Expecting an Outstanding October

 

 We were going along very nicely thank you until the final week , where there were a number of

disappointing or unlucky runs and after looking as if we were coasting to a tidy monthly profit , 

in the end we came out with just a tiny profit for The Premium Tip and a small loss for the lays .

On a more positive note , the Premium tip Multis again came in with a terrific £300 profit , ROI 53% 

and the free tip singles also finished with a healthy 30pts profit 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Arcadian Nights to put the 3.50 to bed

Today’s Trixie

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Grand Enterprise 6.30 @ 15/2

Arcadian Nights 3.50 @ 11/2

Rhoscolyn 3.30 @ 11/2

 

 

Just the one play at Beverley as the first 4 races are for 2yos who have no experience on soft ground and racing on this very stiff circuit , you would be guessing far too much .

3.10 The fav is Sound Reason after a smart win at Carlisle in the mud when hold up tactics were employed and despite a 6 pound hit , can’t be ruled out. The front running and gritty Show Yourself has 3 wins over C&D but now on a tough mark and softer ground an unknown . Van Gerwen goes well over C&D in the mud and despite being a few pounds high In the ratings, promises to be not far away .

¼ pt  ew Van Gerwen @ 9/1

 

Selected Yarmouth – good to soft on this flat and galloping track

1.10 Not many with a chance as plenty of the market leaders : Fauvette, Posh Girl and Cabrini have it to prove dropping in trip which gives a  chance to the consistent Liberty Bay , capable off this mark and ground versatile .

¼ pt  ew  Liberty Bay @ 6/1

 

2.15 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.45 Both King of Stars and Look Out louis are sure to bomb out but both now high enough in the ratings and battling for domination wont help either and as Cairn Gorm needs further , the capable Blue De Vega could pinch this , only a few pounds for a recent win .

¼ pt win Blue De Vega @ 13/2

 

3.50 Arcadian Nights has a cracking win record , 4 wins from 9 starts and a pound lower for a last time win at Wolver , but has won on easy ground on turf and in a winnable heat , likely to run his race again .

½ pt win Arcadian Nights @ 11/2

 

Yarmouth placepot

2

1,3

Fav

3,5

2,5

1,4

16 bets

 

Selected Sandown – very  soft ground on this stiff and galloping track

1.50 PREMIUM RACE

Again no point playing in the next two races, both 2yo affairs , mostly newcomers and of course soft ground the key factor, which is an unknown with all of  these .

 

3.30 A good quality Class 1 event with the one to beat at the ratings Sir Busker , who hasn’t been at his brilliant best this season , but does take a drop in class. Preference is for the progressive and prolific Rhoscolyn , who’s first win this year came off just a mark of 74, and now rated a worthy 106 . He’s a real mud lover , a terrier in the finish and a win at Beverley suggests this C&d will be fine . He was very unlucky in the Goodwood mile when 2nd encountering all kinds of trouble off around this mark.

½ pt win Rhosclyn @ 11/2

 

4.05 The 4 timer seeking Spirit of The bay has quite a bit on her plate with a stiff penalty , up in grade and soft ground a new experience Deep Sigh has clear claims after a win in the mud off  a slightly lower mark but I’m sticking with one of my favourites in Alpine Mistral , a talented and tough mud loving filly ,who’s now on a tough enough mark and would prefer a longer trip and returns from a lengthy break and this could be a warm up for some targets in coming up in the mud but worth a dabble at the odds .

¼ pt win  Alpine Mistral @ 9/1

 

4.40 Tricky stuff but the nod goes to the progressive Crema Inglesa who runs this track well on easy ground and shapes like this longer trip will suit .

¼ pt win Crema Iglesa @ 5/1

 

5.10 PREMIUM RACE

 

Sandown placepot

7,10

5,12

1,5

10

2,9

1,9

32 bets

Selected Kelso – good ground on this sharp mostly undulating track with a galloping straight .

3.25 PREMIUM RACE

 

5.00 The front running Giovanni Change ran an absolute belter at Aintree recently at around this trip when as usual going from the front and battled on courageously all the way to be just pipped by a couple of talented and useful yardsticks with both Ask Paddington and Shetland Bus not far behind , and since then the latter has taken off , but now on a tough mark and it could be all the way for the tough and genuine tip.

½ pt win Giovanni Change @ 9/2

 

5.30 The front running pair of Tonto’s Spirit and Sword Of Fate have certainly earned their corn this season , but now high in the weights and taking each on other on wont help . The veteran Duke Of milan is still running Ok races . likes it here and the drop in the ratings will help , but almost 4 years since a last win , so despite being tempting , likely to give way to younger legs late on . The two last time winners El Borracho and Cracking Destiny both have solid claims but their penalties will test but I’m trying the progressive Empire De Maulde, who is a 3 mile chaser and drops markedly in trip , but this smooth traveller could well have the pace for the task .

¼ pt  win Empire DE Maude @ 10/3

 

6.30 A winnable handicap and no reason why the back to form Grand enterprise wont run another good race as the mark is manageable , ground and trip in his favour and the small stable does well here in few tries .

½ pt  ew Grand Enterprise @ 15/2

 

Kelso placepot

Fav

1

1,5

2,3

2,3

2,3

16 bets

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