Novembers are often Nice to us

 

 

 

 October Review : We came out  with a very small profit with the Premium Tips and a very small loss on the Lays

but another good month for the Premium Multi with a profit of £115, ROI 21% . Not a bad month as most punters

and tipsters would be satisfied with a level month considering you’ve also had the pleasure of ploughing through

all the facts and figures , coming up with “ The One” and of course experiencing the thrill of watching the tips, in the main running

big races.

 

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Todays FREE tips wording2

He has No Worries in the 3.40

Selected Newmarket – soft ground on this undulating , galloping and stiff track

1.00& 1.30
These don’t look competitive and the two favs are both bred for soft ground and worth a dabble

¼ pt double Social Contract @11/8 , Hither @ 9/4

 

3.15 an uncompetitive nursery and as the fav Wind your Neck In has stamina to prove, preference is for the consistent Aegis Power proven at the trip and ground and on a fair mark in his first handicap .

¼ pt  win Aegis Power @ 5/2

 

3.50 PREMIUM RACE

 5.00 Anything could happen in this big field nursery with so many going handicapping for the first time , most encountering soft ground for the first time and of course this track doesn’t suit every horse . I’m with the fav in Convection who’s run well in all 3 maidens , runs for a top stable and wears the Frankel colours . Mark looks well workable and the longer trip and softer ground if anything should help .

½ pt win Convection @ 9/2

 

Newmarket placepot

4

2

3,10,11

3,5

6

6,10

 12 bets

 

Selected Worcester – soft ground on this flat and galloping track

1.08 The Toojumpa has been very well backed on her first run for the to stable of Fergal O’Brien , who does wonders with new intakes , but would need to weave some magic with her with a record of 1 win in 24, but is at least on a good mark and likes the mud . I much prefer the chance of the luckless Massini’s Dream , an effective late player, on a workable mark , and trip and soft ground no issues at all.

½ pt win Massini’s Dream @ 11/4

 

1.38

Many of these can be safely eliminated on soft ground and it would need to make a big difference to  Across The Line switching to fences as he was well held off around this mark over hurdles. The prolific and consistent Demopolis is up a stiff 5 pounds for ending last season with a good 2nd , but as he comes to hand early , is proven at the trip and ground , looks a nice bet .

½ pt win  Demopolis @ 4/1

 

2.13 PREMIUM RACE

 

4.33 A couple of uncompetitive novice hurdles to close and the favs will take a bit of beating .

¼ pt  double Ucanever @ 10/11  Fair Frontiers @ evens

 

Worcester placepot

1,4

10

7,8

11

3,9

2,3,5

24 bets

 

The Fontwell trixie

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Adicci 2.30 @ 9/2

No Worries 3.40 @ 3/1

Jaunty Soria 4.15 @ 9/2

 

Selected Fontwell – good to soft on this sharp track

1.23 Many of these are likely to progress pretty well this season as they have either showed promise in bumpers, points or even hurdles , but the nod goes to the consistent No Word Of a lie , who ran to a very decent level in soft ground bumpers last season .

¼ pt  win No word Of a Lie @ 5/1

 

2.30 I was initially all ovder Thibault as this likeable type ticked plenty of boxes , in form , likes the track, ground and trip and mark all fine but I’m reluctantly passing him over as the Adam West stable are having a bad run and the horse’s usual tongue tie is missing . In a winnable heat , the tough and capable Adicci came to hand quickly last season , mark fine, is a course winner and trip / ground also fine .

 

½ pt win Adicci @ 9/2

 

3.05 PREMIUM RACE

 

3.40 Not a deep handicap and the in form No Worries ran a solid race here last time on easy ground off this mark and this longer trip looks a smart move .

3/4 pt  win No Worries @ 3/1

 

4.15 The lightly raced Jaunty Sofia impressed last time winning at Perth on easy ground at around this trip and the 6 pound hit may still mask her true rating . Not a deep race.

½ pt  win Jaunty Soria @ 9/2

 

4.45 The in form Orchestrated has a shocking record on easy ground and despite Heavey looking hard to win with, he’s on a good mark and in another weak heat , this could be his day .

¼ pt win Heavey @ 4/1

 

Fontwell placepot

6,9

2,5

4

1,5

11

4,9

16 bets

 

Selected Kempton – all weather – polytrack

6.00 Lady Xenia ran a most solid race on debut at Newmarket , with Al Hush , who was strong in the market a few lengths behind and there’s all weather blood in the pedigree .

½ pt win Lady Xenia @ 5/2

 

6.30 Shoutitout brings the strongest form to the table and as it came over C&D , looks the one to beat despite the wide draw.

 

7.00 7 of Roger Charlton’s 14  2yos have been victorious this season here which makes newcomer Amjad worth a dabble at long odds .

¼ pt   ew  Amjad @ 12/1

 

7.30 PREMIUM RACE

 

8.00 Earlier in the season Boogie Time rattled off a handicap hat-trick, which takes a bit of doing and I was with this bold front runner last time in a massive field in the Ayr Bronze Cup, where he tried every inch of the way , beaten just over a length in 6th , and stays on the same mark which keeps him competitive . He’s well drawn to take these along and there’s not a great deal of early pace in the race . He’s new to the surface but very much worth chancing .

½ pt  win Boogie Time @ 4/1

 

8.30 Bomb Squad is a consistent soul and has dropped to a really good mark . He’s ran big races on this surface off higher marks in the past and could be the one for a moderate  Lucky Last .

¼ pt win Bomb Squad @ 13/2

 

Kempton placepot

2

3.9.10

10

10

1,2,14

7,9

18 bets

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