Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

but another good month for the Premium Multi with a profit of £115, ROI 21% . Not a bad month as most punters

and tipsters would be satisfied with a level month considering you’ve also had the pleasure of ploughing through

all the facts and figures , coming up with “ The One” and of course experiencing the thrill of watching the tips, in the main running

big races.

 

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I thank you for your loyal custom and hope you are enjoying watching the vast majority of the tips 

running big races at big odds 

 

I have decided to keep stats for Premium tip multis, so you can then see the massive returns possible. 

£20 is a fair stake to risk on the multi. I would recommend the following

A £1 yank ( £11 pound) , or if the tips are long odds, an ew yank 

Extra £1 win doubles

And an extra £1.50 ew acca 

 

 I have recently switched to Bet365 as my principal bookmaker, and it's been a smart move with so many extra place

races, and as many of my tips are ew , it make sense to include these concessions as part of the stats . I will in future 

point this out with the tip write up 

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Alpha top of the list again in the 2.44

The Ponty Fortune for a Fiver 

50p ew trixie & 50p ew treble 

Alpha Cru 2.44 @ 9/2

Sociologist 3.14 @ 20/1

Dark Defender 3.44 @ 20/1

 

Selected Lingfield – all weather – polytrack

1.00PREMIUM RACE

 

2.30 At the ratings this looks very much a match between Escobado and Fae The Port, but both have lost the plot of race and not running anywhere near their ratings . The lightly raced Tara Iti at least comes here on the back of a good effort  in a Brighton handicap returning from a break and worth a dabble

¼ pt  win Tara Iti @ 4/1

 

3.00 A good quality Class 3 handicap , but going through the form , ALL of these could have a more encouraging profile to be classed as a likely winner . The fav , My Frankel has clear claims on his best form but has become very unpredictable and puts in frequent shockers . After a couple of poor efforts returning from a break , the capable Petite Jack bounced back to form with a 2nd at Wolver at odds of 200/1 !!. He’s an 8 times track winner and on a winning mark and the likely strong pace will help this late player . Only hope his last run wasn’t a flash in the pan and really was a signal of a return to form .

¼ pt  ew Petite Jack @ 11/1

 

4.00 The fav is the downgraded George Scott who has the best of the draw and arguably the top jockey in this race for amateur riders in Simon Walker , but he’s 0 from 11 and the drop In trip most unlikely to help , Few have a chance in this and Brazen Belle responded very well to the drop in the ratings last time at Chelmsford City , at long odds, and a bad draw, when 3rd of 12 . She won earlier in the season off a stone higher and is very well drawn and will be well handled by Pat Millman and looks a very safe ew play at least .

½  pt ew  Brazen Belle

 

Lingfield placepot

8,9

3,5

5

1,3

1,6

3

16 bets

 

Selected Stratford – good to soft on this flat and sharp track

1.45 This is very weak and despite being on a long losing run  , the in form Wicked Willy could have his day in the sun with easier ground a definite plus .Mach Mover only won a modest seller last time so has plenty to prove on form , trip and ground .

½ pt  win Wicked Willy @ 4/1

 

2.22 This will take little winning but despite being the clear form horse , the front running Wagner could struggle at this longer trip on easy ground . Accordingtogino has some consistent form in the book , including over C&D on easy ground and can go well fresh .

½ pt win Accordingtogino @ 2/1

 

3.52Another uncompetitive heat and a fine chance for Lost in Montmartre to turn the tables on the progressive Richie Valentine with a 7 pound pull for 5 lengths and with the softer ground and longer trip in her favour .

½ pt  win Lost In Montmartre @ 2/1

 

Stratford placepot

2,3

1

1,4

1,2

1,2

1

16 bets

  

Selected Ponty – soft ground on this undulating , galloping and stiff track.

2.14 A very tricky decent quality nursery and the short list is very long with all of Aleezdancer , Scarlet Dancer and Lethal Levi all ticking plenty of boxes but Jersey Rose returns from a break on a very fair mark and her best run ever was a win on an undulating track on soft ground .

1/4pt  ew  Jersey Rose @ 12/1

 

2.44 Alpha Cru has done little wrong this season , two wins over C&d , a decent 4th on a speed track on quick turf and is only 2 pounds higher for a smart win in the Hamilton mud last time . On soft ground here ,the wide draw is often a plus . The massively in form Empirestateofmind has a bit to prove on soft ground and more of a danger is recent soft ground winner Under Fox , but a stiff penalty and rise in grade .

¾ pt  win Alpha Cru @ 9/2

 

3.14 Plenty of guesswork in this stayers’ handicap , as this is a very stiff and specialist C&D at the best of times, and the soft ground promises to see these scattered all over West Yorkshire . The front running Sociologist is back down to a winning mark , revels in soft ground and does shape like an out and out stayer . Could shock in a winnable heat .

½ pt  ew  Sociologist @ 20/1

 

3.44 The prolific Motawaazy goes for the 4 timer is only 3 pounds higher for a C&d win last time and is also proven on soft ground, so again holds strong claims, especially with his tenacity in the finish . Dark Defender loves the mud and sprung  long odds victory over C&D a few starts back , when like today , was drawn wide , was front rank throughout and the useful Obee Jo was 4 lengths back in 3rd . In a race of ifs and buts , happy to play again at long odds .

½ pt  ew  Dark Defender @ 20/1

 

4.15 Looks very much a match but the consistent yet hard to win with  Tiger Beetle has questions to answer up in trip around this stiff C&D in the mud . Indefatigable is a lofty 148 rated hurdler , which equates to 105 on the flat , a level she is unlikely to reach but this stiff C&d in the mud is tight up her street .

¾ pt win Indefatigable @ 7/4

 

4.45 It’s very winnable and Dark Spec has showed well enough In both runs this season to be the one to beat returning  from a very lengthy absence , and this C&D and the ground should both be fine .

¼ pt  win Dark Spec @ 11/4

 

5.15 The short priced fav is the consistent but hard to win with Coase , but the first time tongue tie looks a desperate move as the stable is 0 from 20 using the aid for the first time ! This isn’t a deep race and preference is for End Zone , a winner off a slightly higher mark in the mud at Carlisle over 2 furlongs shorter but recent efforts at this distance have been fine

¼ pt  ew  End zone @ 8/1

 

Ponty placepot

1,7

3,4

2

3,4

2,7

3

16 bets 

 

Selected Ponty – soft ground on this undulating , galloping and stiff track.

2.14 A very tricky decent quality nursery and the short list is very long with all of Aleezdancer , Scarlet Dancer and Lethal Levi all ticking plenty of boxes but Jersey Rose returns from a break on a very fair mark and her best run ever was a win on an undulating track on soft ground .

1/4pt  ew  Jersey Rose @ 12/1

 

2.44 Alpha Cru has done little wrong this season , two wins over C&d , a decent 4th on a speed track on quick turf and is only 2 pounds higher for a smart win in the Hamilton mud last time . On soft ground here ,the wide draw is often a plus . The massively in form Empirestateofmind has a bit to prove on soft ground and more of a danger is recent soft ground winner Under Fox , but a stiff penalty and rise in grade .

¾ pt  win Alpha Cru @ 9/2

 

3.14 Plenty of guesswork in this stayers’ handicap , as this is a very stiff and specialist C&D at the best of times, and the soft ground promises to see these scattered all over West Yorkshire . The front running Sociologist is back down to a winning mark , revels in soft ground and does shape like an out and out stayer . Could shock in a winnable heat .

½ pt  ew  Sociologist @ 20/1

 

3.44 The prolific Motawaazy goes for the 4 timer is only 3 pounds higher for a C&d win last time and is also proven on soft ground, so again holds strong claims, especially with his tenacity in the finish . Dark Defender loves the mud and sprung  long odds victory over C&D a few starts back , when like today , was drawn wide , was front rank throughout and the useful Obee Jo was 4 lengths back in 3rd . In a race of ifs and buts , happy to play again at long odds .

½ pt  ew  Dark Defender @ 20/1

 

4.15 Looks very much a match but the consistent yet hard to win with  Tiger Beetle has questions to answer up in trip around this stiff C&D in the mud . Indefatigable is a lofty 148 rated hurdler , which equates to 105 on the flat , a level she is unlikely to reach but this stiff C&d in the mud is tight up her street .

¾ pt win Indefatigable @ 7/4

 

4.45 It’s very winnable and Dark Spec has showed well enough In both runs this season to be the one to beat returning  from a very lengthy absence , and this C&D and the ground should both be fine .

¼ pt  win Dark Spec @ 11/4

 

5.15 The short priced fav is the consistent but hard to win with Coase , but the first time tongue tie looks a desperate move as the stable is 0 from 20 using the aid for the first time ! This isn’t a deep race and preference is for End Zone , a winner off a slightly higher mark in the mud at Carlisle over 2 furlongs shorter but recent efforts at this distance have been fine

¼ pt  ew  End zone @ 8/1

 

Ponty placepot

1,7

3,4

2

3,4

2,7

3

16 bets

 

 

Selected Wolver – all weather – tapeta

6.00 Not a deep race and no doubt Beheld will make another bold bid to make all but up 2 pounds and new to the surface so preference is for the lightly raced and consistent Wizard Of D’Amour , who is 1 from 1 over C&D , running to a level that makes his mark most manageable .

½ pt win  Wizard D’Amour @ 7/2

 

6.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

7.00 The drop in  trip and the penalty wont help Oot Ma way , but still considered in a race where few count .The unpredictable Khazaf ran a cracker at Newcastle but can’t be relied upon to put it in again and the extra furlong no help . Recurdeme is capable but not really firing of late so I’m trying the well drawn Mr Dib Dab who has showed ability over C&D and very well handicapped .

¼ pt  ew  Mr Dib Dab @ 11/1

 

7.30 On The right Track has taken off since trying this trip and is also a C&d winner . He did well to win at Goodwood last time giving them all a start in the style of an improver . Recent rack winner Invincible Soldier has a bit to prove up significantly in trip and the ratings while recent easy Kempton winner has a very stiff penalty and only run here wasn’t great .

½ pt win On The Right Track @ 7/2

 

8.00 PREMIUM RACE

 

8.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

Wolver placepot

6,8

9,10

8

4,7

1,9

1,4

32 bets

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