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 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

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Todays FREE tips wording2

He can land the 4.00 a Tad comfortably

Today’s Trixie

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

 Tadbeed 4.00 @ 11/4

Walhaan 3.40 @ 7/2

Papacito 4.45 @ 9/2

 

Selected Newcastle – all weather – tapeta- , the track is stiff  and galloping

 

1.00One of the quickest routes to the poor house is backing long standing maidens, but in this weak opener Peerless Percy has the form in the book , including off around this and C&D , to finally break his duck .

¼ pt win Peerless Percy @ 3/1

 

1,35 Another winnable heat as in form track specialist Twisted Dreams finds this trip plenty far enough , as does Tilstt while Kentucky Kingdom is now on a very tough mark . Global Art is consistent but another with a rotten win record , but on a good mark and track and trip no issue .

¼ pt win Global Art @ 9/2

 

2.10 Bashkirova impressed on debut and despite the penalty , this will take little winning and with the top stable’s excellent record here . likely to handle the C&D well .

½ pt win Bashkirova @ 5/4

 

2.45 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.20 With all of recent C&D winners Nat Love, Glenifer and Brazen Bolt now on tough marks a chance can be given to Shaykhoon , only 2 pounds higher for a recent win over C&D .

¼ pt ew   Shaykhoon @ 8/1

 

3.50 Khazaf recently returned from a long absence with a good 4th over C&D off this mark and as long as this doesn’t come too soon , has solid ew claims in a winnable heat as the fav Nibras Shadow was comfortably held off her new mark last time .

¼ pt  ew  Khazaf @ 13/2

 

4.20 Tatsumaki won very nicely on debut but it was at Newmarket , over a longer trip and on quick ground , so plenty to prove today , especially carrying a penalty . Leuven Power did Ok on debut and runs for a top stable but at the odds I can’t resist a play on the capable Ibn Aldar for a Southern in form stable who does very well here . His first run was pretty good and that makes him a very lively longshot .

¼ pt  ew  Ibn Aldar @ 20/1

 

Newcastle placepot

2

4

5

1,3

2,7

2,4,12

12 bets

 

Selected Haydock – good to firm on this flat and galloping track

1.10 Very tricky

No Bet

 

1.45 Should well be Vertiginous’ day but wouldn’t recommend buying money at 2/7 .

No Bet

 

2.20 A wide open sprint but Manigordo holds his form well and remains on a workable mark , fast ground and speed tracks suit .

¼ pt win Manigordo @ 5/1

 

2.55 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.30 The William Haggas newcomer, Cet Horizon,  is very well related and worth a dabble with doubts about market leaders .

¼ pt win Cet Horizon @ 11/2

 

4.00 Beheld was well held on quick ground last time which leaves the door wide open in this winnable heat to the consistent Tadreeb , no issues with this kind of C&D , mark or ground .

¾ pt win Tedreeb @ 11/4

 

Haydock placepot

1.2.4

9

3,7

2,7

1,3

2

24 bets

 

Selected Ascot – good to firm on this stiff and galloping track

1.20 Captain’s Bar good 3rd at Newmarket on debut is good enough to land this as Khanjar is unlikely to benefit from the drop in trip .

¼ pt win Captain’s Bar @ 11/4

 

1.55 Should very much be Saga’s day after two good runs and this C&d will be fine .

½ pt win Saga @ 8/11

 

2.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.40 Stiff mark for recent winner Fantastic Fox while the highly tried of late Uncle Bryn goes handicapping on a fair mar but the drop in trip on fast ground Is the issue . Walhan was 2nd in this last year off a higher mark and is gradually building up fitness after an absence and last time was pretty good .

½ pt win Walhan @ 7/2

 

4.10 A most winnable race as the fav Prontissimo has a bit to prove dropping in trip while the capable Louis De Palma, bounced back to form , without any warning , but if In the same mood , could double up. The nod goes to the in form Dancinginthewoods , two big runs off around this mark of late and one over C&D but the first time hood isn’t a positive for the stable .

¼ pt win Dancinginthewoods @ 7/2

 

4.45 Papacito is 2 from and switches to handicap company on a well workable mark in a very winnable finale . No issue with this Kind of C&D and ground .

¾ pt win Papacito @ 9/2

 

Ascot placepot

1

5

2,5

1,4,5

6

5,6

12 bets

 

Selected Ponty – good to firm on this undulating , stiff and galloping track

5.30 the front running Eternal glory has a crucial C&D win in the book and wasn’t beaten far at all at this trip in a Class 2 nursery and 2 pounds lower today . This is not deep .

½ pt win Eternal Glory @7/2

 

6.00 Six strings is impossible to knock , 5 seconds and a 3rd in his last 6 . Remains on a manageable mark and has run well here before . Could be a deserved win .

¼ pt win Six Strings @ 4/1

 

7.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

7.30 The fav is the useful front runner King of Stars , who has the ground in his favour and promises to be suited to this C&d , but a bit high in the ratings and this looks very open Nod goes to the consistent track specialist Ventura Express, holding his form well despite being nudged up the weights .

¼ pt win Ventura express @ 7/2

 

Ponty placepot

1,9

3

10

1,4

8,10

2,5

16 bets

 

Selected Kempton – all weather – polytrack

5.45 Despite both Park street and Pavlodar coming into this with good form , but untried on synthetics, I’m trying the expensive Godolphin newcomer Maplewood, bred to appreciate the surface.

¼ pt win Maplewood @ 3/1

 

6.45 Both Altraif and Al Jaddaf bring strong form to the table but I’m trying another newcomer in the very costly Dream By day , related to polytrack winners.

¼ pt win Dream By day @ 13/2

 

8.15 Followers of Mafia Power always get a good run for their money but wins are elusive . He’s effective here and this looks well winnable . Could be his day .

¼ pt win Mafia Power @ 9/2

 

8.45 A tricky finale but the extra yardage and penalty makes it tough for the front running Gentleman at Arms, and wont get his own way up front with track regular Al Kout sure to bomb off , but is on a long losing run . This is a stiffer task for the consistent Geremia, up in grade , the ratings and trip so the nod goes to recent trip winner Byron Hill, still on a good mark and surface no issue and latest win quite cosy and only a 2 pound hit .

¼ pt win Byron Hill @ 11/4

 

Kempton placepot

4

1,2

1,5

1,2

3,5

1

16 bets

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