Expecting an Outstanding October

 

 We were going along very nicely thank you until the final week , where there were a number of

disappointing or unlucky runs and after looking as if we were coasting to a tidy monthly profit , 

in the end we came out with just a tiny profit for The Premium Tip and a small loss for the lays .

On a more positive note , the Premium tip Multis again came in with a terrific £300 profit , ROI 53% 

and the free tip singles also finished with a healthy 30pts profit 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

He can turn on the Style in the 2.35. Haydock to follow soon

Selected Chelmsford City – all weather – polytrack

The Chelmsford City Trixie

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Purple Ribbon 2.05 @ 7/2

Stylish Performer 2.35 @ 5/1

Crimson Sand 3.45 @ 5/2

 

1.00The fav is recent C&D winner Freybella , but carries a penalty and has a lot to find at the ratings with 3 of these . White Jasmine is the most experienced In the field and has the best form at the trip and surface ,but as she’s looking a bit hard to win with , just a dabble .

¼ pt win White Jasmine @ 5/2

 

1.35 Doonbeg Farmer finally opened his account last time after 15 tries ! but despite winning well at Lingfield at this trip , the stiff penalty and rise in grade , presents a much bigger ask . The consistent Golden Claim has been going well at Kempton , but is looking a shade too high in the ratings and clear preference is for the consistent if luckless Waltzing Queen , who had Golden Claim behind last time out at Kempton , coming strongly off the pace . Nice ew play .

½ pt  ew Waltzing Queen @ 10/1

 

2.05Purple Ribbon did really well winning over C&D on debut in her famous colours ,beating a couple of useful yardsticks and despite the penalty , looks a good bet to double up .The fav is newcomer Top Table , who’d have to run to a good level to land this .

¾ pt win Purple Ribbon @ 7/2

 

2.35 The odds on fav is Mutafawwig , who is 2 from 2, the wins coming almost 2 years apart ! so could be a strong candidate for the bounce , especially dropping in trip and in a warm race. Stylish Performer never sat the track until this season and has certainly made up for lost time and in 6 runs on the all weather , has 3 wins and 3 places , the latest coming over C&D, when ultra valiant in the finish to get the better of the useful Karibana, who is 2 pounds better off for the narrow defeat , but the tip won from the worst of the draw today and while today’s draw is nothing to shout about . it’s an improvement on last time and this prominent racer looks likely to run another big race

¾ pt win Stylish Performer @ 5/1

 

3.10 The ex-Irish Saaty has done little wrong in 3 starts here , winning twice, and only 2 pounds higher , but is 0 places from 4 tries at this longer trip . Prospect has had excuses for some tame recent efforts , but now below her last winning mark and has a good record on the all weather .

¼ pt win Prospect @ 9/2

 

3.45 Boomshalaa returns from a 2 months break , still looking a bit high in the ratings . Crimson Sand is 3 from 3 on polytrack and only 2 pounds higher for a smart win coming off the pace last time . Strong claims in  a winnable heat .

¾ pt win Crimson Sand @ 5/2

 

4.20 Quite an open low grade handicap and the fav is the consistent but hard to win with Tinsmith but preference is for Smith , another with a lousy win record, but rarely far away and entitled to reverse placings with the fav on recent C&D form.

½ pt  ew  Smith @ 6/1

 

Chelmsford City placepot

3,5

7

1,5

4

1,8

1,3

16 bets

Selected The Curragh- good ground on this undulating , stiff and galloping track

1.45 Just the 28 runners in this fiercely contested valuable sprint handicap and a true run race on the cards with a handful of front runners, and all are drawn low, so the hold up rails runners may not get into it. I’m not a lover of being with front runners when there’s competition for the lead but youngster Provocateuse in 3 from his last 4 coming at Cork on quick ground and also she got agitated in the stalls . She’s also 7 pounds higher for her latest win , and as she’s unexposed  at this trip , could continue the good work .

½ pt  ew  Provocateuse @ 10/1

 

2.20 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.55 A Group 1 sprint and this valuable prize looks destined to go across The Irish Sea,with three strong English contenders . Ace sprinter Glass Slippers won this last year and the double not impossible but likely to have to give best to younger legs . The prolific and ultra speedy Winter Power has won 6 of his last 7 , the only blip coming at Royal ascot and a return to a similar stiff circuit could well be in the favour of the terrific Dragon Symbol , unraced a 2yo and now firmly established as one of the top sprinters around and can reverse group 1 York form with Winter Power.

½ pt win Dragon Symbol @ 3/1

 

3.30 Homeless Songs looked very good when winning on debut beating Agartha , who has improved since but the tip sports the colours of Moyglare Stud, after whom   this Group 1 is named , so could have been kept for this .

½ pt win  Homeless Songs @ 9/4

 

4.05 Arguably the top Irish juvenile , Point Lonsdale is 4 from 4 and 4/6 to land this valuable Group 1, looks about right.

No Bet

 

4.40 The most valuable race of the day , The irish St Leger , which is open to all ages here. Search for a Song has won this for the last two years but despite never having had much luck in this race before, despite numerous attempts, Twilight Payment actually runs this track very well , comes here in  winning form and is used to landing big prizes as he won the Melbourne Cup last season, worth over £2 million !

½ pt win Twilight Payment @ 4/1

 

5.15 A most winnable and valuable 2yo race and usually this has a monstrous field but just the 14 today and despite having comfortably the highest rating , Delmona has been letting the side down of late after her impressive winning debut, and this stiff C&d could well prove to be her undoing . Connections had to go to £100,000 to secure King XJ as a yearling after costing just £25,000 as a foal . His debut run came here but over further and In the mud and shaped up Ok . He has a Group entry and could be the answer to a bit of a soft race .

½ pt win King XJ @ 9/2

 

5.45 The prominent racing finans Bay is well drawn and after some big runs in group 3 company , this lightly raced sort has his sights lowered but is on a tough enough mark , but does appear progressive .

½ pt  ew  Finans Bay @ 9/1

 

Curragh placepot

10,14

2,4

4

1,5

6

8,11

 

 

Selected Musselburgh – good to soft on this flat and galloping track

1.55 Difficult to pick between three useful and speedy juveniles , but over this quick C&d, Fast Response gets the nod .

¼ pt win Fast Response @ 7/2

 

2.27 The prolific course specialist has only a 2 pound penalty for a smart win last time and this wont take much winning .

½ pt win Gweedore @ 7/4

 

3.02 Looks a match and despite Irish trainer having a terrific record raiding these shores . Pretty Rebel is certainly on a tough enough mark , trip a concern and so is drying ground . Despite now being on a tough mark , the tough front running C&D specialist Gometra Ginty could be hard to peg back .

½ pt win Gometra Ginty @ 9/4

 

3.37 All of Sound Of Iona, Never Dark and Good Luck Fox have been going well over C&D but all now on  tough enough marks . City Walk returns from  a year off and this speed track likely to be against him . The well handicapped Glory Fighter showed more like it last time but back on his last winning mark , the tip gets the nod .

¼ pt win Reben At Dawn @ 10/3

 

4.15 A strong pace assured with Bluella and Angel Eyes sure to bomb off which will help the strong finishing Lola Rebel , who has some good form over C&D , a good chance of breaking her duck .

¼ pt win Lola Rebel @ 5/2

 

Musselburgh placepot

1,2,3

1

1,2

3,5

1

 

5,6

 

24 bets 

 

Selected Bath – firm ground on this sharp but stiff track

Another big hello to my wonderful 4 friends , who did so well hammering the Bath Bookies yesterday , they’re back to inflict more damage . They are the ones ordering the most expensive bubbly and lighting fags with £20 notes !

2.15 Hard to knock the consistent and very genuine Therehegoes , who after landing a good win over C&D on fast ground , as usual making all , has held his form well off his increased mark and up in trip . Nicely drawn to make all .

½ pt win Therehegoes @ 4/1

 

2.45 Looks a match as Scampi and Pretty Sweet are hard to split at the ratings but the former has had plenty of chances and is looking hard to win with , but Pretty Sweet is odds on .

No Bet

 

3.20 Not a deep race and the prolific and progressive Beowulf remains on a good mark after an unlucky 3rd last time .

½ pt win Beowulf @ 4/5

 

3.55 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.05 These have only managed 2 career wins between them and only 1 this season and that was by Miss Sligo , who has held her form pretty well and despite a bit to prove over this type of C&D and firm ground , is a lot more reliable than most .

¼ pt win Miss Sligo @ 7/1

 

5.40 A very good excuse to hit the bar early

No Bet

Bath placepot

6

3,5

4

1,4

2,7

2,4

 

16 bets 

 

Selected Haydock – good to firm on this flat and galloping track

Haydock Fortune for a fiver

15p ew Lucky 15 & 25p ew acca

Global Humor 4.10 @ 8/1

Troubadour 4.35 @ 14/1

Tommy G 6.25 @ 16/1

Nataleena 6.55 @ 18/1

 

4.10 Plenty of early pace here from  the poorly handicapped Boudica Bay , Harrogate and Modular Magic , both looking a bit high in the weights and of course the battle for the lead will use up plenty of petrol . These are all drawn high , so the hold up low drawn horses unlikely to get a look in . The very consistent Global Humor is a strong finishing and willing late player . He’s well drawn close to the pace and ordinarily I would be all over this like a rash , but in this race for apprentice jockeys , the lad aboard has had little racing of late and never ridden a winner ! Let’s hope it’s a steering job .

½ pt  ew Global Humor @ 8/1

 

4.35Another big field sprint and not much early pace about so the consistent but hard to win with I Am a dreamer could get the run of the race from the front but preference is for the well handicapped Troubador , who has showed signs of a recovery with the ease in the ratings . Late player .

½ pt  ew  Troubadour @ 14/1

 

5.30 A big field and tricky nursery and I’m torn between a couple who have been going well in maidens at around this trip and ground and both well handicapped on their form . Split my stake .

¼ pt  ew each Flaming Lord @ 7/1  Exminster @ 6/1  - why not a small rev fc

 

6.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

A fiercely competitive handicap with a stack of in form types, now looking a bit high in the weights and no shortage of early pace . You could make a case for many but the seriously back to form Tommy G , is holding his form very well , despite many nudges up the ratings and well worth a try at this longer trip .

½ pt  ew  Tommy G @ 16/1

 

6.55 Another fiercely competitive big field handicap but the fav , the hat-trick seeking Emeraty Hero , goes up half a mile, so a bit to prove despite having no penalty for a smart recent win . Nataleena has responded well to the drop in the ratings with two big runs of late and looks a very lively longshot .

½ pt  ew Nataleena @ 18/1

 

Haydock placepot

9

1,3

5,6

6,7

1,3

9,13

 

32 bets 

 

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