Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

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big races.

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

Could be Party time in the 4.25

Ayr – soft ground on this flat and galloping track

1.00The odds on fav is the form horse Beltane , but does drop in trip and looks a race to leave alone.

No Bet

 

1.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

2.05 Not  a deep race and worth a dabble on the consistent dual course winner Chinese Spirit with soft ground no problem . Temper Trap is far better on stiffer circuits while Caballero remains so hard to win with .

¼ pt  ew  Chinese Sprit @ 11/1

 

2.40 Havana Go goes well here and not handicapped out of this but the soft ground a major issue . The market leaders both look vulnerable , the hard to win Vocatus switches from average form on the all weather while Aone Alley returns from a 4 months break with frankly little to recommend . Flying Moon hasn’t his the heights of last season but in fairness has been generally too high in the ratings to do himself justice . He’s dropped to a good mark , ran well in the Hamilton mud last time , is a dual C&D winner and soft ground fine for this late player .

¼ pt win Flying Moon @5/1

 

3.15 A good quality sprint and the short priced fav is Big Les, who was well punted last time over C&D on easy ground and won by a long old way in a competitive heat .That win came off a much reduced mark and despite the 5 pound hit , it only puts him on around the mark where he’s won here before in the mud . This will be tough for the back to form Cold Stare down in trip but the useful Black Friday is down to a good mark and runs this C&D well in the mud. There was more from John Kirkup last time and is another with a good record over C&D and the softer the ground the better .

¼ pt  ew  John Kirkup @ 12/1

 

3.50 Not a deep race and a chance can be given to the in form Written Broadcast , a close 4th over C&D last time and soft ground fine .

¼ pt  ew  Written Broadcast @ 11/1

 

4.25 Kats Bob broke his duck narrowly  last time over C&D on easy ground and the 8 pound hit makes him a vulnerable looking fav, but saying that , this wont take much winning . A chance is taken with the youngster Baileys Afterparty , whose recent runs haven’t been bad and continues to drop in the ratings and his only win came on deep ground and could be the solution at long odds .

½ pt  ew  Baileys’ Afterparty @ 16/1

 

4.55 PREMIUM RACE

 

Ayr placepot

5,7

Fav

3,9

6

2,4,6

3,8

24 bets

 

Selected Exeter – good to firm on this undulating , stiff and galloping track

2.30 Not a deep race and the prolific Paricolor severely has his work cut back in a handicap after making hay in sellers and back over fences is a further negative .Zoffee is rarely far away but over this stiff track clear preference is to the well handicapped and in form Sizing At Midnight , who has run well here before .

½ pt  win Sizing At Midnight @ 3/1

 

4.15 A bigger ask for Umdeni up in trip, the ratings and grade . Storm Home has found his niche since going chasing over staying trips but the 12 pound hit is a whopper and runs on stiff tracks not great . Preference is for the prolific Rhythm Is A Dancer , likely to front runs today and himself is on a stiff enough mark but is a course winner and likely to get away with it today .

½ pt win Rhythm Is a Dancer @ 2/1

 

Exeter placepot

1

1

7

3,6,10

4,10

1,2

12 bets

 Today's Fortune for a Fiver 

50p ew trixie & 50p ew treble

Chinese Spirit 2.05 @ 11/1

Written Broadcast 3.50 @ 11/1

Baileys Afterparty 4.25 @ 16/1 

 

Selected Worcester – good to soft on this flat and galloping track

1.38 None of these have ever jumped a fence in anger and the ones to beat on their ratings over hurdles are Anythingforlove , but he did need his first run back last season and the useful Nada To Prada , who came to hand quickly last season and this ex – pointer is likely to be even better over fences .She’s a right mudlark but there should be enough juice in the ground .

½ pt  win Nada To Prada @ 2/1

 

2.13 PREMIUM RACE

 

Worcester placepot

5

3,5

5,12

7,10

3

2,9

16 bets

 

Selected Chelmsford City – all weather – polytrack

5.00No shortage of early pace here with recent Wolver winner , only a pound higher , and effective over this C&D , sure to blast out as will the other well drawn pair in Cuban Breeze and True Hero and this wont help their chances at all. The race will be run to suit the late playing Seneca Chief , but he’s now a bit high in the ratings so the nod goes to the ever reliable Sir Rodeneyredblood, whose usually seen over an extra furlong , but has run well over C&D before and the strong gallop will really suit. Hyde Park Barracks is in good form but the nudge up the weights and the switch to polytrack ask questions in a tight heat .

¼ pt  ew  Sir Rodneyredblood @ 9/1

 

5.30 The fav is the once raced High Velocity , 2nd on turf and over an extra furlong , shaping as this drop in trip wouldn’t help , and there are others In the field who are proven on the surface and trip and bring stronger form to the table .

No Bet

 

6.00 Very hard seeing Rebel Redemption doubling up on this testing mark and this front runner has a shocking draw, along with another form horse is Lilkian , so not hard seeing him tun his race prematurely and drop out of proceedings . Araifjan comes here in winning form and is now on a tricky mark, but not by a great deal . This front runner has the best of the draw and could hold on in a winnable heat . Lion King is rarely far away but remains a maiden .

½ pt  win Araifjan @ 11/2

 

7.00 Prospect zipped in over C&D last time but is up in the ratings and this is a far deeper race. The C&D specialist ,the front running Harbour Vision has the best of the draw and could take some catching .

¼ pt  win Harbour Vision @ 11/2

 

7.30 Catch My Breath took full advantage of a weak contest last time at Lingfield when dropped to a good mark and in low grade . He’s badly drawn tonight , up 5 pounds , and has never done the biz here . It’s hard to get excited about the prospects of many and the consistent Boy George remains a maiden after 29 tries ! Hunter’s Step showed a bit more last time off this reduced mark and is a C&D winner off this mark . Nicely drawn and the faster they go the better it is for this late player .

¼ pt win Hunter’s Step @ 11/2

 

8.00 Plastic Paddy has a job on his hooves doubling up for his win at Newcastle off a 5 pound higher mark and over this very different track and surface. The front running Mountain Ash went down narrowly at Kempton last time and is nudged up 2 pounds for his trouble but still preferred in a winnable heat .

¼  pt win Mountain Ash @ 4/1

 

Chelmsford City placepot

2,6

4

1

3,5

1,11

4,8

16 bets

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