but neither of these are that likely .

½ pt  ew  Papa Stour @ 8/1

 

6.38 The consistent Royal Pleasure still looks capable of this mark and is well drawn but I’m with C&d winner Isola Rossa, just behind Royal Pleasure last time , but this more benign track is in her favour, so despite the wide draw worth a dabble . The Attorney won well on turf last time but has a hefty penalty , switches to polytrack and has the worst of the draw .

¼ pt  ew Isolo Rossa @ 15/2

 

7.08 PREMIUM RACE

 

7.38 The in form Jebel Durkan has his mark and this surface to beat and last time at Newcastle had the consistent Fame and Fortune just behind but likely to reverse placings at his favourite track . The consistent Menai Bridge is proven on the surface , on a workable mark and this C&d should be ideal . From a nice draw, a nice ew play .

½ pt  ew  Menai Bridge @ 8/1

 

Lingfield placepot

6,8

4

5,10

2,8

11

7,9

16 bets

 

Selected Chelmsford City – all weather – polytrack

6.52 There’s every chance that this will present too sharp  a test for the hat-trick seeking Nine Tails  but the useful Crimson Sand has his best surface and stays on a workable mark . Track specialist Baba Reza put in an improved display for his new stable at Newmarket and could upstage the principles off the same mark .

¼ pt win Baba Reza @ 9/2

 

7.22 The stable switch will certainly have to improve matters for Dirhan Emerati to strike while the consistent if frustrating Fandabidozi continues to be so hard to win with . Geremia gave the progressive Summer’s Knight a right fright last time at this trip and around this mark and despite being unproven on the surface is preferred to The Vegas Raider , a close 2nd over C&D last time , but two grades lower !

½ pt win Geremia @ 9/4

 

7.52 Not a race for a serious bet as all of these have great difficulty landing one , even when “ gifted “ a race , the chief offender being the badly drawn Jafathegaffa . Kerrera comes here on the back of a good effort on turf , but is a C&D winner here and from a good draw , may try and make all .

¼ pt win Kerrera @ 9/2

 

8.22 Not a competitive sprint and the likely winner is Lilkian , but she’s short enough at 11/8 with a stiff penalty , but still likely to struggle over the line ahead .

No Bet

 

8.52 Time Interval impressed last time when stepped up to this distance making all for his top stable . The 4 pound hit could have been far worse and in a field of hold up types , should again have his own way up front . Switches from turf but has won on polytrack.

½ pt win Time Interval @ 11/8

 

Chelmsford City placepot

5

1,3

2,4

3,7

1,2

6

 

16 bets 

 

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