Expecting an Outstanding October

 

 We were going along very nicely thank you until the final week , where there were a number of

disappointing or unlucky runs and after looking as if we were coasting to a tidy monthly profit , 

in the end we came out with just a tiny profit for The Premium Tip and a small loss for the lays .

On a more positive note , the Premium tip Multis again came in with a terrific £300 profit , ROI 53% 

and the free tip singles also finished with a healthy 30pts profit 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

All Night racing now onsite

Today’s Trixie

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Triple Nickle 3.05 @ 7/2

Elvrika 2.55 @ 4/1

Atavique 4.00 @ 4/1

 

Selected Thirsk – probably good ground on this flat and galloping track

1.00It’s never easy to carry a penalty to victory in maidens but Taj Aloja , won well on debut and backed that up with a close 4th at Windsor in a far deeper race than this . Outsmart has a bit to prove returning from a 2 months break and switching from tapeta .

½ pt win Taj Alola @ 9/4

 

1.30 This is more competitive than the previous race but a good run is likely from Noonie , a well drawn prominent racer , 2nd in her last 2 runs , bringing a good level of form to the table. Victoria Grove has slightly stronger form but has only ran at Newmarket , a very different track from today and not well drawn .

¼ pt win Noonie @ 4/1

 

2.05 An open stayers handicap but a big ask for the prolific Steel an Icon , up again in the ratings , up in trip and other front runners compete . Justified has got his act together of late and lost little in defeat last time off this mark when a close 4th . He’s been shaping like a return to this longer trip would suit .

¼ pt win Justified @ 9/2

 

2.40 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.15 The admirably consistent Cassy O will give it another good go, but now on a tough enough mark and prefer a play on the once useful Firmament , who had been struggling of late , but was a good 4th behind Cassy O over C&D a few starts back and with a healthy weight pull , should feature again .

¼ pt  ew  Firmament @ 10/1

 

3.50 Empirestateofmind sluiced in at Musselburgh last time , but only looked to be on an OK mark so the 7 pound hit will test as will the wide draw. The hat-trick seeking Strangerontheshore is also on a 7 pound mark and her beloved Carlisle is a very different circuit from this . Ron O has been going well off this mark and trip but the first time visor a negative for the stable . Preference is for the consistent Northbound , 2 good 3rd here of late , off this mark , giving the impression the longer trip would suit .

¼ pt win Northbound @ 11/2

 

Thirsk Placepot

1

7

6,8

2,7

1,4

9,12

16 bets

 

 Selected Newmarket – good to firm on this undulating , galloping and stiff track

1.10 There is a stack of well bred , expensive unraced juveniles in this must watch maiden , most racing in famous colours , making an odds on punt on clear form horse Silk Romance very risky as her good 2nd came on polytrack.

No Bet

 

1.45 Lamorna Cove won nicely last time at this trip at Newbury and could be up to the 3 pound hit , but Allerby continues to be unconvincing on turf, Vanitas can be relied upon to run her race off this mark and C&D should be fine .

¼ pt  ew  Vanitas @ 10/1

 

2.55 The hat-trick seeking hold up type Cosmic Raj is now on a testing mark , true he’s only a pound higher for a last gasp win last time but that was in a modest 3 horse race  and on previous form , this mark will test in a deeper heat . Not a great deal of early pace which will help the reliable Elvrika, who goes strongly from the front and remains on a workable mark .

½ pt winElvrika @ 4/1

 

4.00 Not a deep race and despite a hefty 4 pound hit for a recent C&D win , Atavique won very cosily and despite being closely matched with Mille Miglia, this one remains a maiden and has to be produced just right . All of Thermal. New Heights and First Dance are last time winners but now on testing marks while Water Iris is so hard to win with .

½ pt win Atavique @ 4/1

 

Newmarket placepot

8,10

4,8

4

3

2,5

1,5

16 bets

 

Selected Ffos Las – good ground on this flat and galloping track

1.20 Quite an open nursery with all of Astaroth, Zain Nubras and Whispering Winds coming here in fine form but all nudged up the ratings so the nod goes to Gangway , a good 2nd off this mark last time at around this trip .

¼ pt  win  Gangway @ 3/1

 

2.30 I made Girl from Ipanema a very lively longshot last time with plenty of boxes ticked , but ran a stinker , but her previous form is hard to ignore and worth forgiving .

¼ pt  ew Girl From Ipanema @ 10/1

 

3.05 The odds on fav is Percy’s Pride but he’s not well handicapped and this late player prefers plenty of juice in the ground . This is likely to be tactical and despite Tundra having stamina to prove , could be dangerous if allowed to set steady fractions . Preference is for the reliable Triple Nickle, only a pound higher than his last win and ran fine here last time over a trip too short .

½ pt  win Triple Nickle @ 7/2

 

4.10 The odds on fav is Asjad ,who is 2 from 2, but both wins have come on soft ground and both his rivals are well capable of running big races and the odds about the well handicapped Desert Doctor too good to ignore .

¼ pt win Desert Doctor @ 13/2

 

Ffos Las Placepot

1

4

2,7

2,3

2,6

1,2,3

24 bets

 Selected The Curragh – good ground on this undulating , stiff and galloping track

 

 

4.45 Albula made quite an impression winning on debut at Naas , and this modest Group 3 looks at his mercy .

½ pt win Albula @ 5/4

 

5.15 The ones favoured by the weights in the Group 3 : Champers Elysses , Oonadatta and Shale are running consistently below their ratings and worth a try on the 4 timer seeking I Siyou Baby , who s certainly improving with experience and mark may underestimate her .

¼ pt  ew Isiyou Baby @ 14/1

 

5.45 Always worth taking note of anything which crosses The Irish Sea and Tom Dascombe’s useful juvenile Sam Maximus brings the strongest form having mixed it well in hot company . Plenty of his rivals are unexposed but worth a dabble.

¼ pt win sam Maximus @ 4/1

 

6.15 A good quality sprint but the consistent youngster Lord Dudley could only manage a modest 3rd last time and looks in the grip of the handicapper . I was keen on the chance of Big Gossey  last time but his chance went at the start . Ticks plenty of important boxes and a nice longshot

¼ pt  ew  Big Gossey @ 14/1

 

6.45 PREMIUM RACE

 

The Curragh placepot

2,9

1

1,8

4

3,11

21,24

16 bets

Back with other 2 cards soon 

Selected The Curragh – good ground on this undulating , stiff and galloping track

 

4.45 Albula made quite an impression winning on debut at Naas , and this modest Group 3 looks at his mercy .

½ pt win Albula @ 5/4

 

5.15 The ones favoured by the weights in the Group 3 : Champers Elysses , Oonadatta and Shale are running consistently below their ratings and worth a try on the 4 timer seeking I Siyou Baby , who s certainly improving with experience and mark may underestimate her .

¼ pt  ew Isiyou Baby @ 14/1

 

5.45 Always worth taking note of anything which crosses The Irish Sea and Tom Dascombe’s useful juvenile Sam Maximus brings the strongest form having mixed it well in hot company . Plenty of his rivals are unexposed but worth a dabble.

¼ pt win sam Maximus @ 4/1

 

6.15 A good quality sprint but the consistent youngster Lord Dudley could only manage a modest 3rd last time and looks in the grip of the handicapper . I was keen on the chance of Big Gossey  last time but his chance went at the start . Ticks plenty of important boxes and a nice longshot

¼ pt  ew  Big Gossey @ 14/1

 

6.45 PREMIUM RACE

 

The Curragh placepot

2,9

1

1,8

4

3,11

21,24

16 bets

 

Selected Hamilton -good ground on this undulating , stiff and galloping track

5.40 Mi Capricho had been in terrific form until a very tame effort last time . His hectic schedule may have caught up with him or just had a bad day in the office, we’ll be sure after the event  . This will take little winning and could go all the way . Paddyplex has no penalty for a C&D win last time in an apprentice race , which fell apart badly and previous form off this mark only modest .

¼ pt win Mi Capricho @ 11/2

 

6.10 Should be a breeze for 4/7 shot Sweet Believer against modest opposition .

No Bet

 

6.40 A stack of massively in form runners , platinumcard goes for the 4 timer , but has an 8 pound penalty . Mahrajaan goes handicapping on a very fair mark going for his hat-trick , but is one of many front runners in the field while the admirable Euro Implosion , 4 wins and a 3rd in his last 5 will give it a right go from the front with the best of the draw , but the grade and mark will catch him out. Where’s Jeff is back to his consistent best and a nice ew play .

¼ pt  ew Where’s Jeff @ 10/1

 

7.40 Tough to call with all of Melody King , Glorious Rio and Iris dancer in fine form Iris Dancer has a healthy weight pull with Melody King for a narrow defeat over C&Dand a deserved win can be hers.

¼ pt win Iris Dancer @ 10/3  

 

Hamilton placepot

3,4

6

2,6

1

1,6

6,8

16 bets

 

Selected Goodwood – good to firm on this undulating , sharp and tricky track

4.53 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.23 The form of Definite’s debut 4th has received a few boosts and gets the nod in a tricky maiden.

¼ pt win Definite @ 11/4

 

5.53 Hard to rule anything out for certain but the fav Just Hubert wont be at home on quickening ground and is not the most reliable , Hat-trick seeking Be My sea is not out of this and looks overpriced .

¼ pt win Be My sea @ 8/1

 

6.53 PREMIUM RACE

 

7.23 The consistent Glamorous Force holds his form well , including off this mark and can strike late in a race full of pace

¼ pt win Glamorous Force @ 3/1

 Goodwood placepot

2,3

1

5,6

4

1,2

1,5

16 bets 

 

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