Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

but another good month for the Premium Multi with a profit of £115, ROI 21% . Not a bad month as most punters

and tipsters would be satisfied with a level month considering you’ve also had the pleasure of ploughing through

all the facts and figures , coming up with “ The One” and of course experiencing the thrill of watching the tips, in the main running

big races.

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

it's in the Bag(an) in the 6.05

Selected Chepstow – good to soft on this undulating , galloping and quite stiff track

1.00It’s a bit of a lottery as soft ground is a new experience for the principals .

No Bet

 

1,30 Duke Of Prussia is now on a stiff mark and a bit to prove returning to turf while soft ground hasn’t helped Arcadian Heights in the past . Almost An angel certainly likes it here but is a hefty 6 pounds higher for a win over C&D and only run on soft ground wasn’t good. Mountain Ash’s only win came on soft ground off a much lower mark but wasn’t beaten far at Newbury at this trip off a higher mark and grade .

¼ pt win Mountain  ash @ 5/2

 

2.00 Rani Of Jhansi continues to make a meal of breaking her duck and not for me at around evens despite few here having a serious chance .

No Bet

 

2.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.00 Maajdah very much had the run of the race from the front last time at Yarmouth on good ground , which wont be the case today and an earlier run on easy ground was poor. Russco goes for the 4 timer after two smart wins on the Wolver tapeta followed up by a victory on deep ground at Haydock , all wins at 7 furlongs and despite only being up 3 pounds , the trip is the worry against specialists at this distance . He’s likely also to be front rank as too is Shahra which may set this up for the hat-trick seeking Portlet Bay, 2 from 2 in a visor, no issue with the ground or trip but up 4 pounds and in grade , along with another mud lover in Danzart , who has held his form pretty well since spreadeagling a field in the Lingfield mud. Hard to split them, F/c time

1/4p rev fc Danzart – Portlet Bay

 

3.30 Found myself going round in circles with so many with a chance and the ground an issue with some .

NO Bet

 

Chepstow placepot

4,5

2,5

5

4,6

1,6

3,5

32 bets

 

Selected Brighton – good to firm on this undulating , sharp and tricky track

1.45 Very much a match but Summers Day is more likely to appreciate this sharp track than the hard to win with Tadita Twitch , but too short at the odds.

No Bet

 

2.15No stopping  Porterinthejungle who goes for the 4 timer and2 recent wins came over C&D . She’s tactically versatile but a 6 pound hit will test . Rhyme Scheme made all to win a modest selling handicap over C&D last time and hard to see a repeat in this deeper race . The others in the race also have chances in a tough heat to call .

No Bet

 

2.45 Sorry folks, very hard to get a handle on this nursery with the trip , ground and track all important unknowns for most .

No bet

 

3.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.45 A modest selling handicap and again just not enough to go on and all of these are hard to win with of late .

No Bet

 

4.15 The odds on fav is Dusky Lord whose only run last year was only a fair one on the all weather and was 11 months ago ! Another race I wont have an interest in .

No Bet

 

4.47 Batchelor Boy has severely lost the plot but the other three were involved in the finish over C&D recently and at the weights, the front running Boom The groom can tough out a deserved win .

¼ pt win Boom The Groom @ 7/4

 

Brighton placepot

5

1,3

4

1,5

3,5

1,4,6

24 bets

 

Selected Stratford – good ground on this flat and sharp track

The Stratford Trixie

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Fat Sam 4.30 @ 8/1

Fred Bear 5.05 @ 9/4

Bagan 6.05 @ 3/1

 

3.55 Percy’s Word and Edinburgh Castle both bring good form to the table but both have become very hard to win with and the first time tongue for Edinburgh Castle looks a move of desperation as the stable has no success using the aid for the first time . Catbird Seat was still in with a chance until a last flight fall on debut and that form gives him every chance of compensation .

¼ pt win Catbird Seat @ 7/2

 

4.30 I was with Royal Ruby last time here in a modest heat but he could no more than win by an easy 23 lengths . This is a far deeper race , has a very hefty 11 pound hit and crucially his last run came after a lengthy absence , so could well bounce today . Fat Sam won very well here last time and the 2nd horse has sluiced in since . He hasn’t had many chances and could well take the penalty and longer trip in his stride . Lots of pace on here so his patiently ridden style looks just the job . Another lightly raced winner last time Cape Robin is one to consider despite a hefty 10 pound hit .

½ pt win Fat Sam @ 8/1

 

5.05 Experience counts for plenty in early juvenile hurdles and hard to knock the hat-trick seeking Scrappy Jack but equally hard to knock the consistent Fred Bear who enjoys a 4 pounds pull for a narrow defeat by Scrappy Jack and has since run well over C&D .

½ pt win Fred Bear @ 9/4

 

5.35 Caremellised was super impressive winning over C&D on debut but does have the dreaded penalty and the likes of Aggagio and Addosh were as good as him on the flat .

No Bet

 

6.05 Despite a cruel 4 pound hit compensation awaits for Bagan , most unlucky last time over C&D when having the race in the bag only to take a purler at the last with the consistent Air Hair Lair held in 4th . Expect another prominent ride and a deserved win

¾ pt win Bagan @ 3/1

 

6.35 With the exception of Dr Des, the other four are very closely matched and happy to watch.

No Bet

 

7.05 The ex-Irish Captain Cobajay came into his last race on the back of 2 pulled ups , but the cash was shovelled on and won well at Market Rasen with Costly Diamond not far behind and has a handy weight pull , also will be far happier going left handed . Often successful big gambles are for that day only so happy just to watch Captain Copajay . The consistent Babytaggle goes well here and has ew claims but remains hard to win  with while this C&D is most unlikely to suit the strong staying Kapsize , whose good stable is struggling presently .

¼ pt win Costly Diamond @ 5/1

 

Stratford Placepot

11

4,6

4

1,9

3

1,2,3

12 bets

 

Selected Ripon – good to soft on this undulating and sharp track

5.25 One of many uncompetitive heats today and the likely winner is Southern raider Angel Amadea , but not for me at short odds .

No Bet

 

5.55 PREMIUM RACE

 

6.25 You could have  thrown a blanket around Eagle Court , Ghadbaan and Bollin neil at the finish in a steadily run York race at this trip on fast ground , so hard to know which one will come out on top tonight and there are a few others in the field likely to have their presence felt.

No Bet

 

6.55 PREMIUM RACE

 

7.25 The consistent King Viktor ha tried his utmost the last twice but has found the rise in the ratings tough to overcome .Both Out Of sight and Oot Ma Way have stamina to prove so preference for the lightly raced Raqisa, 1 from 1 at this trip and it came on easy ground .

¼ pt win Raqisa @ 4/1

 

7.55 In all big field sprints, first job is to identify where the early pace will come from and the most likely leader is the flying Oh So Hot, who should have done far better last time but previously was in good shape, so could have had an off day . He’s drawn the 1 box and it’s not unknown here to go far side on easy ground , so with a bit to prove on the ground I prefer recent C&D winner Ginato, who won as he pleased that day , is drawn low, easy ground Ok and showed up well last time off this new mark . The consistent if frustrating Cometh The Man is a hold up type who is drawn high and could be on the wrong side of the track.

¼ pt   win Ginato @ 4/1

Ripon placepot

7

2,6

2,7

1,6

1,2

2,5

32 bets

 

 

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