Expecting an Outstanding October

 

 We were going along very nicely thank you until the final week , where there were a number of

disappointing or unlucky runs and after looking as if we were coasting to a tidy monthly profit , 

in the end we came out with just a tiny profit for The Premium Tip and a small loss for the lays .

On a more positive note , the Premium tip Multis again came in with a terrific £300 profit , ROI 53% 

and the free tip singles also finished with a healthy 30pts profit 

 

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Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

 I have recently switched to Bet365 as my principal bookmaker, and it's been a smart move with so many extra place

races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

I'd " Sai" he has a very solid ew chance in the 4.15

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Saison’s D’or 4.15 @ 15/2

Incorrigable 5.00 @ 11/2

Beheld 7.15 @ 3/1

 

Selected Thirsk – good to firm on this flat and galloping track

1.00As Yellow Bear has run well over C&D in both career runs and brings the best form to the table, no reason why it wont be 3rd time lucky .

¼ pt win Yellow Bear @ 5/2

 

1.30 Just the 20 in this low grade nursery and we can expect a decent run for our money from Naughty Nadine , who’s ran to this mark in most of her races and the C&D and ground are fine .

¼ pt ew  Naughty Nadine @ 10/1

 

2.00 Another massive field for this selling handicap sprint and the stand out form horse is Manumission , big runs in all 3 tries for David Evans, all in better races , and despite this C&D being on the sharp side, worth a dabble .

¼ pt win Manumission @ 9/4

 

3.05 The odds on fav is the progressive Hesperius , 3 wins in her last 4 but this looks deeper and has a stiff penalty . Prefer a plat on the well treated and capable Golden Hind @ 6/1

 

4.15 Saisons D’Or responded well to a rare drop into Class 5 company last time and stayed on well to be 2nd , a good effort considering he’s far more potent when taking them along , which looks likely today and looks a really nice ew play .

½ pt  ew  Saisons D’Or @ 15/2

 

4.50 Trinity Lake continues to receive plenty of help from the handicapper to snap out of his long losing run , but he’s been 2nd 5 times off higher marks and comes here on the back of another big run over this C&d when a close 3rd off this mark. This could be his day .

¼ pt win Trinity Lake @ 3/1

 

Thirsk placepot

5

2,11

4,5

1

2,4

1,3

16 bets

 

Selected Worcester – good ground on this flat and galloping track

1.15 The lightly raced Head On looked in trouble over C&D last time , but the further he went the better he looked and despite the 4 pound penalty will be hard to beat with that experience behind him .

½ pt win Head On @ 7/4

 

1.45 The penalty and quicker track may well see off Regaby , while Brother Pat didn’t run well here a few starts back and Write It Down remains hard to predict , but is the type to leave out of calculations . The lightly raced Tom O’Roughley has run two very solid races in handicaps from the front and the switch to fences can only help this Point winner .

¼ pt  ew  Tom O’Roughley @ 8/1

 

2.20 Jemima P is on a right roll but up another 12 pounds today which makes chasing newcomer Finisk River worth a dabble. This is his best trip , on a workable mark and is an ex pointer , so this should be his game .

¼ pt win Finisk River @ 9/22

 

2.50 There’s been a flood of money for Mercian Prince in this competitive Class 2 chase , and on paper , he looks the worthy longshot against 4 very much in form rivals, many proven over C&D and the ground and Mercian Prince is unlikely to even get his own way up front with a few others confirmed front runners at this trip . Tough to find the winner .

No Bet

 

4.00 Liffeydale Dancer comes here in terrific form and remains on a workable mark and no issues with mark or trip , but all recent runs have come at Cartmel , and only run here was disappointing , but worth a go as he’s a much more confident horse now . Thunderstruck has a bit to prove with a hefty 9 pound penalty , dropping in trip and returning from a 4 months break .

¼ pt  win Liffeydale Dancer @ 4/1

 

4.35 The useful bumper horse Luttrel Lad is long odds on to collect first time hurdling but in a race of more quantity than quality , Balzac is one of the few who is in form , albeit to a low level , but he’s lightly raced and was pretty decent on the flat .

¼ pt  ew  Balzac @ 50/1

 

Worcester placepot

5

5,9

4

1,3,5

4,6

3,7

24 bets

 

Selected Brighton – good to firm on this undulating , sharp and tricky track

2.10 Recall the Show is 2 from 2 over C&d and only a pound higher than his last winning mark . he’s been holding his form well and looks a most solid fav .

½ pt win Recall The Show @ 15/8

 

5.00 The odds on fav is Toronado Grey after a smooth win here last time , but the 6 pound penalty wont help nor will the drop in trip . C&D winner Incorrigable has held her form pretty well since and the return to this C&D can only help .

½ pt  ew Incorrigable @ 11/2

 

Brighton placepot

3

3

1,6

3,4

2,4

6,8

16 bets

Selected Kempton – all weather – polytrack

4.45 He hasn't done a great deal to justify his £62,000 price tag but Be lucky My son has showed signs of ability and has run to around this mark a few times . He's related to a top all weather filly and runs for a top stable . Unlucky in the draw , but this wont take much winning and is a lively longshot .

1/2 pt  ew Be Lucky My son @ 14/1 

 

5.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.45 PREMIUM RACE

 

7.15 Beheld certainly has the ability, is proven over C&D, in good form and mark fine , but not a straight forward filly , but if on her best behaviour tonight can land a winnable heat as both Divine Magic and flame of Freedom on uncomfortably high marks for their recent successes.

½ pt win Beheld @ 3/1

 

7.45 PREMIUM RACE

 

8.15 A very winnable finale and it can be the luckless Vive La danse’s big night . He’s gone close in all of his last 4 runs , including one at this trip , surface and mark . He’s yet to nail one but is in good company as the only winner in the field is Sundayinmay , who had a rear view of the tip on the Lingfield polytrack . The draw could have been kinder for a front runner , but not much early pace on and he is a trier .

½ pt  ew Vive La Danse @ 7/1

 

Kempton placepot

2,4

7,9

1,5

5

13

1,4

16 bets

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